China Financial Industry Report

2007

Publication Date	August 2007
Publisher	Research in China
Product Type	Report
Pages	85
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RIC00257

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£755.00
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Summary

The surplus of the broad money supply (M2) in China financial market amounted to RMB 34.56 trillion by the end of the 4th quarter of 2006, up 16.94% year-on-year, and the growth margin was 0.63% lower than that of the end of previous year. The surplus of the narrow money supply (M1) reached RMB 12.60 trillion, rising 17.48% year-on-year, and the growth margin was 5.7% higher than that of the end of previous year. The surplus of market currency circulation (M0) was RMB 2.71 trillion, increasing 12.65% year-on-year. In addition, the accumulative net cash invested amounted to RMB 304.1 billion all over 2006, increasing RMB 47.8 billion from a year earlier.

Although M2 declined to 16%, the objective that Central Bank of China made in the beginning of 2006, the M1 was still far higher than 14%, in addition, it exceeded M2 for the first time in the 23 months straightly since Feb 2005.

The inter-bank lending market on the weighted average interest rate was 2.25% in Dec 2006, down 0.8% over the previous month, and up 0.53% year-on-year. The monthly weighted average interest rate of pledged bond repurchase was 2.01%, 1.04% lower over the previous month and up 0.47% year-on-year. The inter-bank market profit rate operation in 2006 was higher than that of 2005.

The equity division reform was nearly completed in 2006, and the new share recovered to issue, the stock market shows the continuous increase overall, and the stock indices climbed to the highest in history.

It is forecasted that it is not possible to change the fluidity surplus fundamentally in 2007. The selective policies of Central Bank of China include raising the required deposit reserve ratio, strengthening the public market operation and currency market profit rate leading, meanwhile, Central Bank of China will focus on "Window Guide" to restrict the leading impulse of the commercial banks. Meanwhile, Central Bank of China will increase the interests again probably, while it is not possible to increase the interests in a short term.

Content

1 Currency Credit in 2006
- 1.1 Currency Supply Increase Meets Economy Development
- 1.2 Steady Increase of All Deposits of Financial Organization
- 1.3 Moderate Increase of All Deposits of Financial Organization
- 1.4 It is difficult to solve the fluidity surplus of bank system in a short term
- 1.5 Inter-bank market rate is steady generally
- 1.6 Foreign exchange reserves of China continues to increase
2 Operation of Financial Market in 2006
- 2.1 Bond Issuance
- 2.2 Public Market Operation
- 2.3 Lending Transaction
- 2.4 Bond Circulation Market
- 2.5 Bond Market Price Trend
- 2.6 Bond Surplus
- 2.7 Stock Trading
- 2.8 Foreign Exchange Market
- 2.9 Futures Market
- 2.10 Trust Market
3 Industry Policies and Market Trend in 2006
- 3.1 Policies
- 3.2 Market Trend and Operation
4 Currency Policies in 2006
- 4.1 Central Bank of China issued the RMB rate exchange trials
- 4.2 Adjust the deposit reserves ratio
- 4.3 Expand the capital outflow channel
- 4.4 Adjust and control the basic currency appropriately to maintain the stability of RMB appreciation
- 4.5 Central Bank of China issued the central counting directional for the 4th time
- 4.6 The financial organization raised the basic rate of RMB loan
- 4.7 The five Ministries and Commissions reorganized and standardized the bundling loans
- 4.8 Central Bank of China held "Window Guide" meeting
- 4.9 Raised the deposit reserves rate
- 4.10 Continue to implement the steady currency policy
- 4.11 Raised RMB deposit reserves rate of financial organization
- 4.12 The exchange rate system reform
- 4.13 A series of measures of Bureau of Foreign Trade
- 4.14 Central Bank of China determined to raise RMB loan basic rate of the financial organizations
- 4.15 Central Bank of China raised foreign exchange deposit reserves rate
5 Financial Prospect in 2007
- 5.1 International Financial Market
  - 5.1.1 Continue to implement the steady currency policy
  - 5.1.2 RMB exchange rate
  - 5.1.3 Deposit reserves rate
  - 5.1.4 Fluidity
  - 5.1.5 Mixed operation
- 5.2 International Financial Market