Energy Market Landscape: Slovenia

Publication Date	April 2009
Publisher	Datamonitor
Product Type	Report
Pages	39
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	DAT15126

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Summary

Introduction

Evolving competitive dynamics are rapidly and significantly changing the face of the gas and power markets in and around Europe. As such, a timely and broadly based understanding of the market landscape is vital for players throughout the energy value chain. Central to this is an understanding of the exact stage of competitive development reached in each market, and how it is likely to change.

Scope

Up-to-date insight on market structures, regulatory developments, supply and demand balances, asset developments and player strategies.
Insight into current levels of gas and power competitive intensity benchmarked against 33 relevant markets (EU 27 and 6 related countries).
Forecasts of how the nine metrics making up the competitive intensity scores will change by 2012.

Highlights

The MCI scores draw on nine underlying metrics grouped into three categories: Market Framework (Regulatory Effectiveness; Pricing Regime; Ease of Third Party Access), Supplier Push (Wholesale Fragmentation, Retail Fragmentation, Traded Market Maturity), and Customer Pull (Access to Market Information, Consumer Representation, Propensity to Switch)

Each of the Energy Market Landscape series provides a profile of both the relevant gas and power market. Issues examined include regulatory structures, player strategies and supply/demand dynamics. There is also a list of operational, planned and under construction infrastructure including power stations, pipelines, LNG terminals and storage sites

Reasons to Purchase

Obtain up-to-date, relevant and standardized information on European and related energy markets from a single source.
Have a logical framework to monitor market developments and emerging trends, identify opportunities and plan strategies accordingly.
Assess current and future gas and power market competitive environments by gaining insight into factors driving market competitiveness.

Content

DATAMONITOR VIEW
CATALYST
SUMMARY
ANALYSIS
- Gas Market Overview
- Industry Landscape
- Retail Market Players
- Regulation
- Gas Supply and Demand Analysis
- Gas Infrastructure
- Pipelines
- Electricity Market Overview
- Industry Landscape
- Retail Market Players
- Regulation
- Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis
- Electricity Infrastructure
- Generation Capacity
- Electricity Networks
- Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview
- Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity
- The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrants seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defined their market share from new entrants
- The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2009 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2012, five years after full market opening
- The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull
- Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details)
- Gas Market Competitive Intensity
- With only a small increase in the metrics, gas market competitive intensity in Slovenia remains modest
- Slovenia's gas score is largely driven by the Market Framework factors metric
- Slovenia's Market Framework scores are surprisingly high given the limited size of its gas market
- Effectiveness of Regulator [2009: 7.5/10 2012: 8/10]
- Ease of Third Party Access [2009: 5.5/10 2012: 6/10]
- Pricing Regime [2009: 4/10 2012: 5/10]
- Slovenia's Supplier Push metrics do not show any meaningful degree of development over the forecast period
- Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2009: 0.1/10 2012:0.5 /10]
- Retail Market Fragmentation [2009: 1/10 2012: 1.5/10]
- Traded Market Maturity [2009: 0.1/10 2012: 1/10]
- All of the Customer Pull metrics remain at the bottom end of the scale during the forecast period
- Access to Market Information and Assistance [2009: 1/10 2012: 1.5/10]
- Consumer Representation [2009: 2/10 2012: 2.5/10]
- Propensity to Switch [2009: 2.5/10 2012: 3/10]
- Electricity Market Competitive Intensity
- Although low, Slovenia's power market competitive intensity is ahead of that seen in other more developed Central and Eastern European economies
- Slovenia's power score benefits from relatively strong Market Framework factors
- Slovenia's Market Framework metrics remain fixed around the middle of the scoring scale
- Effectiveness of Regulator [2009: 5/10 2012: 7.5/10]
- Ease of Third Party Access [2009: 4/10 2012: 6/10]
- Pricing Regime [2009: 4/10 2012: 5/10]
- Slovenia's Supplier Push metrics will remain modest in the near term future
- Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2009: 3/10 2012: 3.5/10]
- Retail Market Fragmentation [2009: 6/10 2012: 6.5/10]
- Traded Market Maturity [2009: 2.5/10 2012: 3.5/10]
- Little development in the Customer Pull metrics is discernable by 2012
- Access to Market Information and Assistance [2009: 5/10 2012: 5.5/10]
- Consumer Representation [2009: 3/10 2012: 4/10]
- Propensity to Switch [2009: 2.5/10 2012: 3.5/10]
- The dominance of Geoplin mean than greater commercial opportunities exist in the Slovenian power sector than in the gas sector
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX
- MCI Scores Summary
- MCI Scoring Scales
APPENDIX
List of power stations in Slovenia
- Definitions
- Ask the analyst
- Datamonitor consulting
- Disclaimer
List of Tables
- Table 1: Slovenia major gas retail players
- Table 2: Slovenia gas supply and demand balance, 2007-08e
- Table 3: Slovenia gas transmission pipelines
- Table 4: Slovenia major power retail players
- Table 5: Slovenia power supply and demand balance, 2007-08
- Table 6: Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia 2009 and 2012
- Table 7: MCI Additive, Europe 2009 and 2012
- Table 8: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2009 and 2012
- Table 9: Slovenia power generation assets
List of Figures
- Figure 1: Slovenia indigenous gas production, 1990-2008e
- Figure 2: Slovenia gas import supply sources, 2008e
- Figure 3: Slovenia gas consumption by sector for 2008e
- Figure 4: Slovenia gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990-2020f
- Figure 5: Slovenia power production by fuel type, 1990-2008
- Figure 6: Slovenia power production by fuel type, 2008
- Figure 7: Slovenia power sectoral consumption, 2008
- Figure 8: Slovenia power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990-2020f
- Figure 9: Slovenia power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008
- Figure 10: MCI Assessment Scale
- Figure 11: MCI Assessment Framework
- Figure 12: MCI Scales
- Figure 13: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2009-12
- Figure 14: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia
- Figure 15: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2009-12
- Figure 1: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia
- Figure 17: Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia
- Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator
- Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access
- Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime
- Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation
- Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation
- Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity
- Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information
- Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation
- Figure 26: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch