Retail Futures 2010: Clothing & Footwear

Publication Date	November 2005
Publisher	Verdict
Product Type	Report
Pages	114
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	VDT00071

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Summary

Over the next five years, the clothing and footwear markets will be characterised by a lower level of deflation. Clothing has been one of the retail markets hardest hit by downward price pressure. The progression of the value clothing operator has driven a new expectation of price in the market, forcing traditional middle market retailers to realign their pricing.

Scope

Market value and growth, inflation 1995-2004 with annual forecasts to 2010 for the clothing & footwear market and individual categories separately.
Analysis of key issues that will shape market demand over the forecast period
Channels of distribution analysis for 2004,2005 and 2010 - detailing clothing & footwear sales for key retail types and spending by category

Highlights

Value clothing operators will once more be at the fore of growth in the market. Having fine-tuned their retail propositions and offers over recent years, the emphasis will be on space growth and moving into more prime locations over the coming years.Space expansion will play a major role in sales growth. Approximately 34.6m sq ft of total retail space is due to come on board through either new developments or space refurbishment between now and 2010.Against the backdrop of lower total growth, like-for-like sales growth among specialist operators will decline because of excess capacity in the market. We estimate it will average 1.8% per annum over the five years to 2010.

Reasons to Purchase

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Content

Main Conclusions
Forecast Summary
Expenditure Summary
- Table 1: Clothing & footwear expenditure summary 2000, 2005 & 2010
Specialists Summaries
- Table 2: Clothing summary 2000, 2005 & 2010
- Table 3: Footwear summary 2000, 2005 & 2010
Key Market Issues
Overview
- Figure 1: Clothing & footwear - key issues 2005-2010
Middle Market Squeeze
- Figure 2: Middle market squeeze 2005-2010
Continued Value Growth - the Middle Market Fights Back
Supply Chain, Range and Margin Management
- Figure 3: Pressures on specialists 2005-2010
Diversification and Differentiation
- Figure 4: Clothing specialists diversification options 2005-2010
Space Drives Market Growth
Media Influence
Clothing & Specialists OUtlook
Clothing Specialists Outlook
Key Issues
Retail Sales & Sources of Sales Growth
- Table 4: Clothing specialists sales 1995-2010
- Table 5: Sources of growth for clothing specialists 1995-2010
Share of Total Sales & Store Numbers
- Figure 5: Clothing specialists sales as a % of total retail consumer spending 1995-2010
- Figure 6: Clothing specialists store numbers (000) 1995-2010
Space Growth
- Figure 7: Space growth for clothing specialists 1995-2010
- Table 6: Total selling space for clothing specialists 1995-2010
Sales Densities
- Figure 8: Clothing specialists sales densities at current prices 1995-2010
- Figure 9: Clothing specialists sales densities at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Footwear Specialists Outlook
Key Issues
Retail Sales & Sources of Sales Growth
- Table 7: Footwear specialists sales 1995-2010
- Table 8: Sources of growth for footwear specialists 1995-2010
Share of Sector Sales & Store Numbers
- Figure 10: Footwear specialists sales as a % of total retail consumer spending 1995-2010
- Figure 11: Footwear specialists store numbers (000) 1995-2010
Space Growth
- Figure 12: Space growth for footwear specialists 1995-2010
- Table 9: Total selling space for footwear specialists 1995-2010
Sales Densities
- Figure 13: Footwear specialists sales densities at current prices 1995-2010
- Figure 14: Footwear specialists sales densities at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Channels of Distribution
Sales & Spending
- Figure 15: Channels of distribution 2004, 2005 & 2010
Forecast Changes for Major Channels
- Figure 16: Changes in shares of clothing & footwear market 2010 on 2005
Clothing Market Shares
- Table 10: Clothing market shares 2000-2005e
- Figure 17: Clothing retailers change in market share 2005e on 2000
Footwear Market Shares
- Table 11: Footwear market shares 2000-2005e
- Figure 18: Footwear retailers change in market share 2005e on 2000
Category Forecasts
Expenditure Summary
- Table 12: Clothing and footwear expenditure summary 1995, 2000, 2005 & 2010
Expenditure Analysis
- Table 13: Womenswear and menswear expenditure analysis 2005-2010
- Table 14: Childrenswear and footwear expenditure analysis 2005-2010
- Figure 19: Clothing & footwear expenditure growth rates 1995-00, 2000-05 & 2005-10
Expenditure Growth
- Table 15: Total clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 20: Clothing & footwear expenditure as a % of total spending 1995-2010
- Figure 21: Clothing & footwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Clothing
- Table 16: Total clothing expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 22: Clothing expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear spending 1995-2010
- Figure 23: Clothing expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Womenswear
