Thailand Defence and Security Report Q4 2008

Publication Date	December 2008
Publisher	Business Monitor
Product Type	Report
Pages	43
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	BMI03116

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Summary

Greater sectarian strife in Thailand's extreme south is the country's major security threat at present. But threats to Thailand's borders are rooted in cultural and territorial claims rather than being part of a global terrorism threat. An increase in the number of assassinations of schoolteachers, being the most visible and accessible government employees of the country, has become a major concern. Hopes that creative solutions to the southern unrest can be found are remote, given political bickering. Moreover, a weak local economy and rising unemployment are key issues that are fanning the flames of discontent in the south.

Concerns have grown that the military, as well as the government, could abuse wide-ranging legislation that gives the army enhanced powers to deal with national security threats. Yet the Thai army is untested and has failed to restore order in the south, and its upper ranks are increasingly preoccupied with political posturing and positioning against an increasingly fractious backdrop in Bangkok.

Content

Executive Summary
- Thailand Security SWOT
- Thailand Defence Industry SWOT
- Thailand Political SWOT
- Thailand Economic SWOT
- Thailand Business Environment SWOT
Political Overview
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Composite
- Regional rank
- Trend
- Danger rating
- Regional Security: South East Asia
- Inter-State Conflicts
- Internal Conflicts
- Thailand's Security Risk
- Terrorism Risk
- Physical Safety Risk
- Conflict Risk
- Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Recent Developments
- Southern Thai Muslim Insurgency
- BRN-K
- GMIP/PULO
- Table: Thai Muslim Insurgents
- External Security Situation
- Drugs Trade
Defence Industry
- Armed Forces
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (000 personnel)
- International Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Thailand's Military Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Army Enlargements
- Government Expenditure On Defence Industry
- Table: Thailand's Armed Forces, 2004-2012 (000 personnel unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Thailand's Armed Forces And Government Defence Expenditure, 2004-2012 (000 personnel unless otherwise stated)
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: Thailand Macroeconomic Activity, 2005-2012
Company Profiles
- Loxley
- Asian Marine Services
- Thai-Italian Interarms Company
- Minebea
- Country Snapshot: Thailand Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Non-Agricultural Wages, 2001-20
BMI Forecast Modelling
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
- Sources