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Vietnam Defence & Security Report Q1 2008

Publication Date December 2007
Publisher Business Monitor
Product Type Report
Pages 39
ISBN Number 1749-1762
Product Code BMI00418
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Summary

Vietnam is in the process of re-integrating into the international community, and as such much of its internal political and social structures have undergone change. Vietnam is also forging a role for itself in regional strategic and security developments, particularly with traditional allies. In Q407, Vietnam hosted a visit from North Korean officials, keen to learn from Vietnam's successful doi moi economic programme. Should the visit to Vietnam be successful, it is likely that the country may play a more significant strategic role in coaxing North Korea from its reclusive existence in Asia Pacific strategic relations.

In 2007, the Vietnamese government announced plans to reform the financial dealings of the Vietnam People's Army (VPA). The move to reform the private business enterprises of the Vietnamese armed forces is the result of it strengthening ties with other regional armed forces, which has kick-started the move towards a professionalised force focusing on conventional armed force duties. The move is part of the government's larger policy to consolidate all state-owned enterprises under the control of one umbrella group, and then to sell the stakes off to private investors to generate a steady revenue for the state for the next 10-20 years. Vietnam's defence spending continues to hover above US$3bn, but much of this money is allocated to wages and quality of life improvements. In 2005 the defence budget was estimated at US$3.15bn and in 2006 US$3.43bn. The 2007 budget is estimated at US$3.5bn.

Vietnam's local defence industry is smaller than that of its neighbours, including Thailand and Singapore, and thus the local defence industry faces stiff regional competition. Encouragingly, in Q207 the International Traffic in Armed Regulations amendment enabled the US to embark on examining two-way trade with Vietnam on non-lethal defence systems. In the long run this may provide Vietnam with additional export opportunities in the sale of small arms and light weapons.

Content

  • Executive Summary
  • SWOT Analysis
  • Vietnam Security SWOT
  • Vietnam Defence Industry SWOT
  • Vietnam Political SWOT
  • Vietnam Economic SWOT
  • Vietnam Business Environment SWOT
  • Political Overview
  • BMI Core Scenario
  • Domestic Political Outlook
  • Security Risk Ratings
  • BMI's Security Ratings
  • Regional Security: South East Asia Q108
  • Overview
  • Inter-State Conflicts
  • Internal Conflicts
  • Vietnam Physical Safety Risk Rating
  • Vietnam Terrorism Risk Rating
  • Vietnam Conflict Risk Rating
  • Security Overview
  • Internal Security Situation
  • Governance
  • Ninth Party Congress To Present
  • The Central Highlands
  • Religion
  • Disease
  • Piracy and Maritime Security
  • Border Security
  • Illegal Trafficking
  • External Security Situation
  • Bilateral Relations
  • Defence Industry
  • Armed Forces
  • Weapons Of Mass Destruction
  • Market Overview And Structure
  • Industry Trends & Developments
  • Arms Trade Overview
  • Procurement Trends & Developments
  • Industry Forecast Scenario
  • Army And Military Enlargement
  • Government Expenditure On Defence Industry
  • Macroeconomic Foreca34
  • BMI Forecast Modelling
  • How we generate our industry forecasts
  • Defence Industry
  • Sources
  • List of Tables
    • Table: Vietnam Regional Security Ratings
  • Table Vietnam State Terrorism Vulnerability Index
    • Table: Actual and Attempted Piracy Attacks
    • Table: Vietnam Defence Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
    • Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity
Product features / use
Scope Expert Insight/Opinion yes
Level General Industry Strategies yes
Data Detailed Market Forecasts yes
Profiles Profiles of Key Companies yes
Features Contains SWOT Analysis yes
Extra Info Consumer Trends Highlighted yes

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