- PDF: Immediate delivery
Southern Africa Power Report Q4
2012
- Product Code:BMI08596
- Publication Date:July 2012
- Publisher:Business Monitor
- Product Type: Report
- Pages:132
- ISBN:2049-064X
Southern Africa Power Report Q4 2012
BMI View: Our latest Angola Power Report, which from this quarter excludes a breakdown of energy generated from non-hydro renewable sources, reveals that Angola's government plans to rely upon hydroelectric power to meet the vast majority of its energy requirements. With several new projects in the pipeline over the course of our forecast period, many of which are being funded or constructed by international firms, BMI questions whether Angola's distribution and transmission infrastructure will keep pace with development and if the government will meet its goal to reach 'power stability' by 2016. In August 2012, Angolans will vote in the country's third parliamentary elections since the end of the civil war. While we expect that President Dos Santos will continue in power - where he has remained for the past 30 years - we do believe that issues such as high unemployment, a frustrated young population and Angola's impoverished war veterans will dominate the electoral scene, with potential for civil unrest. In our revised quarterly power report, which now excludes a breakdown of energy generated by nonhydro renewable projects, BMI forecasts that Angola's overall power generation will increase by an annual average of 8.9% between 2011 and 2016 to reach 5.82 terawatt hours (TWh). A 9.2% annual average increase in hydropower will spur this growth and hydroelectric power will dominate the energy mix during the forecast period. We envisage Angola's net power consumption increasing from 3.41TWh in 2011 to 5.29TWh by 2016. A steady increase in GDP will support growth; following real GDP growth of 5.2% in 2011, BMI forecasts average annual growth of 7.8% between 2011 and 2021. We expect improvements to Angola's national electricity grid to result in a gradual decline in the percentage of transmission and distribution (T&D) losses, falling from around 10.0% in 2011. The presence of oil and gas majors in the country will incentivise the government to improve its electricity infrastructure to meet the industry's requirements, but access to electricity remains limited with considerable room for improvement. Key developments in Angola's power sector this quarter include:
- Expansion work on the Kambambe Dam is expected to be completed by the end of July 2012, according to the Ministry of Energy and Water, increasing capacity to 700MW.
- In May 2012, the Mabubas hydroelectric power plant was reopened, following a two-year rehabilitation project funded by China's Kanazuri Electric. Costing US$21.7mn, the plant has 26.8MW electricity generating capacity. Southern Africa Power Report Q4 2012
- In July 2012, the National Electricity Company (ENE) announced that two 10MW thermal power plants are under construction in Namibe, along with 34km of transmission lines and 18 transformers. They are scheduled to begin operations in late 2012. Botswana
- BMI Industry View
- Angola
- Botswana
- Mozambique
- Namibia
- Zambia
- Zimbabwe
- SWOT Analysis
- Angola Power SWOT
- Botswana Industry SWOT
- Mozambique Industry SWOT
- Namibia Industry SWOT
- Zambia Industry SWOT
- Zimbabwe Industry SWOT
- Regional Industry Overview
- MEA Power: Strong Fundamentals Support Sanguine Outlook
- Table: Top 10 Infrastructure Projects Globally In 2011
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Angola
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Angola Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Angola Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Angola Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Angola Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Angola Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Angola Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Angola Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Angola Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Botswana
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Botswana Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Botswana Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Table: Botswana Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Botswana Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 -2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Botswana Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Southern Africa Power Report Q4
- © Business Monitor International Ltd Page
- Table: Botswana Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Botswana Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Botswana Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Botswana Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Botswana Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Mozambique
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Mozambique Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Mozambique Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Mozambique Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts , 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Mozambique Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Mozambique Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Mozambique Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Mozambique Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Namibia
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Tables: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Namibia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Namibia Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Namibia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Namibia Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Namibia Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Namibia Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Namibia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Namibia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts , 2013-2021
- Table: Namibia Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Namibia Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Zambia
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Zambia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Zambia Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Zambia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Zambia Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Zambia Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Southern Africa Power Report Q4
- © Business Monitor International Ltd Page
- Table: Zambia Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts , 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Zambia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Zambia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Zambia Trade Data And Forecasts , 2010-2016
- Table: Zambia Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Zimbabwe
- Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Zimbabwe Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Zimbabwe Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Zimbabwe Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Zimbabwe Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Zimbabwe Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Zimbabwe Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Zimbabwe Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Zimbabwe Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Table: Zimbabwe Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Zimbabwe Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Key Policies And Market Structure
- Power Market Still Struggling
- Key Projects Database
- Table: Key Projects Database
- Risk/Reward Ratings
- MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Disparity Within
- Table: Mea Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
- Angola's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Botswana's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Mozambique's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Namibia's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Zambia's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Zimbabwe's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Southern Africa Power Report Q4
- © Business Monitor International Ltd Page
- Competitive Landscape/Company Monitor
- Africa Power
- Table: Main Utilities In East Africa
- Table: Main Utilities In Southern Africa (ex. South africa)
- Glossary of Terms
- Table: Glossary of Terms
- Methodology and Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry - Data Methodology
- Generation and Consumption Data
- Electricity Generation Capacity Data
- Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
- Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
- Sources
