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China feed market review & outlook 2008-2009 proposal

Publication Date February 2009
Publisher BSNABC
Product Type Report
Pages 120
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code BOA00049
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Summary

On the basis of livestock and poultry inventory and feedstuff in 2008, this study gives an in-depth analysis of demand, production and product structure in the feed industry in 2008 and an outlook of the feed market based on changes in breeding scale and feedstuff market in 2009, so as to provide a reliable reference to relevant enterprises in their decision-making.

Research Background

In 2008 China feed industry got great pressure from flat demand and waved feedstuff cost, causing large numbers of moderate and small scaled enterprises stopping production. And China breeding industry made losses in the second half year, so the whole industry is deteriorating.

In the external environment, labor cost increases among feed producers after the implementation of Labor Laws; low demand for livestock and meat products led to drowsy conditions in the whole industry chain. Meanwhile, extended scale of breeding houses severely weakened pricing capability, but it is favorable for the development of large-scaled feed producers. The market share of commercial feed is shrinking, especially in hog feed market, after slaughtering houses entering this industry and emerged integrating groups.

In the internal environment, some top feed companies have postponed listing in the stock market influenced by macro-economy. In the second half year, numbers of feed producers slowed down growing subject to short capital, but some large-scaled enterprises keep growing under foreign investment. The government strengthened the examination of feed producers after the Melamine Scandal, and some companies are disqualified.

It is predicted that demand for livestock products will keep low level in 2009, accordingly, feed industry will face great pressure. Therefore, the cost of feed stuff will be the key in next year's feed industry development.

This report analyzes processing, consumption, trade, price in China feed industry on the basis of macro-economy, feedstuff market and livestock farming industry. And feedstuff is our main research targets, such as corn, soymeal, fishmeal, meat & bone meal, lysine & methionine, etc. as to gain an integrated development of feed industry in 2008. Meanwhile, competition among domestic enterprises and effects of international market are also our research target, and there is also a forecast for the development trend of the Chinese feed industry in 2009. This report gives an integrated analysis on the effects of Melamine Scandal.

This report is a joint product of the experts of the Livestock and Feed Department, Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultants Ltd.. These senior livestock and feed analysts also make advice for relevant departments and associations, and keep a beneficial relationship with major feed enterprises, relevant industry enterprises, which provide precious information and data for this report, assuring the veracity, authority and forward looking. This is a rare report which shall be of great value for feed investors, producers, material suppliers, equipment suppliers and research institutes both at home and abroad to understand the development trend of the feed industry, to make decisions on the positioning of the enterprise and to formulate development strategies.

