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Country Report Austria September 2009

Publication Date September 2009
Publisher EIU
Product Type Report
Pages 24
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code EIU00463
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Summary

Outlook for 2009-10

  • The current "grand coalition" between the Social Democratic Party (SPO) and the Austrian People's Party (OVP) has been and should continue to be characterised by more co-operation than the previous one.
  • The return of social partners to the government indicates a move back towards the traditional consensual approach that dominated politics in Austria up until 2000.
  • The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the Freedom Party (FPO) to remain a significant force, as the third-largest party after the two coalition partners, but a reunification with the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZO) is unlikely.
  • The government's short-term focus is to help consumers and businesses weather the economic downturn and to continue to take measures to shore up the banking sector.
  • Given its rapidly rising budget deficit and levels of public debt, we expect the government to unwind its fiscal stimulus measures during 2010 as it seeks to implement austerity measures.
  • After growing by 1.7% in 2008, GDP will contract by 3.3% in 2009, before returning to moderate growth, of 0.2%, in 2010. Any recovery will probably have to be linked to one in Germany, which is not expected until 2010.

Monthly review

  • A recent opinion poll revealed that the OVP and SPO each have around 31% support. The OVP has lost some popularity in recent months, partly because of speculation that the federal debt agency invested in high-risk securities.
  • On August 19th the minister of justice, Claudia Bandion-Ortner, met with Gerhard Dorfler and representatives of the Slovene minority in Carinthia to discuss the issue of multilingual road signs.
  • In an interview with a daily newspaper, Die Presse, on July 26th, the third president of parliament, Martin Graf (FPO), called for a referendum on the future status of South Tyrol. His proposal met with widespread opposition.
  • On July 28th the council of ministers passed a draft law to introduce a minimum income for unemployed persons of ???733 per month.
  • The ministers of justice and the economy presented a new draft insolvency law to parliament, aimed at increasing the number of companies that can continue their operations and be rehabilitated.
  • According to an environmental umbrella group, Umweltdachverband, the government plans to construct 60 new hydroelectric power plants.
  • Bank Austria's Purchasing Managers' Index score improved to 49.9 in August.

Source: Country Report

This report covers the following industry codes:
SIC Code: 39
NAICS Code: 31

Content

  • Highlights
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Domestic politics
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International relations
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Policy trends
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Fiscal policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Monetary policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International assumptions
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Economic growth
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Inflation
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Exchange rates
  • Outlook for 2009-10: External sector
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Forecast summary
  • The political scene: SPO and OVP are even in opinion polls
  • The political scene: Multilingual city-limit signs are on the political agenda
  • The political scene: Martin Graf calls for referendum on South Tyrol
  • Economic policy: New minimum income is set
  • Economic policy: Draft insolvency law is presented
  • Economic policy: Major investment is planned in hydroelectric power
  • Economic performance: GDP continues to decline
  • Economic performance: Manufacturing industry shows some positive signs
  • Economic performance: Consumer prices continue to fall
  • Data and charts: Annual data and forecast
  • Data and charts: Quarterly data
  • Data and charts: Monthly data
  • Data and charts: Annual trends charts
  • Data and charts: Monthly trends charts
  • Data and charts: Comparative economic indicators
  • Basic data
  • Political structure

Industry Events