Russian Retail Sector Analysis (2007-2011)

Publication Date	March 2007
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	60
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00156

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Summary

RNCOS 'Russian Retail Sector Analysis (2007-2011)' report provides extensive research and rational analysis on Russian Retail Industry. This report helps clients to analyze the opportunities and factors critical to the success of retail industry in Russia.

Key Findings

Population at the age group of 15-64 has increased YOY and constituted 71.5% of total population in the year 2006 and this main consumer group will increase with a CAGR value 0.35% from the year 2007 to 2011
The structure of household consumption in Russia has changed significantly over the past five years: the share of income spent on foodstuffs dropped from 51% in 1999 to 46% in 2005. Food expenditure in Russia is being replaced by increased expenditure on household facilities, recreation, education and cultural services
Disposable income has increased with a CAGR 26.41% spanning from 2001 to 2006 and reached to the value US$ 549.74 Billion in the year 2006
Cities with the population more than 1 Million will go to be the next big retail markets for the retailers
The steady growth in personal incomes, as well as ongoing real ruble appreciation, is forecasted to increase the size of the retail market to US$ 744.92 by 2011
Discounters are the fastest growing retail format in Russia

Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

The research report also addresses the issues and facts that are critical to success of Russia retail industry in general

What is the market size and scope of the Organized Retail in Russia?
What and where are the growth prospects and issues related to the industry?
What are the factors driving growth in this sector?
What are the size of organized market segment wise & its growth prospects?
Who are the major players of Russian Retail Industry, their presence and strategies being used by them and their market positioning?
What are the opportunities & challenges faced by retailers in Russia and emerging trends there?

Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key facts about players currently operating in the Russia retail industry including Ramstore, Magnit, Auchan, Metro AG, Pyaterochka.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from namely, books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method

The analysis methods includes the following: Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Content

