East Caribbean Business Forecast Report Q4 2008

Publication Date	August 2008
Publisher	Business Monitor
Product Type	Report
Pages	46
ISBN Number	1745-0543
Product Code	BMI02415

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Summary

The BMI Ratings can be used to rank emerging markets in terms of political risk, the economy and the quality of the business environment.

There are four ratings: a composite rating, a political rating, an economy rating and a business environment rating. These ratings are reviewed every month and the results posted on BMI's online service Emerging Markets Online (www.businessmonitor.

com). The political and economy ratings have short- and long-term components. The long-term ratings are designed to reflect more structural considerations and will not change greatly in the short term. The short-term ratings will change frequently in response to more transient influences. All ratings are expressed as a number between one and 100. A high rating is an indicator of lower risk.

Content

Bmi Ratings East Caribbean
Bmi Ratings Brief Methodology
Chapter 1: Country Reports
- Barbados
- Political Outlook
- Budget to Address Inflation Symptoms, Not Causes
- Measures by Barbados New Prime Minister to Address The Impact of Inflation on Low Income Families May
- Alleviate Some Pressures on Poor Income Families.
- Economic Outlook
- Downgrading Our Economic Forecasts
- as A Result of High International Commodity Prices and Slower Global Growth, Barbados Is Suffering from Classic
- Small Island Syndrome. Economic Data for H108 Disappointed, and Things Are Unlikely to Improve Significantly in
- The H208.
- Key Sector Outlook
- Caracas Accuses Bridgetown of Infringing Maritime Border
- Barbados Offshore Bidding round Has Been Criticised by The Venezuelan Government, Which Has Accused The
- Caribbean Nation of Violating The Maritime Border between The Countries by Auctioning Blocks within
- Venezuelan Waters.
- Table: Barbados Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Guyana
- Political Outlook
- Tensions Rise with Prices
- Q108 Figures for Cpi in Guyana Have Revealed That The Sharp Deceleration of Price Growth Has Reversed, with
- Overall Price Growth of 11.5% Y-O-Y in March.
- Economic Outlook
- Positive on Growth, Though Risks Remain
- despite The Bank of Guyanas Upbeat Economic Growth Outlook for End-2008 (IT Is Projecting A 4.8% Real Gdp
- Growth This Year), We Believe That A Drop in Soft Commodity Prices in H208 and A US Economic Slowdown Mean
- The Risks to Growth Remain in Play.
- Table: Guyana Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Key Sector Outlook
- Public Procurement Policy Highlights Investment Concerns
- Criticism of The Governments Preferential Treatment towards Guyanese Companies Highlights The Persistent Lack
- of Transparency regarding Public-Private Sector Deals.
- Trinidad &Tobago
- Political Outlook
- Political Risk under The Microscope
- Trinidad &Tobago Holds up Relatively Well in Terms of Political Risk, with Scores of 74.6 and 64.3 in The Short- and
- Long-Term Ratings Respectively.
- Economic Outlook
- Labour Market in A Tight Spot
- Trinidad &Tobagos Labour Market Is Looking Extremely Stretched. Buoyed by Robust Non-Energy Demand,
- Unemployment on The Islands Has Fallen to Unprecedented Lows.
- Table: Trinidad &Tobago Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Key Sector Outlook
- A Sturdy Credit Outlook
- to A Certain Extent, An Assessment of Trinidad &Tobagos Creditworthiness Reflects The Sustainability of The
- Recent Commodities Boom, Such Has Been The Importance of The Energy Sector in Bolstering The Countrys
- External Position.
Chapter 2: Country Summaries
- Anguilla
- Table: Anguilla Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Antigua &Barbuda
- Table: Antigua and Barbuda Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Grenada
- Table: Grenada Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- Martinique
- Table: Martinique Macroeconomic Data
- St Kitts
- Table: St Kitts &Nevis Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- St Lucia
- Table: St Lucia Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
- St Vincent &The Grenadines
- Table: St Vincent and The Grenadines Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
Chapter 3: Special Report
- Mega-Urban Regions
- Table: The Worlds 30 Largest Urban Agglomerations
- Table: The Worlds Richest Cities in 2020 by Gdp
- Table: The Worlds Fastest Growing Urban Areas by Population
Chapter 4: Bmi Global Assumptions
- Global Outlook
- Table: Global Assumptions
- United States
- Eurozone
- Japan
- China
- Commodities