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Country Report Bolivia July 2009

Publication Date July 2009
Publisher EIU
Product Type Report
Pages 26
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code EIU00174
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Summary

Outlook for 2009-10

  • General elections are due to take place on December 6th 2009, with Evo? Morales expected to be re-elected president. Opposition candidates for Congress will do well in eastern regions, sustaining deep regional cleavages.
  • The Morales government will continue to pursue radical populist measures, which entrench differences with the opposition-controlled eastern regions and impair the business environment.
  • Government plans to use savings to support spending, coupled with falling revenue from extractive industries, will lead to fiscal deficits of 3.5% of GDP in 2009 and 2% in 2010.
  • Economic deterioration in Bolivia's main export markets??

Content

  • Highlights
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Domestic politics
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International relations
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Policy trends
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Fiscal policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Monetary policy
  • Outlook for 2009-10: International assumptions
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Economic growth
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Inflation
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Exchange rates
  • Outlook for 2009-10: External sector
  • Outlook for 2009-10: Forecast summary
  • The political scene: A capable challenger to Mr Morales has yet to emerge
  • The political scene: A new electoral register makes progress
  • The political scene: Relations with Peru reach a new low over protests
  • The political scene: Coca production up third year in a row in 2008
  • Economic policy: Policy continues to prioritise exchange-rate stability
  • Economic policy: Money supply down and reserves growth slows
  • Economic performance: Negative monthly inflation for four straight months
  • Economic performance: Current-account surplus was down sharply in first quarter
  • Data and charts: Annual data and forecast
  • Data and charts: Quarterly data
  • Data and charts: Monthly data
  • Data and charts: Annual trends charts
  • Data and charts: Monthly trends charts
  • Data and charts: Comparative economic indicators
  • Basic data
  • Political structure

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