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Lamps

US industry forecasts for 2013 & 2018

Publication Date September 2009
Publisher Freedonia Group
Product Type Report
Pages 275
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code FED00133

Summary

US demand to increase 4% annually through 2013
US demand for lamps is forecast to grow four percent per year through 2013 to $7 billion. Federal regulations intended to reduce the energy consumed by lighting will generate double-digit annual demand gains for fluorescent lamps and cause an offsetting contraction in demand for conventional incandescent lamps.

The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 effectively bans the sale of general service incandescent lamps starting in 2012, and compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) are expected to replace most of these lamps as they burn out. Demand for CFLs will surge more than 20 percent annually through 2013 as consumers transition to the new technology. But long-term demand will ultimately proceed at a slower pace as CFLs last much longer than the incandescent lamps they will replace. Light emitting diodes (LEDs) pose a serious threat to future lamp demand. Although their high price has limited their usage so far, technological innovations that reduce costs and improve performance will likely lead to the widespread adoption of LED-based lighting devices. In the long term, lamps are expected to lose market share to LEDs, especially in such markets as motor vehicles and nonresidential buildings.

Metal halide, halogen lamps to post strong gains
Metal halide lamps will lead the highintensity discharge (HID) product segment through 2013. As mercury vapor lamps are phased-out of the market, metal halide lamps will gain market share in outdoor lighting applications. Furthermore, metal halide lamps are increasingly finding use as high-end motor vehicle headlamps. Halogen lamps are also forecast to grow especially fast through 2013, benefiting from the ban on general service incandescent lamps. Although less efficient and shorter-lived than CFLs, halogen lamps outperform CFLs in terms of color rendering, and they do not contain mercury. Furthermore, demand for halogen lamps will also benefit from recovering production of motor vehicles, as halogen lamps find widespread use as headlamps.

Residential, nonresidential buildings to remain leading US lamp markets
Buildings account for the majority of lamp demand, and this market will enjoy above-average gains through 2013. Residential buildings will largely be responsible for this growth, due to a surge in demand for CFLs as general service lamps are phased out of the market. However, demand in nonresidential buildings will also accelerate through 2013, as new federal regulations raising the minimum efficiency of general use fluorescent lamps raise the average cost of fluorescent lamps going forward

Content

INTRODUCTION                         
                    
     I.  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

     II.  MARKET ENVIRONMENT
        General
        Macroeconomic Outlook
        Demographic Trends
          Population
          Households
        Consumer Income & Expenditure Trends
        Construction Trends
          Residential Building Construction
           Construction Expenditures
           Housing Outlook
           Housing Stock
           Improvements & Repairs
          Nonresidential Building Construction
           Construction Expenditures
           Improvements & Repairs
           Nonresidential Building Stock
          Nonbuilding Construction
        Motor Vehicle Trends
        Durable Goods Manufacturing Trends
        Historical Market Trends
        Pricing Trends
        Environmental & Regulatory Issues
          General Regulations & Standards
          Energy-Efficiency Concerns
           Federal Regulations
           State Regulations
          Other Environmental Concerns

    III.  OVERVIEW
        General
        Lamp Demand
          Demand by Value
          Demand by Unit
        Lamp Foreign Trade
          Imports
          Exports
        Lamp Shipments
        Lamp Characteristics
          Luminous Efficacy
          Light Quality
          Lighting Fixtures
          Other Lamp Characteristics
        Light Emitting Diodes

     IV.  FILAMENT LAMPS
        General
        Incandescent Lamps
          Product Characteristics
          Regulatory Issues
          Large Incandescent Lamps
           General Use Incandescent Lamps
           Incandescent Reflector Lamps
           Decorative Incandescent Lamps
           Other Large Incandescent Lamps
          Miniature Incandescent Lamps
           Incandescent Sealed Beam Lamps
           Incandescent Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamps
           Other Miniature Incandescent Lamps
          Other Incandescent Lamps
        Halogen Lamps
          Product Characteristics
          Regulatory Issues
          Large Halogen Lamps
           Halogen Reflector Lamps
           Other Large Halogen Lamps
          Miniature Halogen Lamps
           Halogen Sealed Beam Lamps
           Halogen Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamps
           Other Miniature Halogen Lamps

     V.  ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
        General
        Fluorescent Lamps
          Product Characteristics
          Regulatory Issues
          Compact Fluorescent Lamps
          Large Fluorescent Lamps
          High-Output Fluorescent Lamps
          Slimline Fluorescent Lamps
          Other Fluorescent Lamps
        High Intensity Discharge & Other Electrical Discharge Lamps
          Regulatory Issues
          High Intensity Discharge Lamps
           Metal Halide
           Sodium Vapor
           Mercury Vapor
          Other Electrical Discharge Lamps

     VI.  MARKETS
        General
        Buildings
          Residential
          Nonresidential
           Office & Commercial
           Institutional
           Industrial
           Other Nonresidential
        Consumer Products
        Motor Vehicles
          Demand by Sector
          Demand by Vehicle Class
        Outdoor Lighting
        Other Markets

    VII.  INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
        General
        Industry Composition
        Market Share
        Vertical & Horizontal Integration
        Product Development
          Environment-Related Developments
          Other Lamp Product Developments
        Manufacturing
        Marketing
          Green Marketing
          Consumer-Focused Strategies
          Other Market-Specific Strategies
        Distribution
          Consumer
          Nonresidential
          OEM
        Mergers & Acquisitions
        Cooperative Agreements

