U.S. Bioethanol & Cellulosic Ethanol Markets & Future Directions

Publication Date	September 2006
Publisher	Fuji-Keizai
Product Type	Report
Pages	123
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	FUJ00006

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Summary

During the past few years, new technologies have emerged that, if properly nurtured, could provide the key to a broader effort to wean Americans off foreign oil, drastically reduce pollution, help slow global warming and revolutionize portable power. One is an industrial process that may make ethanol far cheaper to produce than ever before, with the potential of making this much-maligned-and over-subsidized-biofuel economically competitive with gasoline. This is far more promising, in the near term, than much of the research on which we're currently spending federal dollars and intellectual energy.

As far as the science books are concerned, ethanol is merely a form of alcohol, commonly produced from corn, which is mixed in with gasoline to provide transportation power. The ethanol industry produced 4 billion gallons last year, less than 3 percent of the volume of gasoline consumed by Americans. As a result, only a small fraction of gas stations actually sell ethanol-gasohol mixtures.

A new and promising technology has the potential to make ethanol fuels much more practical. This method for producing ethanol not from corn kernels, but from the plant's stalk, roots and leaves, is known as cellulosic material. So-called cellulosic ethanol has been around for years, but breaking down the cellulose to make it fermentable was inefficient, expensive, and manufactured a fair amount of pollution. But only until recently have companies developed a process for making it more efficiently. Cellulosic ethanol made from stalks and husks (and other plant cellulose material) still has to be fermented, but it uses cast-off waste products of food that's already being grown.

Cellulosic is just one form of biomass, which is energy produced from organic substances. Biomass is derived from many types of waste organic matter, both animal and vegetable, such as crop stalks, tree thinning, wooden pallets, construction waste, animal waste, agricultural waste and lawn trimmings, etc.

Using renewable resources for our future energy supply is a step in the right direction because it environmentally friendly by reducing pollution and helping to preserve other energy sources which are scarcer. It also represents a hope for those nations that are deprived of natural energy sources, like oil and natural gas.

Content

Section A: Bioethanol & Cellulosic Ethanol Market

1. Outlook On U.S. Bioethanol/Cellulosic Ethanol Production Volume And Dollar Amount
- 1.1 Trends: Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries
  - 1.1.1 Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries (actual)
  - 1.1.2 Production Dollar Amount Trends: 2000- 2005
  - 1.1.3 Forecast: Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries: 2006- 2011
  - 1.1.4 Forecast of Annual Production Dollar Amount: 2006- 2011
    - 1.1.4.1 The List of All Bioethanol Production Facilities and Refineries
    - 1.1.4.2 Production Share by Each Company
  - 1.1.5 Annual Production Outlook: 2015- 2026
  - 1.1.6 Annual Production Dollar Outlook: 2015- 2026
- 1.2 Comparison between Gasoline Demand, and
  - Bioethanol/Cellulosic-Ethanol Demand
  - 1.2.3 Comparison Forecast: Comparison between Gasoline Demand, and Bioethanol/Cellulosic-Ethanol Demand Feedstock Requires: 2006, 2026
- 1.3 The Comparison of Bioethanol Price with Gasoline Price: 1982- 2004
  - 1.3.1 The Comparison of Bioethanol Price with Gasoline Price
  - 1.3.2 Price Comparison between Ethanol and Gasoline: 2005- 2008
  - 1.3.3 Government Assistance (Tax Credit) and Tariff
- 1.4 Production Volume of Feedstock and Cost Trends
  - 1.4.1 Comparison between Corn Production Volume and Ethanol Production Volume: 2001- 2005
  - 1.4.2 Market Price Trends of Corn: 2006- 2010
2. Bioethanol Vehicle (Ffv Or Flexible Fuel Vehicle) Production Trends
- 2.1 The Present State of Environmentally-Friendly Cars
- 2.2 Introduction of Different Blends of Bioethanol (by Country)
- 2.3 Bioethanol Vehicle Strategies by Car Companies
- 2.4 Bioethanol Vehicle Production Plan and Forecast: 2006-2010
- 2.5 Planning of the Gas Stations for Bioethanol Vehicles: 2006-2010
3. Bioethanol Market's Blind Spot
4. A New Alternative To Oil, And Its Outlook
5. On A Possible Turning Point For The Energy And Environmental Policies, And Future Outlook

