UAH-USD exchange rate hits 6.00

Content

• UAH/USD interbank rate hits the psychological USD 6.00 mark
  • How much does the NBU spend to support the hryvnya?
  • Expected IMF deal implications for the local currency
  • What is the consensus on the weakening UAH: is it negative or positive? Notes from a quarterly conference on macroeconomic forecasting yesterday organized by the Ministry of Economy
• TABLES
• Key macroeconomic indicators and forecasts for 2008 and 2009
  • 1. Real GDP growth
  • 2. Nominal GDP, USD bln
  • 3. Industrial output, % yoy
  • 4. CPI (eop), % yoy
  • 5. PPI (eop), % yoy
• External sector
  • 1. FDI net, USD bln
  • 2. C/A balance, % GDP
  • 3. Trade balance, % GDP
• Debt indicators
  • 1. External debt, % of GDP
  • 2. NBU reserves, USD bln
• Prices for core commodities, as of October 27
  • 1. Gas imports, USD/tcm
  • 2. Crude oil (URALS), USD/bbl
  • 3. Winter wheat, USD/mt, FOB
  • 4. Steel square billet, USD/mt, FOB
• CHARTS
  • UAH/USD exchange rates