        Company Profiles
          Advanced Lighting Technologies Incorporated
          Amglo Kemlite Laboratories Incorporated
          Auer Lighting GmbH, see Advanced Lighting Technologies   
          Automotive Lighting LLC, see Fiat              
          Bulbrite Industries Incorporated
          CML Innovative Technologies Incorporated
          Eiko Limited
          EYE Lighting International of North America Incorporated,
           see Iwasaki Electric Company               
          Federal-Mogul Corporation
          Feit Electric Company Incorporated
          Fiat SpA
          Ford Motor Company
          General Electric Company
          Hamamatsu Photonics KK
          Harison Toshiba Lighting Corporation, see Toshiba      
          Hella KGaA Hueck & Company
          Interlectric Corporation
          Iwasaki Electric Company Limited
          JKL Components Corporation
          LCD Lighting Incorporated
          Light Sources Incorporated
          Lights of America Incorporated
          Lumination LLC, see General Electric            
          MaxLite SK America Incorporated
          Opto Technology Incorporated, see PerkinElmer        
          OSRAM SYLVANIA Incorporated, see Siemens          
          Panasonic Corporation
          PerkinElmer Incorporated
          Peterson Corporation
          Philips Lighting Company, see Royal Philips Electronics   
          Royal Philips Electronics NV
          Siemens AG
          Stanley Electric Company Limited
          TCP Incorporated
          Toshiba Corporation
          Trojan Incorporated
          Ushio Incorporated
          UVP LLC
          Venture Lighting International Incorporated,
           see Advanced Lighting Technologies            
          Visteon Corporation
          Voltarc Technologies Incorporated, see Light Sources    
          Welch Allyn Incorporated

LIST OF TABLES
                   
        SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
        Summary Table

        SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
      1  Macroeconomic Indicators
      2  Population & Households
      3  Personal Consumption Expenditures
      4  Construction Expenditures
      5  Residential Building Construction Expenditures
      6  New Housing Indicators
      7  Housing Stock by Type
      8  Residential Improvement & Repair Expenditures
      9  Nonresidential Building Construction Expenditures
     10  Nonresidential Building Improvement & Repair Expenditures
     11  Nonresidential Building Stock
     12  Nonbuilding Construction Expenditures
     13  Motor Vehicle Indicators
     14  Manufacturers' Shipments
     15  Historical Market Trends, 1998-2008
     16  Average Lamp Prices

        SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
      1  Lamp Value Demand by Type
      2  Lamp Unit Demand by Type
      3  Lamp Foreign Trade
      4  Lamp Shipments by Type

        SECTION IV -- FILAMENT LAMPS
      1  Filament Lamp Supply & Demand
      2  Incandescent Lamp Supply & Demand
      3  Large Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
      4  General Use Incandescent Lamp Demand
      5  Incandescent Reflector Lamp Demand
      6  Decorative Incandescent Lamp Demand
      7  Other Large Incandescent Lamp Demand
      8  Miniature Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
      9  Incandescent Sealed Beam Lamp Demand
     10  Incandescent Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamp Demand
     11  Other Miniature Incandescent Lamp Demand
     12  Other Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
     13  Halogen Lamp Supply & Demand
     14  Large Halogen Lamp Demand by Type
     15  Halogen Reflector Lamp Demand by Type
     16  Other Large Halogen Lamp Demand
     17  Miniature Halogen Lamp Demand by Type
     18  Halogen Sealed Beam Lamp Demand
     19  Halogen Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamp Demand
     20  Other Miniature Halogen Lamp Demand

        SECTION V -- ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
      1  Electrical Discharge Lamp Supply & Demand
      2  Fluorescent Lamp Supply & Demand
      3  Compact Fluorescent Lamp Demand
      4  Large Fluorescent Lamp Demand
      5  High-Output Fluorescent Lamp Demand
      6  Slimline Fluorescent Lamp Demand
      7  Other Fluorescent Lamp Demand
      8  High Intensity Discharge & Other Discharge Lamp
          Supply & Demand
      9  High Intensity Discharge Lamp Demand by Type
     10  Metal Halide Lamp Demand
     11  Sodium Vapor Lamp Demand
     12  Mercury Vapor Lamp Demand
     13  Other Electrical Discharge Lamp Demand

        SECTION VI -- MARKETS
      1  Lamp Demand by Market
      2  Buildings Market for Lamps
      3  Residential Buildings Market for Lamps
      4  Nonresidential Buildings Market for Lamps
      5  Office & Commercial Buildings Demand for Lamps
      6  Institutional Buildings Demand for Lamps
      7  Industrial Buildings Demand for Lamps
      8  Other Nonresidential Buildings Demand for Lamps
      9  Consumer Products Market for Lamps
     10  Motor Vehicle Market for Lamps
     11  Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand by Sector
     12  Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand by Vehicle Class
     13  Outdoor Lighting Market for Lamps
     14  Other Markets for Lamps

        SECTION VII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
      1  US Lamp Sales for Selected Companies, 2008
      2  Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
      3  Selected Cooperative Agreements

LIST OF CHARTS
                 
        SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
      1  Year of Construction of Housing Stock, 2008
      2  Historical Market Trends, 1998-2008

        SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
      1  Lamp Demand by Type, 2008 in Value and Units
      2  US Lamp Trade by Type, 2008
      3  Luminous Efficacy of Selected Lamps
      4  Light Quality of Selected Lamps

        SECTION IV -- FILAMENT LAMPS
      1  Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
      2  Halogen Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018

        SECTION V -- ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
      1  Fluorescent Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
      2  HID & Other Discharge Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018

        SECTION VI -- MARKETS
      1  Lamp Demand by Market, 1998-2018

        SECTION VII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
      1  Lamp Market Share, 2008
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