Opportunities in Retail Sector - China (2007-2011)

Publication Date	August 2007
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	70
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00214

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Summary

"Opportunities in Retail Sector - China (2007-2011)", a report by RNCOS, provides extensive research and rational analysis on the retail industry in China. This report helps clients to analyse the opportunities and factors critical to the success of retail industry in the country. It underlines the key issues the industry is facing and provides a prudent analysis on its various aspects.

The report analyses various market segments and retail formats present in the industry. The overview on opportunities and future forecast helps the clients analyse the future course of direction and major growth areas of the industry.

Market Analysis

Retail is one of the major industries in the world. It has played a key role in improving the world's productivity and has been a major contributor to the economic growth of developing countries. In 2006, total sales of retail industry across the world are expected to have reached the phenomenal value of around US$ 12.1 Trillion. China retail industry is third largest emerging retail markets in the world and in past, the market has forged ahead with the CAGR of 12.38%. The booming economy, increasing income levels, deregulation of retail sector and increased confidence of Chinese consumer makes china a lucrative market for international retail players.

Key Findings

Hypermarkets will have the highest growth potential among different store formats.
Cosmetics and toiletries, apparel, furniture, washing machines and computers will be the top five fastest growing categories in the forecasted period.
Organic food sales will remain buoyant in the coming years. It is expected that the organic food turnover will be US$ 400 Million by 2007.
Per head disposable income will increase with the CAGR of 11.52% during the forecasted period and will give thrust to the overall retail industry.

Key Issues Analysed

The research report addresses some vital issues critical to the success of retail industry in China, like:

The market size and scope of the retail industry.
Evaluation of current market trends.
Analysis of various challenges and opportunities for the industry.
The factors driving growth in this sector.
Various retailing formats in China retail industry.
Detailed discussion of consumer behaviour.
Market position of key players in this sector.

Key Players Analysed

This section covers the key players currently operating in the China retail industry, including Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Carrefour SA, Wumart Stores, Inc., Shanghai Bailian Group Co. Ltd., etc.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information in the report has been taken from various authentic sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method

The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting and cause and effect analysis.