Content

  • 1 External Environment
    • 1.1 China Macro-Economy and Effects
    • 1.2 China Feed Legislation and Effects
    • 1.3 China Grain Production and Effects
    • 1.4 China Livestock Inventory and Effects
    • 1.5 China Feedstuff Supply and Effects
    • 1.6 China Grain Process Policy and Effects
  • 2 Production & Consumption
    • 2.1 Global Production in 2008
    • 2.2 China Feedmill Structure in 2008
      • 2.2.1 Structure by Enterprise Type
      • 2.2.2 Structure by Product Type
      • 2.2.3 Structure by Capacity of Complete Feed Producers
    • 2.3 China Feed Demand in 2008
      • 2.3.1 Effects of Livestock Inventory
      • 2.3.2 Effects of Feed Price
      • 2.3.3 Effects of Livestock Farm Size
      • 2.3.4 Effects of Livestock Consumption
      • 2.3.5 Effects of Commercial Feed
    • 2.4 China Melamine Scandal and Effects in 2008
      • 2.4.1 Melamine-Polluted Milk and Effects
      • 2.4.2 Melamine-Polluted Egg and Effects
      • 2.4.3 Its Effects on Feed Producers
      • 2.4.4 Its Effects on Feedstuff
    • 2.5 China Feed Supply in 2008
      • 2.5.1 Feedmill Capacity
      • 2.5.2 Feedstuff Cost
      • 2.5.3 Feed Production
      • 2.5.4 Feed Production of Large Feed Groups
      • 2.5.5 Feed Production of Scaled Feedmills
    • 2.6 China Feedmill Profit in 2008
      • 2.6.1 Feed Cost (by Animal Species)
      • 2.6.2 Feedmill Profit(by Scale)
      • 2.6.3 Effects of Profit on Feedmill Scale
      • 2.6.4 Effects of Direct Marketing on Feedmill Profit
    • 2.7 China Feed Supply & Demand in 2008
      • 2.7.1 Total Supply & Demand
      • 2.7.2 Supply & Demand of Hog Feed
      • 2.7.3 Supply & Demand of Meat-Type Poultry Feed
      • 2.7.4 Supply & Demand of Egg-Type Poultry Feed
      • 2.7.5 Supply & Demand of Aquatic Feed
      • 2.7.6 Supply & Demand of Ruminant Feed
    • 2.8 Feed Investment in 2008
    • 2.9 Supply & Demand in 2009
  • 3 Feedstuff Consumption
    • 3.1 Feedstuff Consumption of Complete Feed
    • 3.2 Feedstuff Consumption of Farm-Mixed Feed
      • 3.3.1 Feedstuff Consumption of Concentrates
      • 3.3.2 Feedstuff Consumption of Pre-Mixes
    • 3.3 Feedstuff Consumption of Hog Feed in
    • 3.4 Feedstuff Consumption of Meat-Type Poultry Feed
    • 3.5 Feedstuff Consumption of Egg -Type Poultry Feed
    • 3.6 Feedstuff Consumption of Aquatic Feed
    • 3.7 Feedstuff Consumption of 2009
  • 4 China Corn Market
    • 4.1 Global Market
    • 4.2 China Corn Supply
    • 4.3 China Corn Demand for Feed Use
      • 4.3.1 Demand and Price
      • 4.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs
    • 4.4 Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use
      • 4.4.1 Structure by Complete Feed & Farm-Mixed Feed
      • 4.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type
    • 4.5 China Corn Demand for Feed Use in 2009
  • 5 China Soymeal Market
    • 5.1 Global Market
    • 5.2 China Soybean Supply
      • 5.2.1 Domestic Supply
      • 5.2.2 Imports
    • 5.3 Soymeal Demand
      • 5.3.1 Demand and Price
      • 5.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs
    • 5.4 Consumption Structure of Soymeal
      • 5.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-Mixed Feed
      • 5.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type
    • 5.5 China Soymeal Market in 2009
  • 6 China Fishmeal Market
    • 6.1 Global Market
    • 6.2 China Fishmeal Supply
      • 6.2.1 Domestic Supply
      • 6.2.2 Imports
    • 6.3 China Fishmeal Demand
      • 6.3.1 Demand and Price
      • 6.3.2 Substitution of Other Feedstuffs
    • 6.4 Consumption Structure of Fishmeal
      • 6.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-Mixed Feed
      • 6.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type
    • 6.5 China Fishmeal Market in 2009
  • 7 China Meat & Bone Meal Market
    • 7.1 Global Market
    • 7.2 China Meat & Bone Meal Supply
      • 7.2.1 Domestic Supply
      • 7.2.2 Imports
    • 7.3 China Meat & Bone Meal Demand
    • 7.4 Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal
      • 7.4.1 Structure by Manufactured Feed & Farm-Mixed Feed
      • 7.4.2 Structure by Animal Feed Type
    • 7.5 China Meat & Bone Meal Market in 2009
  • 8 China Lysine Market
    • 8.1 Global Market
    • 8.2 China Lysine Supply
      • 8.2.1 Main Producers
      • 8.2.2 Domestic Supply of 98.5% Lysine
      • 8.2.3 Domestic Supply of 65% Lysine
      • 8.2.4 Imports
    • 8.3 China Lysine Demand
    • 8.4 Consumption Structure of Lysine
      • 8.4.1 Structure by 98.5% and 65% Lysine
      • 8.4.2 Structure by Domestic Consumption and Exports
      • 8.4.3 China Lysine Market in 2009
  • 9 China Methionine Market
    • 9.1 Global Market
    • 9.2 China Methionine Supply
      • 9.2.1 Domestic Supply
      • 9.2.2 Imports
    • 9.3 China Methinoine Demand
    • 9.4 China Methionine Demand in 2009
  • Appendix
  • Figures
    • Figure 2.1, China Livstock & Poultry Slaughter and Feed Demand, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.2, China Demand for Complete, Concentrated and Premixed Feed, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.3, China Feed Output and Capability, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.4, China Completed Feed Cost, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.5, China Feed Output, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.6, China Concentrated Feed Output and Proportion, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.7, China Feedmills Structure (by Operations), 2008
    • Figure 2.8, China Feedmills Structure (by Products), 2008
    • Figure 2.9, China Complete Feedmills Capability, 2008
    • Figure 2.10, China Manufactured Feed Capability, 1991-2008
    • Figure 2.11, China Manufactured Feed Cost, 2006-2008
    • Figure 2.12, China Manufactured Feed Output , 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.13, China Scaled Feedmills Output, 2000-2008
    • Figure 2.14, China Feedmills Output (by Scale), 2000-2008
    • Figure 2.15, Supply and Demand of Manufactured Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.16, Supply and Demand of Hog Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.17, Supply and Demand of Meat-Type Poultry Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.18, Supply and Demand of Egg-Type Poultry in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.19, Supply and Demand of Aquatic Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 2.20, Supply and Demand of Ruminant Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.1, China Main Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.2, China Concentrated Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.3, China Premixed Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.4, China Hog Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.5, China Meat-Type Poultry Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.6, China Egg-Type Poultry Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 3.7, China Aquatic Feedstuff Consumption, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.1, Global Output and Consumption of Corn, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.2, China Output and Consumption of Corn, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.3, China Imports and Exports of Corn, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.4, Imports and Exports Structure of Corn in China(by Country), 2008
    • Figure 4.5, Price and Consumption of Corn for Feed Use in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.6, Consumption of Corn for Feed Use and Other Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 4.7, Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Complete and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 4.8, Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Animal Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 5.1, Global Output and Crush of Soybean, 1998-2008
