Indian Automobile Sector

A Booming Market

Publication Date	July 2007
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	65
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00204

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Summary

"Indian Automobile Sector - A Booming Market", a market research report by RNCOS, focuses on the growing Indian auto market. This report helps clients to analyze the leading-edge opportunities and the driving factors that are critical for the success of auto industry in India. Detailed market analysis helps the potential investors to plot a route through the evolving Indian auto industry.

Indian Auto Industry

Allowance of 100% FDI in Indian auto industry in 2002 made the industry easily accessible and attractive for the global players. Japanese, Korean, European, and American OEMs entered the Indian market and added more than 1 Million four-wheelers during 2005-06.
Indian 2-wheeler industry is the second largest in Asia after China. The production of 2-wheelers grew at a CAGR of 14.6% from FY2001 to FY 2006. In passenger car segment, most of the Indians still prefer fuel-economic compact cars, but rise in disposable incomes has opened the roads for luxury cars too in India.
Despite impressive growth, automobile penetration rate is still low in India. As India is an economically growing country, there exists a huge untapped growth potential for the automobile manufacturers.

Key Findings

It is expected that per head disposal income in India will grow at CAGR of 12.11% from fiscal year (FY) 2007 to FY 2010. It is likely to boost purchasing powers of population, and consequently, the sale of motorcycles and compact cars will increase.
Car stock per 1000 population is expected to increase at a CAGR of 9.14% during the forecasted period from FY2007 to FY2010.
New passenger car registration is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.41% during the forecasted period.
In commercial vehicles segment, light commercial vehicles are expected to register a higher growth rate than the heavy and medium commercial vehicles from FY2007 to FY 2010.
India had the lowest penetration rate of motorcycles in comparison to Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia in 2005, indicating good growth prospects for the motorcycle manufacturers.

Key Issues and Facts

Where does the Indian automobile production stands relative to world level and Asian level (2006)?
What are the sales of passenger cars in different Asian countries?
What is the country-wise automobile production and sales in Asia?
How attractive is Indian automobile industry?
What is the automobile consumption pattern in India?
What are the driving factors for the Indian automobile industry?
What opportunities and challenges are there for the automobile manufacturers in India?
What will be the future scenario of Indian automobile industry?

Key Players

This section provides an overview of the key players in the Indian auto industry such as Maruti Udyog Limited, Tata Motors Limited, Hyundai Motor India Limited, Mahindra & Mahindra Limited, Hero Honda Motor Limited, Bajaj Auto Limited and TVS Motor Company Limited.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

The information has been compiled from various authentic and reliable sources like Books, Newspapers, Trade Journals and White papers, Industry portals, Government Agencies, Trade associations, Monitoring Industry News and developments, and Access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method

Methods like Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis have been used in the report for a prudent analysis.