Content

1. Analyst View
2. Industry Overview
- 2.1 Global Retail Sales
  - 2.1.1 By Geographical Regions
- 2.2 Emerging Retail Markets
- 2.3 China Retail Industry
  - 2.3.1 Retail Sales
3. Performance of China Retail Industry
- 3.1 By Composition
  - 3.1.1 Food Retail Sales
  - 3.1.2 Food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.1.3 Non-Food Retail Sales
  - 3.1.4 Non-Food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
- 3.2 Non-Food Retail Sales - By Segment
  - 3.2.1 Clothing Retail Sales
  - 3.2.2 Clothing Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.3 Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales
  - 3.2.4 Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.5 Furniture Retail Sales
  - 3.2.6 Furniture Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.7 Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales
  - 3.2.8 Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.9 Television Sets Retail Sales Volume
  - 3.2.10 Television Sets Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.11 Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume
  - 3.2.12 Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.13 Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume
  - 3.2.14 Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
  - 3.2.15 Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume
  - 3.2.16 Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
- 3.3 By Retail Format
  - 3.3.1 Hypermarkets
  - 3.3.2 Supermarkets
  - 3.3.3 Convenience Stores
  - 3.3.4 Traditional Markets
  - 3.3.5 Retail Sales Forecast - By Format (2008)
4. Understanding the Chinese Consumer
- 4.1 Income/Buying Power
- 4.2 Average Household Spending Patterns
- 4.3 Lifestyle/Shopping Habits
- 4.4 Brand/Price Sensitivity
- 4.5 Preferred Shopping Partner
5. Industry Analysis
- 5.1 Drivers
  - 5.1.1 WTO Accession
  - 5.1.2 Personal Disposable Income
  - 5.1.3 Deregulation of Retail Sector
  - 5.1.4 Population Growth
  - 5.1.5 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
  - 5.1.6 Change in Urban & Rural Proportion
  - 5.1.7 High Consumer Confidence
  - 5.1.8 Young Chinese Consumers
- 5.2 Opportunities
  - 5.2.1 Organic Food & Beverages
  - 5.2.2 Non-Food Retail Products
  - 5.2.3 Packaged, Processed & Ready-to-eat Products
  - 5.2.4 Tourism & Western Style Food Outlets
  - 5.2.5 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
  - 5.2.6 Luxury Goods
  - 5.2.7 Convenience Stores
  - 5.2.8 Packaged & Frozen Foods with Long Shelf-life
  - 5.2.9 Suppliers & Retailers
  - 5.2.10 Private Labels
  - 5.2.11 European Producers
  - 5.2.12 Sourcing
  - 5.2.13 Branded Products
  - 5.2.14 Potential Areas
- 5.3 Challenges
  - 5.3.1 Domestic Retailers
  - 5.3.2 Industrial Policy
  - 5.3.3 Anti-trust Policy
  - 5.3.4 Dangerous Products
  - 5.3.5 Supply Chain
  - 5.3.6 Finding Good Staff
  - 5.3.7 Counterfeiting & Piracy
- 5.4 Emerging Trends
  - 5.4.1 Moving away from the Coast
  - 5.4.2 Going Alone or Partnering?
  - 5.4.3 Coming In & Going Out
  - 5.4.4 Consolidation & Alliance
  - 5.4.5 Localisation & Blending
  - 5.4.6 Diversi?cation & Differentiation
- 5.5 Future Development Scenario
  - 5.5.1 Scenario 1
  - 5.5.2 Scenario 2
6. Key Players
- 6.1 Carrefour SA
- 6.2 Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
- 6.3 Wumart Stores, Inc.
- 6.4 Dashang Group Company Ltd.
- 6.5 Shanghai Bailian Group Co., Ltd.
List of Figures:
- Figure 2-1: Worldwide - Retail Sales (in Trillion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 2-2: Worldwide - Retail Sales by Geographical Region (in Trillion US$), 2006E
- Figure 2-3: China - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-1: China - Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-2: China - Relative Consumption of Selected Food Products by Income Group (%), 2003
- Figure 3-3: China - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-4: China - Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-5: China - Forecast for Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-6: China - Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-7: China - Apparel Production by Segment (in Million Pieces), Jan-Feb 2006 & Jan-Feb 2007
- Figure 3-8: China - Forecast for Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-9: China - Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-10: China - Forecast for Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-11: China - Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-12: China - Forecast for Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-13: China - Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-14: China - Forecast for Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-15: China - Television Sets Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-16: China Mainland - Flat Screen TV Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2006 & 1H 2007
- Figure 3-17: China - Forecast for Television Sets Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-18: China - Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-19: China - Forecast for Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-20: China - Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-21: China - Forecast for Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-22: China - Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-23: China - Forecast for Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
- Figure 3-24: China - Forecast for Retail Sales Share by Retail Format (%), 2010
- Figure 3-25: China - Retail Sales Share by Format (%), 1998, 2005 & 2008F
- Figure 4-1: China - Composition of Average Household Expenditure (%), 1999 & 2005
- Figure 4-2: China - Preferred Shopping Partner (%), 2005
- Figure 5-1: China - Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 5-2: China - Population (in Billion), 2001-2006
- Figure 5-3: China - Urban & Rural Population Split (%), 1985 & 2005E
- Figure 5-4: Asia-Pacific - Consumer Confidence Index (in Points), 2H 2006E
- Figure 5-5: China - Population Breakup (%), 2006
- Figure 5-6: China - Organic Farmland Share in Total Farmland (%), 2006
- Figure 5-7: China - Consumer Expenditure on Healthy & Organic Food (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2015F
- Figure 5-8: China - Forecast for Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 5-9: China - Middle Class Population (in Million), 2005-06 & 2025F
- Figure 5-10: China - Tourists Arrival (in Million), 2003-2006 & 2010F
- Figure 5-11: China - FDI Inflow (in Billion US$), 2002 & 2006-2010F
- Figure 5-12: China - Forecast for GDP (%), 2007-2011
- Figure 5-13: China - Empty Nesters Share in Total Households (%), 2005 & 2015F
- Figure 5-14: China - Urban Population (%), 2005 & 2015F
- Figure 5-15: China - Forecast for Potential Consumption in Tiers Cities (in Billion RMB), 2014
- Figure 5-16: China - Sales of European Retailers in Comparison with Other Foreign Retailers (%), 2005*
- Figure 5-17: China - Forecast of Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
List of Tables:
- Table 2-1: Worldwide - Top 10 Retailers by Net Sales (in Million US$), 2006
- Table 2-2: China - Position in Top 10 Emerging Retail Markets (2006 & 2007)
- Table 3-1: China - Number of Stores by Retail Store Format (2004 & 2005)
- Table 3-2: China - Number of Hypermarkets by Major Players (2004 & 2005)
- Table 3-3: China - Number of Supermarkets by Major Players (2004 & 2005)
- Table 5-1: China - GDP (%), 2001-2006
- Table 5-2: China - Forecast for Population Breakup (%), 2007-2011
- Table 5-3: China - Selected M&A Transactions in Retail Industry (in Million US$), 2006
- Table 6-1: Carrefour SA - Key Financials (2004-2006)
- Table 6-2: Wal-Mart Stores Inc. - Key Financials (2005 & 2006)
- Table 6-3: Wumart Stores, Inc. - Key Financials (2003-2005)
- Table 6-4: Dashang Group Company Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006
- Table 6-5: Shanghai Bailian Group Co., Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006