China Automobile Industry Forecast (2006-2010)

Publication Date	May 2007
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	70
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00173

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Summary

This report "China Automobile Industry Forecast (2006-2010)" is a work of intensive research and objective analysis of the growing automobile industry, service quality, existing players and future prospects in China in global context. This report highlights the China auto industry's scenario with detailed data and analysis to help investors and global players to identify the leading opportunities in this evolving market.

China Automotive Market

In the past five years, precisely after its accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, China's automotive industry has seen a phenomenal growth. This growth was coming from a country with a steadily growing economy since the last 15 years and a vast consumer base. Currently, China is the second largest automotive market after Japan and third largest automotive producing market in the world.

Key Findings

China's motor vehicle production and sales increased by 27.32% and 25% over the year 2005 respectively and sales crossed 7 Million Units in 2006.
China's car consumption showed a CAGR of 54.42% from 2001 to 2005.
Per 1000 people passenger car penetration of China was around 11 units in 2006. This was significantly lower than other countries.
Despite the squeezing pollution regulations, the motorcycle production and sales surpassed 21 Million Units mark in 2006.
Per capita GDP (which is an indicator of the purchasing power) of China has risen steadily. It was less than US$ 1000 in the year 1991 and was around US$ 7600 in 2006.

Key Players

This section gives an overview of the domestic and international players in the China Auto Industry on the basis of the market capitalization and sales. The main key players discussed in the report are: Volkswagen, Mazda, Nissan Motor Company Ltd., Honda, General Motors, Hyundai Motor Company, Toyota, Suzuki, Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd., Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd.

Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

Demand and supply analysis of China's auto industry.
What is the expected growth rate in China passenger car industry?
What are the drivers for the China's auto market?
Who are the key players in the China auto industry?
What are the opportunities for the players to exist in the Chinese auto market?
What are the factors that can slowdown the industry growth rate?

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

The information has been sourced from various sources like Books, Newspapers, Trade Journals, and White papers, Industry portals, Government Agencies, Trade associations. Monitoring Industry News and developments, and Access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method

The following analysis methods have been used: Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Content

