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Country Report Austria February 2009

Publication Date February 2009
Publisher EIU
Product Type Report
Pages 21
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code EIU01276
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Summary

Outlook for 2009-10

  • The Economist Intelligence Unit believes that the new "grand coalition" between the Social Democratic Party (SPO) and the Austrian People's Party (OVP) will be characterised by more co-operation than the previous one.
  • The return of social partners to the government indicates a move back towards the traditional consensual approach that dominated politics in Austria up until 2000.
  • Support for the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZO) will continue to fall throughout the forecast period. However, it is unlikely that the Freedom Party (FPO) and BZO will join forces, with their leaders rejecting a reunification.
  • The government will implement two packages aimed at boosting consumer purchasing power and will focus on taking measures to shore up liquidity in the banking sector.
  • The government is expected to encourage research and development (R&D) and innovation to shift from a traditional to a high-tech, knowledge-based economy with companies excelling in highly specialised, niche areas.
  • After growing by an estimated 1.6% in 2008, GDP will contract by 1.6% in 2009, before expanding moderately by 0.6% in 2010.

Monthly review

  • At the Greens' congress on January 17th 2009, 97.4% of the party elected Eva Glawischnig as leader, a surprisingly high percentage as Ms Glawischnig has been criticised by some in the party for her EU-sceptic stance.
  • Although the gas crisis that halted transmission of Russian gas to Austria ended in mid-January, it raised concerns in Austria about potential plans to restart a decommissioned nuclear reactor in Slovakia.
  • In a summit meeting on January 22nd, the government launched an initiative to support the banking sector in central and eastern Europe. Austrian banks have outstanding loans equal to about 70% of Austria's GDP in the region.
  • According to preliminary figures published by the minister of finance, the budget deficit for 2008 could be lower than expected. However, this announcement was made before fourth-quarter data were available.
  • With new-car registrations plummeting, the government introduced a new scrapping premium to boost the automotive industry and encourage car owners to replace their old cars with more environmentally friendly ones.
  • The European Commission called on Austria to reform its banking regulations to prevent foreigners from holding anonymous bank accounts in Austria.
  • Employment growth slowed to 0.8% in December and 0.2% in January 2009.

This report covers the following industry codes:
SIC Code: 37;39;60
NAICS Code: 336;31;52

Content

  • Highlights
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Domestic politics
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International relations
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Policy trends
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Fiscal policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Monetary policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International assumptions
  • Outlook for 2009-10: In focus
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Economic growth
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Inflation
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Exchange rates
  • Outlook for 2009-10: External sector
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Forecast summary
  • The political scene: Eva Glawischnig is elected as Green party leader
  • The political scene: Freedom Party member of parliament is convicted
  • The political scene: Gas crisis sparks concerns about Bohunice nuclear plant
  • Economic policy: Government launches eastern Europe bank stability initiative
  • Economic policy: Budget deficit in 2008 is lower than the government expected
  • Economic policy: Government introduces a scrapping premium
  • Economic policy: EU criticises Austria for anonymous bank accounts
  • Economic performance: Employment growth slows as unemployment rises
  • Economic performance: Manufacturing sector continues to slow
  • Economic performance: Vienna stock market plummets
  • Data and charts: Annual data and forecast
  • Data and charts: Quarterly data
  • Data and charts: Monthly data
  • Data and charts: Annual trends charts
  • Data and charts: Monthly trends charts
  • Political structure

Industry Events