Brazil Defence and Security Report Q3 2009

Publication Date	July 2009
Publisher	Business Monitor
Product Type	Report
Pages	54
ISBN Number	1749-1290
Product Code	BMI02430

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Summary

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Brazil Security SWOT
Brazil Defence Industry SWOT
Brazil Political SWOT
Brazil Economic SWOT
Brazil Business Environment SWOT
Political Overview
Security Risk Analysis
BMI's Security Ratings
City Terrorism Rating
Methodological Overview
Brazil's Security Risk Ratings
Conflict Risk
Terrorism Risk
Physical Safety Risk
Latin America Security Overview
Domestic Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Outlook
Company Profiles
Embraer
AVIBRAS Ind??stria Aerospacial SA
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources
List of Tables
- Table: Latin America Security Ratings
- Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Table: Methodology
- Table: BMIs' Americas City Terrorism Index
- Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, '000)
- Table Foreign Deployments
- Table: Brazil's Armed Forces, 2005-2013 ('000 personnel)
- Table: Brazil's Government Defence Expenditure, 2005-2013
- Table: Brazil ??

Content

Brazilian President Luiz In??cio Lula da Silva has pushed for an increase of more than 50% in Brazilian defence spending through to 2010. The country is developing a national defence plan, which may include increasing troop numbers in the Amazon, building nuclear and conventional submarines to protect offshore oil fields and modernise its weapons industry. It has signed an agreement with France to buy 50 military helicopters and five submarines, including one nuclear-powered vessel, the value of which could exceed $11bn. A seriously deteriorating economy could put pressure on these plans.

President Luiz In??cio Lula da Silva remains under pressure. The opposition Partido Movimento Democr??tico Brasileiro (PMDB) has control of both houses of parliament, and is seeking greater influence on national politics. This could threaten the ruling coalition and we wait to see if the PMDB will support Lula's presidential candidate, Dilma Rousseff, in next year's poll.

Our outlook for Brazil's economy has deteriorated ??