Content

1. Analyst View
2. Research Overview
3. Global Automobile Industry
- 3.1 Production
  - 3.1.1 By Type
  - 3.1.2 By Region
- 3.2 Sales
  - 3.2.1 By Region
4. Asian Automobile Industry
- 4.1 Production
- 4.2 Sales
5. India - Automobile Industry Performance
- 5.1 Production
  - 5.1.1 Passenger Vehicles
  - 5.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
  - 5.1.3 2-Wheelers & 3-Wheelers
  - 5.1.4 Tractors
- 5.2 Sales
  - 5.2.1 Passenger Vehicles
  - 5.2.2 Commercial Vehicles
  - 5.2.3 2-Wheelers
  - 5.2.4 Tractors & Power Tillers
- 5.3 Export
- 5.4 Auto Component Industry
  - 5.4.1 Share - By Product
  - 5.4.2 Export
  - 5.4.3 Investment
6. Industry Analysis
- 6.1 Driving Forces
  - 6.1.1 Personal Disposable Income
  - 6.1.2 Custom Tariff
  - 6.1.3 Vertical Industry
    - 6.1.3.1 Agriculture
    - 6.1.3.2 Construction
  - 6.1.4 FDI
  - 6.1.5 Road Transportation
- 6.2 Opportunities
  - 6.2.1 Car Stock
  - 6.2.2 Motorcycle Penetration
  - 6.2.3 Auto Component Industry
  - 6.2.4 Flex Fuel Vehicles
  - 6.2.5 Motor Insurance Industry
  - 6.2.6 Steel Industry
- 6.3 Challenges
  - 6.3.1 Auto Finance
  - 6.3.2 Oil Prices
  - 6.3.3 Global Competition
- 6.4 Future Outlook (2007-08 to 2010-11)
  - 6.4.1 Car Penetration Forecast (2007-08 to 2010-11)
  - 6.4.2 Personal Disposable Income Forecast (2007-2010)
  - 6.4.3 New Passenger Cars Registration Forecast (2007-08 to 2010-11)
  - 6.4.4 New Commercial Vehicles Registration Forecast (2007-08 to 2010-11)
7. Major Players
- 7.1 Maruti Udyog Limited
- 7.2 Tata Motors Limited
- 7.3 Toyota Motor Corporation
- 7.4 Hyundai Motor India Limited
- 7.5 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
- 7.6 Hero Honda Motors Limited
- 7.7 Bajaj Auto Limited
- 7.8 TVS Motor Company Limited
List of Figures:
- Figure 3-1: Global - Automobile Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006
- Figure 3-2: Global - Automobile Production by Region (%), 2006
- Figure 3-3: Global - Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 3-4: Global - Automobile Sales by Region (in Million Units), 2006
- Figure 3-5: Global - Passenger Car Sales by Region (in Million Units), 2005
- Figure 4-1: Asia - Automobile Production in Major Countries (in Million Units), 2006
- Figure 4-2: Asia - Share of Motorcycle Production to Total Production (%), 2005
- Figure 5-1: India - Automobile Industry Turnover (in Million Rs), 1999-00 to 2005-06E
- Figure 5-2: India - Automobile Industry Segmentation (%), 2006-07
- Figure 5-3: India - Automobile Production (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Figure 5-4: India - Passenger Vehicles Production by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Figure 5-5: India - Commercial Vehicles Production by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Figure 5-6: India - 2-Wheelers & 3-Wheelers Production (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Figure 5-7: India - Tractor Production (in Units), 1999-00 to 2005-06
- Figure 5-8: India - Passenger Vehicles Sale by Company (in Units), 2005-06
- Figure 5-9: India - Passenger Cars Sale by Company (in Units), 2005-06
- Figure 5-10: India - Share of Passenger Cars Segment in Sale (%), 2003-2006
- Figure 5-11: India - Commercial Vehicles Sale by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Figure 5-12: India - Auto Component Industry (in Billion US$), 1999-00 to 2006-07E
- Figure 5-13: India - Share of Auto Component Industry by Product (%), 2006-07
- Figure 5-14: India - Auto Components Export (in Billion US$), 2000-01 to 2006-07E
- Figure 5-15: India - Investment in Auto Component Industry (in Million US$), 1999-00 to 2005-06E
- Figure 6-1: India - Disposable Income (in US$/Head), 2001-02 to 2010-11
- Figure 6-2: India - Custom Tariff on Auto Components (%), 2001-2006
- Figure 6-3: India - Growth Rate of Agriculture Output (%), 1985-90 to 2006-07
- Figure 6-4: India - FDI Inflow (in Billion US$), 2000-01 to 2006-07
- Figure 6-5: India - Contribution of Road Transport in GDP (%), 1999-00 to 2004-05
- Figure 6-6: Global - Car Penetration (per '000 Population), 2006
- Figure 6-7: India & China - Motorcycle Penetration (per '000 Population), 2005
- Figure 6-8: India - Forecast for Auto Component Industry (in Billion US$), 2007-08 to 2014-15
- Figure 6-9: India - Motor Insurance Premium Collected (in Rs Crore), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Figure 6-10: India - Estimation of Cold Rolled Flat Steel Consumption & Demand in Automobile Industry (in '000 Metric Tons), 2006-07 to 2009-10
- Figure 6-11: India - Forecast for Car Penetration (per '000 Population), 2007-08 to 2010-11
- Figure 6-12: India - Forecast for Personal Disposable Income (in Million US$), 2007-2010
- Figure 6-13: India - Forecast for New Passenger Cars Registration (in '000 Units), 2007-08 to 2010-11
- Figure 6-14: India - Forecast for New Commercial Vehicles Registration (in '000 Units), 2007-08 to 2010-11
List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Global - Automobile Production by Type (in '000 Units), 2000-2006
- Table 4-1: Asia-Pacific - Automobile Sales by Country (in Units), 2003-2005
- Table 5-1: Asia-Pacific - Ranking of Business Environment by Country, 2004
- Table 5-2: India - Automobile Production by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Table 5-3: India - 4-Wheelers Production by OEM (in Units), 2005-06
- Table 5-4: India - 2-Wheelers & 3-Wheelers Production (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Table 5-5: India - Automobile Industry Installed Capacity (in Million Units), 2003-04 & 2004-05
- Table 5-6: India - Automobile Sales by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Table 5-7: India - Top Companies by 2-Wheelers Sale (in Units), Apr-Jan 2005-06 & Apr-Jan 2006-07
- Table 5-8: India - Tractors & Power Tillers Sale (in Units), 2000-01 to 2006-07
- Table 5-9: India - Automobile Export by Type (in Units), 2001-02 to 2006-07
- Table 6-1: India - Price of Basket Crude Oil (in US$/Barrel), 2004-05 to 2006-07
- Table 7-1: Maruti Udyog Limited - Key Financials (in Million Rs), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 7-2: Tata Motors Limited - Key Financials (in Rs Crore), 2004-05 & 2005-06
- Table 7-3: Toyota Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 7-4: Hyundai Motors India Limited - Key Financials (in Million KRW), 2004-2006
- Table 7-5: Mahindra & Mahindra Limited - Key Financials (in Rs Lakh), 2005 & 2006
- Table 7-6: Hero Honda Motors Limited - Key Financials (in Rs Crore), 2004-05 & 2005-06
- Table 7-7: Bajaj Auto Limited - Key Financials (in Million Rs), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 7-8: TVS Motor Company Limited - Key Financials (in Rs Crore), 2003-04 to 2005-06