Caribbean East Business Forecast Report Q1 2008

Content

• BMI Ratings - East Caribbean
• Chapter 1: Country Reports
• Barbados
• Political Outlook
• BLP On The Attack
• With an election constitutionally due by August 2008, speculation is mounting that Prime Minister Owen Arthur
• will announce a date sooner rather later.
• Economic Outlook
• Services Lead The Way
• The Barbadian economy remains heavily driven by its services sector.
• Key Sector Outlook
• Top Of The Class
• Barbados is currently sitting pretty as the top Caribbean state in our Business Environment Ratings.
• Guyana
• Political Outlook
• Plenty In Reserve
• The settlement of a maritime border dispute between Guyana and Suriname will benefit both countries'
• development.
• Economic Outlook
• Fiscal Outlook Improving
• Robust economic growth, renewed efforts to contain fiscal expenditure and ongoing improvements to the
• taxation system are beginning to bear fruit.
• Key Sector Outlook
• HIV/AIDS Fight Is Significant Drain On Resources
• Rising incidents of HIV / AIDS will continue to put enormous strain on the government's healthcare budget
• over the forecast period.
• Trinidad & Tobago
• Political Outlook
• Super Victory, But No Supermajority
• In the recently expanded parliament of 41 seats, the incumbent prime minister Patrick Manning's strong
• mandate of 26 seats in the November 5 election will allow him to continue his successful economic programme
• on the back of expected bumper budget revenues of TTD40.4bn (US$6.5bn).
• Economic Outlook
• The Road To Sustainable Growth
• Trinidad and Tobago will remain one of the fastest growing economies in the region over the outlook period.
• Economic Outlook
• Save More, Spend Less
• A gradual tightening of public expenditure and additional measures to sterilise some of the excess energy
• revenues is key to near-term fiscal sustainability.
• Contents
• Business Monitor International Ltd
• EAST CARIBBEAN Q1 2008
• Chapter 2: Country Summaries
• Antigua & Barbuda
• Dominica
• Grenada
• Saint Kitts and Nevis
• Saint Lucia
• Saint Vincent
• St Vincent & The Grenadines: Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
• Suriname
• Chapter 3: Special Report
• Negative Oil Price Shock Scenario
• List of Tables
  • Table: Barbados - Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Guyana - Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Trinidad & Tobago Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Antigua And Barbuda - Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Dominica: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Grenada - Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: St Kitts & Nevis: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: St Lucia - Macroeconomic Data and Forecasts
  • Table: Suriname - Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
  • Table: Top 10 Energy Producers, Consumers And Importers
  • Table: % Point Changes To Base Forecasts From A Downward Oil Price Adjustment Scenario