    • Figure 5.2, China Output , Imports and Crush of Soybean, 1998-2008
    • Figure 5.3, Regional Structure of Imported Soybean, 2008
    • Figure 5.4, Soybean Price and Crush in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 5.5, Soymeal Price and Consumption in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 5.6, Regional Structure of Imports and Exports of Soymeal in China, 2008
    • Figure 5.7, Consumption of Soymeal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 5.8, Consumption Structure of Soymeal in Complete Feed and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 5.9, Consumption Structure of Soymeal in Animal Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 6.1, Global Fishmeal Output, 1998-2008
    • Figure 6.2, China Output , Imports and Consumption of Fishmeal, 1998-2008
    • Figure 6.3, Regional Structure of Imported Fishmeal, 2008
    • Figure 6.4, Fishmeal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 6.5, Consumption of Fishmeal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 6.6, Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Complete and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 6.7, Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Animal Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 7.1, Global Meat & Bone Meal Output, 1998-2008
    • Figure 7.2, China Output , Imports and Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal, 1998-2008
    • Figure 7.3, Regional Structure of Imported Meat & Bone Meal, 2008
    • Figure 7.4, Meat & Bone Meal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 7.5, Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 7.6, Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Complete and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 7.7, Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Animal Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 8.1, Global Lysine Output, 1998-2008
    • Figure 8.2, China Output , Imports and Consumption of Lysine, 1998-2008
    • Figure 8.3, China Lysine Production (by Regions), 2008
    • Figure 8.4, China Lysine Production (by Enterprises), 2008
    • Figure 8.5, Structure of Exported Lysine in China(by Destination Countries), 2008
    • Figure 8.6, Lysine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 8.7, Consumption Structure of Lysine in Complete, Concentrated and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
    • Figure 9.1, Global Methionine Output, 1998-2008
    • Figure 9.2, China Imports and Consumption of Methionine, 1998-2008
    • Figure 9.3, Structure of Imported Methionine in China(by Original Countries), 2008
    • Figure 9.4, Methionine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2008
    • Figure 9.5, Consumption Structure of Methionine in Complete, Concentrated and Farm-Mixed Feed in China, 2008
  • Tables
    • Table1, China Manufactured Feed Production (by Provinces), 2008
    • Table 2, Monthly Output of Scaled Feedmills in China, 2008
    • Table 3, China Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 4, China Hog Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 5, China Egg-Type Poultry Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 6, China Meat-Type Poultry Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 7, China Aquatic Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 8, China Ruminant Complete Feed Output(by Provinces), 2001~2008
    • Table 9, China Output of Other Complete Feed (by Provinces), 2001~2008
    • Table 10, China Concentrated Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 11, China Premixed Feed Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 12, China Complete Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 13, China Hog Complete Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 14, China Meat-Type Poultry Complete Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 15, China Egg-Type Poultry Complete Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 16, China Aquatic Complete Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 17, China Concentrated Feed Consumption (by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 18, China Premixed Feed Consumption(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 19, Retail Prices of China Hog Complete Feed (by Provinces), 2008
    • Table 20, Retail Prices of China Broiler Complete Feed (by Provinces), 2008
    • Table 21, Retail Prices of China Layer Complete Feed (by Provinces), 2008
    • Table 22, Retail Prices of China Corn, 2008
    • Table 23, Retail Prices of China Soymeal, 2008
    • Table 24, Retail Prices of China Imported Fishmeal,2008
    • Table 25, China Consumption of Corn for Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 26, China Corn Consumption in Complete Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 27, China Corn Consumption in Farm-Mixed Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 28, China Corn Exports (by Destination Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 29, China Corn Imports (by Original Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 30, China Soymeal Consumption for Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 31, China Soymeal Consumption in Complete Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 32, China Soymeal Consumption in Concentrated Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 33, China Soymeal Exports (by Destination Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 34, China Soymeal Imports (by Original Country/Region),2008
    • Table 35, China Fishmeal Output (by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 36, China Fishmeal Consumption for Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 37, China Fishmeal Consumption in Complete Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 38, China Fishmeal Consumption in Concentrated Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 39, China Fishmeal Imports (by Origianal Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 40, China Fishmeal Balance Sheet, 2000~2009
    • Table41, China Meat & Bone Meal Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table42, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption for Feed(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 43, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Complete Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 44, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Concentrated Feed, 1998~2008
    • Table 45, China Meat & Bone Meal (Beef, Sheep) Imports (by Origianal Country/Region),2008
    • Table 46, China Other Meat & Bone Meal Imports (by Origianal Country/Region),2008
    • Table 47, China Meat & Bone Meal Balance Sheet, 2000~2009
    • Table 48, China Lysine Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 49, China Lysine Imports (by Origianal Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 50, China Lysine Exports (by Destination Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 51, China Lysine Ester & Salt Imports (by Original Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 52, China Lysine Ester & Salt Export (by Destination Country/Region), 2008
    • Table 53, China Lysine Balance Sheet, 2000~2009
    • Table 54, China Methionine Output(by Provinces), 1998~2008
    • Table 55, China Methionine Imports (by Original Country/Region) in 2008
    • Table 56, China Methionine Balance Sheet, 2000~2009

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