Industrial production in Ukraine

Publication Date	November 2008
Publisher	Concorde Capital
Product Type	Report
Pages	2
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	CNC00004

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Summary

In this report we look at the key determinants of the industrial output decline in October 2008 and briefly discuss the outlook for Ukrainian companies. We calculate each sector's contribution to the October decline in industrial output.

Content

1. Impact of the slide in steel prices
- 2. Metallurgy contribution in decline
- 3. Industrial output by sector in August
TABLES
- Industrial output by sector in August
Key macroeconomic indicators and forecasts for 2008 and 2009
- 1. Real GDP growth
- 2. Nominal GDP, USD bln
- 3. Industrial output, % yoy
- 4. CPI (eop), % yoy
- 5. PPI (eop), % yoy
- 6. Retail trade, % yoy
- 7. Banking assets, % yoy
- 8. Construction, % yoy
External sector
- 1. FDI net, USD bln
- 2. C/A balance, % GDP
- 3. Trade balance, % GDP
- 4. External debt, % of GDP
- 5. NBU reserves, USD bln
Monetary and fiscal policy
- 1. Money supply (M3), % yoy
- 2. Official UAH/USD (eop)
- 3. Consolidated budget, % GDP
Prices for core commodities, as of October 27
- 1. Gas imports, USD/tcm
- 2. Crude oil (URALS), USD/bbl
- 3. Winter wheat, USD/mt, FOB
- 4. Steel square billet, USD/mt, FOB
CHARTS
- 1. Industrial output decrease by sector in August, chg mom
- 2. Business cycle indicators
- 3. Steel square billet, USD/mt, FOB, Black sea