Country Report Austria September 2009
| Publication Date | September 2009 |
|---|---|
| Publisher | EIU |
| Product Type | Report |
| Pages | 24 |
| ISBN Number | not applicable |
| Product Code | EIU00463 |
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Summary
Outlook for 2009-10
- The current "grand coalition" between the Social Democratic Party (SPO) and the Austrian People's Party (OVP) has been and should continue to be characterised by more co-operation than the previous one.
- The return of social partners to the government indicates a move back towards the traditional consensual approach that dominated politics in Austria up until 2000.
- The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the Freedom Party (FPO) to remain a significant force, as the third-largest party after the two coalition partners, but a reunification with the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZO) is unlikely.
- The government's short-term focus is to help consumers and businesses weather the economic downturn and to continue to take measures to shore up the banking sector.
- Given its rapidly rising budget deficit and levels of public debt, we expect the government to unwind its fiscal stimulus measures during 2010 as it seeks to implement austerity measures.
- After growing by 1.7% in 2008, GDP will contract by 3.3% in 2009, before returning to moderate growth, of 0.2%, in 2010. Any recovery will probably have to be linked to one in Germany, which is not expected until 2010.
Monthly review
- A recent opinion poll revealed that the OVP and SPO each have around 31% support. The OVP has lost some popularity in recent months, partly because of speculation that the federal debt agency invested in high-risk securities.
- On August 19th the minister of justice, Claudia Bandion-Ortner, met with Gerhard Dorfler and representatives of the Slovene minority in Carinthia to discuss the issue of multilingual road signs.
- In an interview with a daily newspaper, Die Presse, on July 26th, the third president of parliament, Martin Graf (FPO), called for a referendum on the future status of South Tyrol. His proposal met with widespread opposition.
- On July 28th the council of ministers passed a draft law to introduce a minimum income for unemployed persons of ???733 per month.
- The ministers of justice and the economy presented a new draft insolvency law to parliament, aimed at increasing the number of companies that can continue their operations and be rehabilitated.
- According to an environmental umbrella group, Umweltdachverband, the government plans to construct 60 new hydroelectric power plants.
- Bank Austria's Purchasing Managers' Index score improved to 49.9 in August.
Source: Country Report
This report covers the following industry codes:
SIC Code: 39
NAICS Code: 31
Content
- Highlights
- Outlook for 2009-10: Domestic politics
- Outlook for 2009-10: International relations
- Outlook for 2009-10: Policy trends
- Outlook for 2009-10: Fiscal policy
- Outlook for 2009-10: Monetary policy
- Outlook for 2009-10: International assumptions
- Outlook for 2009-10: Economic growth
- Outlook for 2009-10: Inflation
- Outlook for 2009-10: Exchange rates
- Outlook for 2009-10: External sector
- Outlook for 2009-10: Forecast summary
- The political scene: SPO and OVP are even in opinion polls
- The political scene: Multilingual city-limit signs are on the political agenda
- The political scene: Martin Graf calls for referendum on South Tyrol
- Economic policy: New minimum income is set
- Economic policy: Draft insolvency law is presented
- Economic policy: Major investment is planned in hydroelectric power
- Economic performance: GDP continues to decline
- Economic performance: Manufacturing industry shows some positive signs
- Economic performance: Consumer prices continue to fall
- Data and charts: Annual data and forecast
- Data and charts: Quarterly data
- Data and charts: Monthly data
- Data and charts: Annual trends charts
- Data and charts: Monthly trends charts
- Data and charts: Comparative economic indicators
- Basic data
- Political structure
Delivery Details
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