1. Analyst View
2. Research Overview
3. Industry Overview
- 3.1 Global Automobile Market
  - 3.1.1 Production
  - 3.1.2 Sales
- 3.2 Global Automotive Market by Region
  - 3.2.1 Production
    - 3.2.1.1 Passenger Cars
    - 3.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
    - 3.2.1.3 Heavy Trucks
    - 3.2.1.4 Light Commercial Vehicles
- 3.3 Future Forecast (2007-2010)
4. China Automotive Industry Performance
- 4.1 Past Performance
  - 4.1.1 Performance by Product Segments
    - 4.1.1.1 Heavy Commercial Vehicle
    - 4.1.1.2 Light Commercial Vehicles
    - 4.1.1.3 Passenger Car
    - 4.1.1.4 Two Wheeler (Motorcycles)
  - 4.1.2 Performance by Manufacturers
  - 4.1.3 Export & Import
- 4.2 Current Performance
  - 4.2.1 Performance by Product Segment
    - 4.2.1.1 Passenger Car
    - 4.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicle (Bus & Truck)
    - 4.2.1.3 Motorcycle
  - 4.2.2 Export & Import
5. Industry Analysis
- 5.1 Forces Driving the Market
  - 5.1.1 Growing Economy
  - 5.1.2 Infrastructure
  - 5.1.3 Foreign Investment
  - 5.1.4 Business Attractiveness
- 5.2 Challenges Faced by the Industry
  - 5.2.1 Environmental Concerns
  - 5.2.2 Rising Oil Prices
  - 5.2.3 Market Competition
- 5.3 Key Opportunities of the Industry
  - 5.3.1 Passenger Car Stock
  - 5.3.2 Low Emission Automobiles
  - 5.3.3 Increasing Purchasing Power
  - 5.3.4 Vertical Integration
- 5.4 Future Prospects (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.1 Passenger Car Sales Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.2 Passenger Car Registration Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.3 Commercial Vehicle Sales Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.4 Commercial Vehicle Registration Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.5 Motorcycles Sales Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 5.4.6 Automotive Export Forecast (2007-2010)
- 5.5 China Auto Policy to Establish a Competitive Automotive Industry at Global Level
- 5.6 Impact of Auto Industry's WTO Commitments
  - 5.6.1 Tariff & Non-Tariff Measures
  - 5.6.2 Investment Measures
  - 5.6.3 Trade in Services related to Automobiles
6. Major Players
- 6.1 Volkswagen
- 6.2 Mazda
- 6.3 Nissan Motor Company Ltd.
- 6.4 Honda
- 6.5 General Motors
- 6.6 Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (Group)
- 6.7 Hyundai Motor Company
- 6.8 Toyota
- 6.9 Suzuki
- 6.10 Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.
- 6.11 Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd.
- 6.12 Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd.
List of Figures:
- Figure 3-1: General Automotive Industry Model
- Figure 3-2: Worldwide - Automotive Production by Region (%), 2005
- Figure 3-3: Worldwide - Passenger Car Sales (in Million Units), 2000-2004
- Figure 3-4: Worldwide - Car Production (in Million Units), 2005
- Figure 3-5: Worldwide - Passenger Car Registrations (in Million Units), 2002-2006
- Figure 3-6: Worldwide - Commercial Vehicles (including Buses) Production (%), 2005
- Figure 3-7: Worldwide - Heavy Trucks Production by Region (%), 2005
- Figure 3-8: Worldwide - Light Commercial Vehicle Production by Region (%), 2005
- Figure 3-9: Worldwide - Forecast of Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 4-1: China - Automobile Production (in Million Units), 2001-2005
- Figure 4-2: China - Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2005
- Figure 4-3: China - Automotive Industry Market Share (%), 2005
- Figure 4-4: China - Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Thousands Units), 2002-2004
- Figure 4-5: China - Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales Share by Market Players (%), 2004
- Figure 4-6: China - Light Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Million Units), 2002-2004
- Figure 4-7: China - Passenger Car Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2005
- Figure 4-8: China - Market Share of Passenger Cars by Company (%), 2004
- Figure 4-9: China - Motorcycle Production (in Million Units), 2004 & 2005
- Figure 4-10: China - Automotive Component Sales (in Million Yuan), 2004 & 2005
- Figure 4-11: China - Passenger Car Imports (in Thousand Units), 2000-2004
- Figure 4-12: China - Production & Sales of Automobile (in Million Units), 2006
- Figure 4-13: China - Production & Sales of Passenger Cars (in Million Units), 2006
- Figure 4-14: China - Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2004-2006E
- Figure 4-15: China - Production & Sales of Commercial Vehicles (in Million Units), 2006
- Figure 4-16: China - Registration of Commercial Vehicles (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 4-17: China - Production & Sales of Motorcycle (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 4-18: China - Automotive Exports & Imports (in Thousand Units), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 4-19: China - Foreign Exchange Generated by Auto Export (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 5-1: China - Per Capita GDP Growth (in US$), 2003-2006E
- Figure 5-2: BRIC - FDI Cumulative Inflows (in Billion US$), 2002-2005
- Figure 5-3: China - Business Indicators, 2006
- Figure 5-4: China - Production & Consumption of Petroleum Products (in Thousand Barrel/Day), 2001-2006
- Figure 5-5: Worldwide - Number of Cars/1000 Population, 2006
- Figure 5-6: China - Number of Passenger Cars/1000 Population (1998-2006)
- Figure 5-7: China - Forecast for the Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-8: China - Forecast for Passenger Cars Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-9: China - Second Hand Car Sales (in Thousand Units), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 5-10: China - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-11: China - Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-12: China - Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-13: China - Forecast for Motorcycle Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-14: China - Forecast for Automotive Export (in Billion US$), 2007-2010
List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Worldwide - Automotive Production (in Thousand Units), 2005
- Table 3-2: Worldwide - Heavy Truck Production (in Units), 2004 & 2005
- Table 4-1: China - Motorcycle Sales (in Units), 2003 & 2004
- Table 4-2: China - Output by Leading Automobile Manufacturers (in Units), 2004
- Table 6-1: Volkswagen - Financial Overview (in US$), 2003-2005
- Table 6-2: Mazda - Financial Overview (in US$), 2004-2006
- Table 6-3: Nissan Motor Company Ltd. - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
- Table 6-4: Honda - Financial Overview (2004-2006)
- Table 6-5: General Motors - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
- Table 6-6: Hyundai Motor Company - Financial Overview (2003-2005)
- Table 6-7: Toyota - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
- Table 6-8: Suzuki - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
- Table 6-9: Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005
- Table 6-10: Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005
- Table 6-11: Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005