Iran Infrastructure Report Q1 2009

Publication Date	January 2009
Publisher	Business Monitor
Product Type	Report
Pages	64
ISBN Number	1752-542X
Product Code	BMI03789

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Summary

In time for the launch of BMI's infrastructure Q109 reports we have revised our construction data. The data has been modified from 2008 onwards. This initiative stems from new methodology being introduced in our forecasting method and aims to increase the relevance and reliability of BMI's infrastructure data. BMI strives to be able to offer five year industry forecasts, however, some data sets are currently available, but will be updated in time for our Q209 series of reports. BMI will therefore make its predictions based on data sets for 2009-2012.

For 2009, BMI forecasts that Iran's construction industry will be worth IRR176,298bn (US$18.02bn).

The sector's value is forecast to continue increasing and we expect it to be worth approximately IRR307,484bn (US$29.18bn) in 2012. We note that growth in Iran's construction sector slowed in 2008, with just 2.13% of growth. Things look set to pick up in 2009, however, with the construction sector's growth forecast to be 6.90%. This growth will drop off slightly later in the forecast period, with 2012's growth figure predicted to be around 4.80%.

Iran's construction industry makes up a small percentage of Iran's total GDP, just 4.31%. BMI notes that this will slip slightly during the mid term, with the sector accounting for just 4.27% of total GDP by 2012.

BMI believes that the construction sector, not just domestically in Iran, but worldwide will be buffeted by the global economic downturn and will lead to investors tightening their belts, leaving less money to go towards funding infrastructure-related projects, especially those in the real estate sphere. This could see a serious decline in the number of companies available to participate in Private Public Partnership (PPP) projects, which will lead to delays and in some case cancellations of proposed infrastructure schemes.

In relation to Iran, BMI has no news of specific projects that may be affected by the economic downturn and it could be a case of 'watch this space'. BMI is, however, confident that the big infrastructure projects launched in 2008 - especially work associated with Iran's plans to develop nuclear power - will move ahead.

Content

Executive Summary
Market Overview
Iran
Global Overview
Mega-Urban Regions: Opportunities And Challenges For Infrastructure
Mega-Urban Regions: Investment Opportunities And Risks
Mega-Urban Regions: Investment Opportunities And Risks
Industry Trend Analysis - Construction Inflation Continues To Rise
Iran Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Iran Political SWOT
Iran Economic SWOT
Iran Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Transport Projects
Airports
Railways
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Energy And Utilities Projects
Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Water
Construction Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Business Environment
Regional Overview - Middle East And Africa
Business Environment Ratings
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To The Realisation Of Potential Returns
Foreign Direct Investment
Labour Force
Legal Framework
Tax Regime
Corruption
Macroeconomic Outlook
Political Outlook
Company Monitor
Industrial Development And Renovation Organisation Of Iran (IDRO)
Aker Kvaerner
Iran International Engineering Company (IRITEC)
Country Snapshot: Iran Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Source: UN Population Division
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Construction Industry
Sources
Business Environment Ratings
Ratings Overview
List of Tables
- Table: The World's 30 Largest Urban Agglomerations
- Table: The World's Richest Cities In 2020 By GDP
- Table: The World's Fastest Growing Urban Areas
- Table: Iran - Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport
- Table: Iran - Major Infrastructure Projects
- Table: Iran - Major Infrastructure Projects
- Table: Construction and Industry Data
- Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Iran - Economic Activity
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Table: Employment Indicators, 1996-2005
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
- Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators

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Product features / use

Level	General Industry Strategies
Data	Detailed Market Forecasts
Profiles	Profiles of Key Companies
Features	Contains SWOT Analysis
Extra Info	Consumer Trends Highlighted