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Country Report Thailand July 2009

Publication Date July 2009
Publisher EIU
Product Type Report
Pages 27
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code EIU00207
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Summary

Outlook for 2009-10

  • Thailand will remain unstable politically in 2009-10, as there will be no resolution to the country's protracted, multifaceted power struggle.
  • As well as contending with opposition groups, the prime minister, Abhisit Vejjajiva, may struggle to retain the support of his partners in the coalition government. A general election could be held within the next year or so.
  • The government will attempt to support economic growth by means of an expansionary fiscal policy stance. However, it will face constraints owing to falling revenue in 2009. Monetary policy will remain accommodative.
  • The economy will shrink by 4.5% in 2009??

Content

  • Highlights
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Domestic politics
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International relations
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Policy trends
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Fiscal policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Monetary policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International assumptions
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Economic growth
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Inflation
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Exchange rates
  • Outlook for 2009-10: External sector
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Forecast summary
  • The political scene: Opposition protesters return to the streets of Bangkok
  • The political scene: Abhisit faces up to the fragility of the ruling coalition
  • The political scene: The insurgency in Thailand's south escalates
  • Economic policy: The government pushes through borrowing bills
  • Economic policy: The fiscal position remains dire as revenue plummets
  • Economic policy: The central bank rejects calls to spend reserves
  • Economic performance: Consumption and investment remain weak
  • Economic performance: The decline in output slows, but troubles persist
  • Economic performance: Exporters suffer a record year-on-year decline
  • Data and charts: Annual data and forecast
  • Data and charts: Quarterly data
  • Data and charts: Monthly data
  • Data and charts: Annual trends charts
  • Data and charts: Monthly trends charts
  • Data and charts: Comparative economic indicators
  • Basic data
  • Political structure

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