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Czech Republic Retail Report Q2 2013

  • Publication Date:March 2013
  • Publisher:Business Monitor
  • Product Type: Report
  • Pages:93
  • ISBN:178012

Czech Republic Retail Report Q2 2013


Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The Czech Republic Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market but flags
short-term concerns about the impact on the country's economic outlook of the government's continued
commitment to fiscal austerity. The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Czech retail
market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of uncertainty regarding the
eurozone's economic outlook on the Czech consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise
returns in the short term. The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being
employed by the leading players in the Czech retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth
opportunities offered by the local market.
The Czech Republic comes third (out of 10) in BMI's Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) Retail Risk/
Reward Ratings, and notably outperforms for Risk. Among all retail categories, mass grocery retail (MGR)
will be the outperformer through to 2017 in growth terms, with BMI forecasting sales to expand by almost
34%, from US$14.54bn in 2013 to US$19.44bn by 2017. Through to 2017, we expect the proportional
contribution of supermarkets and hypermarkets to remain dominant, with premiumisation momentum
expected to pick up in line with the pre-crisis trend. In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in
the fact that the Czech Republic, which joined the EU in May 2004, has a reasonably open economy
compared with some neighbouring CEE markets, and some companies from outside the region continue to
transfer part of their business to the Czech Republic to reduce costs and take advantage of the domestic
market.
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT . 9
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast 14
Industry Forecast Scenario 14
Table: Czech Republic Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017 . . . . 14
Table: Retail Sales By Segment, 2013f . 16
Economic Analysis 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts . 17
Risks To Outlook . 21
Table: Czech Republic - Economic Activity . . . . 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings . 23
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Ratings . . . . . . 23
Czech Republic Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Limits To Potential Returns 25
Risks To Realisation Of Returns 25
Market Overview . 26
Current Trends . 27
Key Players . 30
Regional Overview 32
Central And Eastern Europe Regional Overview . 32
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Trends, 2010-2017 32
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (US$bn, unless stated) 32
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales By % Share, 2010-2017 . . . . 34
Regional Retail Trends 34
Mass Grocery Retail 43
Mass Grocery Retail . 43
Industry Forecast . 44
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2017 . . . . 45
Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2017 . . 46
Market Overview 47
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Number Of Outlets, 2004-2011 . . . . 49
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2011 And 2021 (% of total) 49
Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Value, 2004-2011 . . 50
Table: Value Sales Per Outlet, 2011e . . 50
Consumer Electronics 51
SWOT 51
Table: Czech Republic Consumer Electronics Market SWOT . 51
Industry Forecast . 52
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2010-2017 . . 53
Market Overview 55
Table: Top Four Czech Electronics Retailers, Revenue 2008-2009 (CZKbn) . 56
Table: PC Sales, 2010-2017 . . . 57
Table: AV Sales, 2010-2017 . . . . 61
Table: Analogue vs Digital TV Subscribers . . . . 64
Table: Mobile Communications, 2010-2017 . . . 66
Autos 71
SWOT 71
Industry Forecast . 73
Table: Czech Autos Production, 2010-2017 . . . . 73
Table: Czech Autos Sales, 2010-2017 . . 73
Table: Czech Autos Trade, 2009-2016 . 75
Competitive Landscape . 76
Table: Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - Passenger Cars 2011 . . . 77
Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - Passenger Cars Jan-Oct 78
Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - New Light CVs 2011 . . . . 80
Table: Czech Republic Top Key Players - Trucks 2011 81
Table: Czech Republic Top Key Players - Buses 2011 . 82
Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - New Light CVs Jan-Oct . 82
Table: Czech Republic Top Key Players - Trucks Jan-Oct . . . . . 83
Table: Czech Republic Top Key Players - Buses Jan-Oct . . . . . . 83
Demographic Forecast . 88
Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . 89
Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . 90
Table: The Czech Republic's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . 91
Table: The Czech Republic's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . 91
Methodology 92
Sources 93
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