1. Analyst View2. Research Overview
3. Industry Overview
- 3.1 Worldwide Retail Sales
- 3.2 Worldwide Retail Sales by Geographical Regions
- 3.3 Western Europe - Retail Sales
- 3.4 Eastern Europe - Non-Food Retail Sales
- 3.5 Russian Retail Industry
  - 3.5.1 Russia as an Emerging Market
4. Industry Performance
- 4.1 Russia Retail Sales - By Region
- 4.2 Russia Retail Sales - By Composition
  - 4.2.1 Food Retail Sales
    - 4.2.1.1 Major Food Retailers
  - 4.2.2 Non-Food Retail Market
    - 4.2.2.1 Major Non-Food Retailers
- 4.3 Retail Sales - By Product
  - 4.3.1 Apparel
  - 4.3.2 Household Appliances
  - 4.3.3 Alcoholic Drinks
  - 4.3.4 Electronics
- 4.4 Russia Retail Sales - By Retail Format
  - 4.4.1 Hypermarket
  - 4.4.2 Supermarket
  - 4.4.3 Discounters
  - 4.4.4 Convenience Stores
  - 4.4.5 Cash & Carry Format
  - 4.4.6 Specialty Stores
    - 4.4.6.1 Do It Yourself (DIY)
    - 4.4.6.2 Drugstores
  - 4.4.7 Malls
5. Demographic Profile and Consumer Behaviour
- 5.1 Population
- 5.2 Favourable Population Breakup
- 5.3 Urbanization of the Population
- 5.4 Income/Buying Power of the Consumers
- 5.5 Consumer Behaviour
  - 5.5.1 Household Consumption Pattern
  - 5.5.2 Lifestyle and Shopping Habits
6. Industry Analysis
- 6.1 Drivers
  - 6.1.1 Disposable Income
  - 6.1.2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  - 6.1.3 Declining Unemployment
  - 6.1.4 Change in Urban-Rural Proportion
- 6.2 Opportunities
  - 6.2.1 Sustained Economic Growth
  - 6.2.2 Increased demand for Healthy Products
  - 6.2.3 Development of Consumer Credit
  - 6.2.4 Urbanization of Population
  - 6.2.5 Joint Ventures with Foreign Investors
- 6.3 Challenges
  - 6.3.1 Struggle for Space
  - 6.3.2 Logistics and Supply Chains
  - 6.3.3 Potential WTO Accession
  - 6.3.4 Intellectual Property Rights
  - 6.3.5 GDP Growth in the Future
  - 6.3.6 Decline in Population Growth
  - 6.3.7 Fraud and Counterfeits
- 6.4 Future Outlook (2007-2011)
  - 6.4.1 Growth in Retail Sales
  - 6.4.2 Growth in Food Retail Sales
  - 6.4.3 Growth in Non-Food Retail Sales
  - 6.4.4 Retail Sales - By Format
  - 6.4.5 Retail Sales - By Region
- 6.5 Mergers & Acquisitions
7. Key Players
- 7.1 Ramstore (Ramenka)
- 7.2 Auchan
- 7.3 Metro AG
- 7.4 Pyaterochka
- 7.5 Magnit
8. Appendices
- 8.1 Foreign Direct Investment and Government Plicies
  - 8.1.1 Foreign Direct Investment
  - 8.1.2 Property/Real Estate
  - 8.1.3 Corporate Income Tax
  - 8.1.4 Value-added Tax
  - 8.1.5 Unified Social Tax
  - 8.1.6 Simplified Tax System for Small/Medium Companies
  - 8.1.7 Customs Code
  - 8.1.8 Advertising Law
List of Figures:
- Figure 3-1: Worldwide - Retail Sales (in Trillion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-2: Worldwide - Retail Sales by Geographical Regions (in Trillion US$), 2006E
- Figure 3-3: Western Europe - Retail Sales (in Trillion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 3-4: Eastern Europe - Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 4-1: Russia - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 4-2: Russia - Retail Market Share by Region (%), 2005
- Figure 4-3: Russia - Retail Food Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 4-4: Russia - Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 4-5: Russia - Apparel Market Segmentation (%), 2005
- Figure 4-6: Russia - Household Appliances Market (in Billion US$), 2001-2005
- Figure 4-7: Russia - Household Appliances Market Segmentation (%), 2005
- Figure 4-8: Russia - Alcoholic Drinks Market (in Million US$), 2002-2006E
- Figure 4-9: Russia - Alcoholic Drinks Market Segmentation (%), 2006E
- Figure 4-10: Urban Russia - Market Share of Modern Retail and Traditional Retail (%), 2005-06
- Figure 4-11: Russia - Market Share by Retail Formats (%), 2005
- Figure 4-12: Worldwide - Growth in Shopping Malls (%), Jan. 2004 to Dec. 2005
- Figure 5-1: Russia - Forecast of Population Development (in Thousand), 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 & 2050
- Figure 5-2: Russia - Composition of Average Household Expenditure (%), 1999 & 2005
- Figure 5-3: Russia - Ownership by Share of Households (%), 2001 & 2005
- Figure 6-1: Russia - Disposable Income (in Billion US$), 2001-2006
- Figure 6-2: Russia - Decline in Population Growth (in Million), 2001-2006
- Figure 6-3: Russia - Forecast for Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 6-4: Russia - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 6-5: Russia - Forecast for Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 6-6: Russia - Forecast for Market Share by Retail Format (%), 2010
- Figure 6-7: Russia - Forecast for Retail Market Share by Region (%), 2010
- Figure 7-1: Metro AG - Stock Overview (2006)
- Figure 8-1: Russia - FDI in Major Sectors (%), 2005-06
List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Worldwide - Top 10 Retailers by Net Sales (in Billion US$), 2005
- Table 3-2: Russia - Position in the Tally of Top 10 Emerging Retail Markets (2005 & 2006)
- Table 4-1: Russia - Turnover of Top Retailers (in Million US$), 2005
- Table 4-2: Russia - Major Food Retailers by Sales Volume (in Million Euro), 2005
- Table 4-3: Russia - Major Non-Food Retailers by Sales Volume (in Million Euro), 2005
- Table 4-4: Russia - Number of Hypermarkets (2002-2005)
- Table 4-5: Russia - Number of Supermarkets (2002-2005)
- Table 4-6: Russia - Number of Major Discount Stores and Sales (in Million Euro), 2005
- Table 4-7: Russia - Number of Major C-Stores and Sales (in Million Euro), 2005
- Table 4-8: Russia - Number of Major Cash & Carry Outlets and Sales (in Million Euro), 2005
- Table 4-9: Russia - Number of Key Specialty Stores & Sales (in Million Euro), 2004
- Table 5-1: Russia - Population (in Million), 2001-2006
- Table 5-2: Russia - Age Profile for Population (%), 2001-2006
- Table 5-3: Russia - Forecast for Age Profile for Population (%), 2007-2011
- Table 5-4: Russia - Rural & Urban Population Split (%), 1999, 2004, 2005 & 2009F
- Table 6-1: Russia - GDP and CPI (%), 2001-2006
- Table 6-2: Russia - Unemployment (%), 2001-2006
- Table 6-3: Russia - Forecast for GDP, CPI and Unemployment (%), 2007-2011
- Table 6-4: Russia - Merger & Acquisition Activity in Retail Industry (2004 to 2006)
- Table 7-1: Ramstore (Ramenka) - Financial Overview (Jan. 2006)
- Table 7-2: Auchan - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2005
- Table 7-3: Metro AG - Financial Overview (2005)
- Table 7-4: Pyaterochka - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2005-06
- Table 7-5: Magnit - Financial Overview (2005-06)