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United Arab Emirates Food and Drink Report Q2 2013

  • Publication Date:February 2013
  • Publisher:Business Monitor
  • Product Type: Report
  • Pages:93
  • ISBN:180674

United Arab Emirates Food and Drink Report Q2 2013

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

We expect that consumer confidence and private consumption in the UAE will remain solid moving
forward despite ongoing turmoil in global markets and renewed concerns surrounding the strength of the
US, eurozone and Chinese economies. The outlook for household spending in the UAE over the coming
quarters remains encouraging, despite anaemic credit growth. According to a recent report by Hay Group,
85% of firms in the UAE increased salaries in 2012, while a country-wide average nominal pay rise of 5.5%
is forecast for 2013. Moreover, latest consumer and business confidence surveys by Bayt.com/YouGov
appear to indicate that household consumption will gradually accelerate over the coming quarters, with both
the 'consumer confidence' and' consumer expectations' indices trending higher from their December 2011
troughs. Currently we are forecasting that household spending will expand by 7.0% in real terms in 2013,
following estimated growth of 6.0% in 2012.
Headline Industry Data
- In 2013, we expect total food consumption to increase by 5.3% in local currency terms. Over our fiveyear
forecast period to 2017, we expect total food consumption to increase at a compound annual rate of
6.2%.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT Analysis 9
Food 9
Drink 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 18
Crude Soya Bean Oil 18
Table: Crude Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 18
Drink 19
Soft Drinks 19
Table: Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 21
Hot Drinks 22
Mass Grocery Retail 22
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format 23
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 23
Trade 24
Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts 25
Macroeconomic Forecast 26
Economic Outlook 26
Household Consumption Outlook 30
Fixed Investment Outlook 32
Government Consumption Outlook 34
Net Export Outlook 35
Table: United Arab Emirates Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
UAE 37
Middle East and North Africa 37
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q213 38
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Sub-components Q213 (out of 10) 39
Market Overview 43
Food 43
Food Production 43
Agriculture 44
Halal Food 44
Drink 45
Hot Drinks 45
Soft Drinks 45
Mass Grocery Retail 46
Industry Trends And Developments 48
Food 48
Drink 53
Mass Grocery Retail 55
Competitive Landscape 56
Table: Key Players In UAE's Food & Drink Sector 56
Table: Key Players In UAE's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 57
Company Profile 58
Unilever North Africa Middle East 58
Abu Dhabi National Foodstuff Company 60
Al Ain Dairy 62
Masafi 65
Al Ain Mineral Water Company 67
Aujan 69
EMKE Group 71
Carrefour MAF 74
Spinneys Dubai 76
Global Industry Overview 78
Table: Core Views 84
Demographic Forecast 85
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 86
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 87
Table: United Arab Emirates' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 88
Table: United Arab Emirates' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 88
Glossary 89
Food & Drink 89
Mass Grocery Retail 89
Methodology 91
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 91
Table: Rewards 92
Table: Risks 92
Table: Weighting 93
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