Section B: Cellulosic Ethanol R&D

1. The Definitions And Classifications Of Cellulosic Ethanol
2. Technologies And Marketability
- 2.1 Historical and Current R&D
  - 2.1.1 Cellulosic Biomass Conversion Processes
  - 2.1.2 Biotechnology and Genetics Engineering
3. Bottlenecks
- 3.1 Cost of Processing Materials and Commercial Scale of Biorefineries
- 3.2 Processes
4. Current And Future Trends
- 4.1 Now and Tomorrow in Material USAge
- 4.2 Specific Applications and Marketability
- 4.3 Future Outlook and Commercial Implications
  - 4.3.1 Strengthen of Cellulosic Ethanol
  - 4.3.2 US Government Help
  - 4.3.3 Land use
  - 4.3.4 Reducing Costs
  - 4.3.5 Future Outlook
5. Company And R&d Center Activity
- 5.1 Companies and R&D Center at a Glance
  - 5.1.1 Technology Companies and R&D Centers
- Current R&D Stage, Partnership/Strategic Alliance)
  - 5.1.2 Other Cellulosic Ethanol Companies and R&D Centers
  - 5.1.3 Strategic Alliances At-a-Glance
- Cellulosic Alliances 1
- Cellulosic Alliances 2
- Cellulosic Alliances 3
6. Activities Of Cellulosic Ethanol R&d Companies And R&d Centers
- Common Research Items:
  - Department and URL
  - R&D and Type of Technology
  - Target Applications
  - Technology Details and Advantages
  - Complications in Technology Development
  - Future Outlook for This Technology
  - Next Stage of R&D and Commercial Implications
  - Partnerships and Alliances

Section C: Biomass R&D

1. Historical And Current R&d
- 1.1 Converting Biomass to Biofuel
- 1.2 Bottlenecks
2. Current And Future Trends In Material USAge
- 2.1 Examples of Biomass
- 2.2 Specific Applications and Marketability
3. Future Outlook And Commercial Implications
4. Company And R&d Center Activity
- 4.1 Companies and R&D Center at a Glance
  - 4.1.1 Technology Companies and R&D Centers
  - 4.1.2 Service Companies
  - 4.1.3 Supply Companies
  - 4.1.4 Other Biomass Companies
- 4.2 Strategic Alliances At-a-Glance
  - Biomass Company Alliances 1
  - Biomass Company Alliances 2
5. Activities Of Biomass Companies And R&d Cenetrs
- Common Research Items:
  - Department and URL
  - R&D and Type of Technology
  - Target Applications
  - Technology Details and Advantages
  - Complications in Technology Development
  - Future Outlook for This Technology
  - Next Stage of R&D and Commercial Implications
  - Partnerships and Alliances
- 5.1 Biomass R&D Companies and R&D Centers
- 5.2 Biomass Service Companies and Organizations
- 5.3 Biomass Supply Companies
List Of Tables
- Table 1. Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries: 2000- 2005
- Table 3. Forecast: Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries: 2006- 2011
- Table 4. Forecast of Annual Production Dollar Amount: 2006- 2011
- Table 7. Each Company's Production Share
- Table 7. Annual Production Outlook: 2015- 2026
- Table 8. Annual Production Dollar Outlook: 2015- 2026
- Table 9. Comparison Forecast: 2006, 2026
- Table 11. Price Comparison between Ethanol and Gasoline: 2005- 2008
- Table 12. Comparison between Corn Production Volume and Ethanol Production Volume
- Table 13. Market Price Trends of Corn
- Table 15. Bioethanol Vehicle Strategies by Car Companies
- Table 16. Bioethanol Vehicle Production Plan and Forecast
- Table 17. 2007 Bioethanol Car Model
- Table 18. Existing Bioethanol Car Model
- Table 19. Gas Stations Planning on selling Bioethanol
- Table 20. Crude Oil Reserves by Region (as of 2006)
- Table 21. Coal Reserves by Region (as of 2006)
- Table 22. At a Glance (Name of Organizations, Location, Technology Focus,
- Table 25. At a Glance
- Table 26. At a Glance
- Table 27. At a Glance
- Table 29. At a Glance
List Of Figures
- Figure 1. Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries: 2000- 2005
- Figure 2. Production Dollar Amount Trends: 2000- 2005
- Figure 3. Forecast: Annual Production Volume, Production Capacity, and the Number of Refineries: 2006- 2011
- Figure 4. Forecast of Annual Production Dollar Amount: 2006- 2011
- Figure 5. Each Company's Production Share
- Figure 6. Annual Production Outlook: 2015- 2026
- Figure 7. Annual Production Dollar Outlook: 2015- 2026
- Figure 8. Comparison Forecast: 2006, 2026
- Figure 9. The Comparison of Bioethanol Price with Gasoline Price
- Figure 10. Price Comparison between Ethanol and Gasoline: 2005- 2008
- Figure 11. Comparison between Corn Production Volume and Ethanol Production Volume
- Figure 12. Market Price Trends of Corn
- Figure 13. Bioethanol Vehicle Production Plan and Forecast
- Figure 14. Gas Stations Planning on selling Bioethanol
- Figure 15. Crude Oil Reserves by Region (as of 2006)
- Figure 16. Coal Reserves by Region (as of 2006)
- Figure 17. The Composition of Cellulosic Biomass
List Of Charts
- Chart 14. The Present State of Environmentally-Friendly Cars