Worldwide Application Development and Deployment Software: Predictions for 2009

Publication Date	April 2009
Publisher	IDC
Product Type	Report
Pages	20
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	IDC07451

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Summary

This IDC update identifies and discusses the top 10 trends that IDC believes will have a material impact on the application development and deployment (AD&D) markets during 2009 and the first half of 2010. These trends speak of key events occurring in information management and data integration software, application development software (ADS), business process management (BPM) and middleware, application life-cycle management (ALM), enterprise portals and workspaces, and service-oriented architecture (SOA) and Web services. The overall catalysts for these trends are also discussed, as are their implications on vendors and markets. A key step in defining our top 10 predictions for 2009 is to evaluate the potential financial impact that each prediction will have on the AD&D markets. For this reason, a number of the topics that drive our 2009 predictions were also behind our 2007 predictions and are likely to be involved in our 2010 predictions.

Content

In This Update
- Situation Overview
  - A Review of 2008 Predictions
- Future Outlook
  - A Preface to Our Top 10 Predictions
  - Figure: Worldwide Application Development and Deployment Revenue Growth, 2008-2013: Comparison of May 2008, December 2008, and March 2009 Forecasts
  - Ordering the Top AD&D Trends for 2009
    - 1. Open Source Tools Disrupt Commercial License and Revenue Streams
    - 2. AD&D Revenue Suffers by Shifts of Tactical Mission-Critical Revenue to Business Services and BPO Platforms
    - Figure: Mission-Critical Application Types
    - Figure: How Enterprises Differentiate Their Business Processes and Deploy Applications
    - 3. 2009 Marks a Pivotal Move Away from J2EE Toward Lighter Weight Languages and Frameworks
    - 4. Pressure on IT Spend and the Struggle for Survival on the Supply Side Will Lead to a Blending of Software and Service Offerings to a Greater Degree Than Ever Before
      - Software Vendors Increase Services Business
      - Software Vendors Increase Domain-Specific Intellectual Property Packaging
      - Software and Services Vendors Compete in the Clouds
      - Impact on AD&D Vendors
    - 5. 2009 Will be a Traumatic Year for Pricing Models, Discounting Levels, and the Sacred Maintenance Revenue Stream
    - 6. Everything "as a Service" Drives Flood of Online Development, Deployment, and Infrastructure Offerings in the Cloud
      - Cloud Computing Hastens Software Stack Convergence
    - 7. Mobile Application Development Platforms Experience an Explosion of Activity
    - 8. Development Tool Product Selection Contingent on Skill Sets of Remaining IT and Business Users
    - 9. GRC-Driven Revenue Persists Despite Wholesale Slowdown in AD&D
    - 10. Web 2.0 Trends Redefine Application User Experiences with New Workspace Capabilities
- Essential Guidance
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- Related Research