- Table 17: Womenswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 24: Womenswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 25: Womenswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Women's Outerwear
- Table 18: Women's outerwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 26: Women's outerwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 27: Women's outerwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Women's Underwear
- Table 19: Women's underwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 28: Women's underwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 29: Women's underwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Menswear
- Table 20: Menswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 30: Menswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 31: Menswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Men's Outerwear
- Table 21: Men's outerwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 32: Men's outerwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 33: Men's outerwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Men's Underwear
- Table 22: Men's underwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 34: Men's underwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 35: Men's underwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Childrenswear
- Table 23: Childrenswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 36: Childrenswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 37: Childrenswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Girlswear
- Table 24: Girlswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 38: Girlswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 39: Girlswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Boyswear
- Table 25: Boyswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 40: Boyswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 41: Boyswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Infantswear
- Table 26: Infantswear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 42: Infantswear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 43: Infantswear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Other Clothing & Material
- Table 27: Other clothing & material expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 44: Other clothing & material expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 45: Other clothing & material expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Footwear
- Table 28: Footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 46: Footwear expenditure as a % of clothing & footwear expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 47: Footwear expenditure growth at constant (2002) prices 1995-2010
Economic Forecasts
Key Messages
- Table 29: Economic factors affecting retail 2005-2010
Gdp
- Figure 48: Real gross domestic product (GDP) at constant (2001) prices 1995-2010
Earnings & Disposable Income
- Figure 49: Inflation vs average earnings growth 1995-2010
- Figure 50: Real household disposable income at constant (2001) prices 1995-2010
Employment
- Figure 51: UK employment 1995-2010
- Figure 52: UK unemployment 1995-2010
Inflation
- Figure 53: Inflation rates Y-o-Y 1995-2010
- Table 30: Measures of inflation
Exchange Rates
- Figure 54: Sterling, dollar and euro exchange rates 1995-2010
Interest Rates
- Figure 55: UK average base rates 1996-2006
Savings Ratio
- Figure 56: Savings ratio 1995-2010
Consumer Debt
- Figure 57: Growth in consumer debt 1995-2010
Shares
- Figure 58: FTSE 100 Index 1995-2010
House Price Inflation
- Figure 59: UK house price inflation 1995-2010
Mortgage Equity Withdrawal
- Figure 60: Mortgage equity withdrawal 1995-2010
Housing Transactions
- Figure 61: Housing transactions (England & Wales) 1995-2010
Uk Retailing Forecasts
Key Indicators
- Figure 62: UK retailing forecasts summary 2005-2010
Retail Expenditure 1995-2010
- Table 31: Total consumer retail expenditure 1995-2010
- Figure 63: Retail spending as percentage of total consumer spending 1995-2004 and forecast to 2010
- Figure 64: Consumer spending value, volume and inflation/deflation trends 1995-2004 and forecast to 2010
- Table 32: Forecast chronology 2005-2010
Sources of Growth 1995-2010
- Table 33: Total UK physical store sales & selling space 1995-2010
- Table 34: Sources of sales growth for physical stores 1995-2010
Sales by Location 1995-2010
- Figure 65: Retail spending by location 2005 and 2010
- Table 35: Sales by location 1995-2010
- Figure 66: Share of turnover by location 1995-2010
Shops by Location 1995-2010
- Table 36: Shop numbers 1995-2010
- Figure 67: Share of shops by location 1995, 2000, 2005 & 2010
Space by Location 1995-2010
- Table 37: Space by location 1995-2010
Sales Density by Location 1995-2010
- Table 38: Sales densities by location at current prices 1995-2010
Average Store Size 1995-2010
- Table 39: Average store size by location 1995-2010
Average Store Sales 1995-2010
- Table 40: Average sales per store by location at current prices 1995-2010
Glossary
Terminology
Market Definitions
- Table 41: Clothing & footwear market definition
- Location Definitions
Forecasting Methodology
Figure 68: Verdict forecasting methodology
Abbreviations