World Rubber & Tire

Industry forecasts for 2011 & 2016

Publication Date	February 2008
Publisher	Freedonia Group
Product Type	Report
Pages	610
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	FED00146

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Summary

Global demand to rise 4% annually through 2011

World rubber consumption is forecast to increase 4.0 percent annually to 26.5 million metric tons in 2011. Gains will directly benefit from solid growth in world motor vehicle production, as well as a strong global economy. The US, China and Japan dominate global rubber consumption, and will continue to do so, collectively accounting for more than half of the market in 2011. China has become the leading consumer of rubber worldwide, following more than a decade of strong growth in motor vehicle production and industrial goods manufacturing. The country overtook Japan as the second largest rubber market in the late 1990s and by 2001 had essentially caught up to the US as the world's leading consumer. While China will continue to extend that lead, the US and Japan will remain leading markets worldwide, because of their extensive motor vehicle and tire industries.

Chinese market to slow yet remain fastest growing

The strongest gains are forecast for China, though the double digit annual gains that characterized China's rubber market from 2001 to 2006 are forecast to slow significantly as its domestic market matures and motor vehicle production decelerates. The Chinese market will be sustained primarily by expanding demand for industrial rubber products such as hoses, belts and gaskets, offsetting slower, though still solid, growth for tire rubber. Above-average gains also are forecast for most of the rest of the Asia/ Pacific, excluding Japan, which will benefit from strong economic growth and rising motor vehicle production. In addition, the growing tire industries in these nations will support demand for rubber.

Among the major developed regions, the large North American, West European and Japanese markets will all see gains below the global average. Each of these regions will suffer from a weak outlook for the regional motor vehicle industry and competition from nations with lower labor or raw material costs.

Non-tire rubber demand to outpace tire rubber

Non-tire rubber will outpace tire rubber demand through 2011, based on a favorable outlook for mid-range elastomers (e.g., ethylene-propylene, nitrile and polychloroprene) used in components such as hoses, belts, gaskets and weatherstripping. Tire rubber demand will benefit from the popularity of performance tires, which use more rubber than all seasonradials and also have shorter service lives, thus stimulating replacement demand.

Natural, synthetic rubber to both expand at strong pace

Demand for both natural and synthetic rubber will expand at a strong pace, but the division of the market will remain essentially unchanged through 2011, with synthetic rubber continuing to hold approximately 55 percent of demand and natural rubber holding the remaining 45 percent. General-purpose synthetic commodity elastomers -- typically defined as SBR (styrene-butadiene rubber), BR (polybutadiene rubber) and IR (polyisoprene rubber) -- account for the vast majority of synthetic rubber demand.

Study coverage

World Rubber & Tire, a new Freedonia industry study, is available for $5500. It presents historical demand data for the years 1996, 2001 and 2006 and forecasts for 2011 and 2016 by product (tires, natural rubber, synthetic rubber), world region and for 30 national markets. The study also considers market environment factors, assesses global industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 48 industry competitors worldwide.

Content

SECTION
- INTRODUCTION
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- General
- World Economic Environment
- Recent Economic Performance
- World Economic Outlook
- World Population Overview
- World Motor Vehicle Production
- World Motor Vehicles in Use
- Natural & Synthetic Rubber Pricing Trends
- Legal & Regulatory Environment
III. WORLD TIRE OUTLOOK
- General
- World Tire Demand
- World OEM Tire Demand
- World Replacement Tire Demand
- World Tire Net Exports
- World Tire Production
- World Tire Production Capacity
IV. WORLD RUBBER OUTLOOK
- General
- Rubber Consumption by Region
- Rubber Consumption by Market
- Rubber Consumption by Type
- World Rubber Net Exports
- World Rubber Production
- World Synthetic Rubber Production
- World Natural Rubber Production
- World Synthetic Rubber Capacity
V. NORTH AMERICA
- General
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
VI. WESTERN EUROPE
- General
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- Belgium/Luxembourg
- France
- Germany
- Italy
- Netherlands
- Portugal
- Spain
- Sweden
- United Kingdom
- Other Western Europe
VII. ASIA/PACIFIC
- General
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- Australia
- China
- India
- Indonesia
- Japan
- Malaysia
- South Korea
- Taiwan
- Thailand
- Vietnam
- Other Asia/Pacific
VIII. OTHER REGIONS
- Latin America
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- Brazil
- Other Latin America
- Eastern Europe
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- Czech Republic
- Poland
- Russia
- Ukraine
- Other Eastern Europe
- Africa/Mideast
- Tire Supply & Demand
- Tire Production Capacity
- Rubber Supply & Demand
- Synthetic Rubber Capacity
- Iran
- South Africa
- Turkey
- Other Africa/Mideast
IX. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- General
- Market Share & Industry Concentration
- Tires
- Non-Tire Rubber Products
- Synthetic Rubber
- Natural Rubber
- Acquisitions, Divestitures & Industry Restructuring
- Cooperative Agreements
- Marketing & Distribution
- Competitive Strategies
- Research & Development
- Company Profiles
- Aeolus Tyre Company Limited
- Amtel-Vredestein NV
- Apollo Tyres Limited
- Belshina Belarus Tyre Works JSC
- Bridgestone Corporation
- Brisa Bridgestone Sabanci Lastik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
- CEAT Limited
- Cheng Shin Rubber Industries Company Limited
- China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation
- Continental AG
- Cooper Tire & Rubber Company
- DESC SAB de CV, see Grupo KUO SAB de CV
- Double Coin Holdings Limited
- Dow Chemical Company
- Dunlop Tyres International Pty Limited, see Apollo Tyres
- DuPont (EI) de Nemours
- Dynasol Elastomeros SA, see Grupo KUO SAB de CV
- Eni SpA
- Exxon Mobil Corporation
- GITI Tire Pte Limited
- Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
- GPX International Tire Corporation
- Grupo KUO SAB de CV
- GTY Tire Company, see Continental, Toyo Tire & Rubber
- and Yokohama Rubber
- Hangzhou Zhongce Rubber Company Limited
- Hankook Tire Company Limited
- Insa SA de CV, see Grupo KUO SAB de CV
- International Specialty Products Incorporated
- JK Tyre & Industries Limited
- JSR Corporation
- Korea Kumho Petrochemical Company Limited
- Kumho Tire Company Incorporated
- LANXESS AG
- Lion Copolymer LLC
- Maine Industrial Tires Limited, see GPX International Tire
- Maxxis International Co Ltd, see Cheng Shin Rubber
- Michelin Group
- MRF Limited
- NEXEN Tire Corporation
- Nizhnekamskshina JSC
- Nokian Tyres plc
- Oliver Rubber Company, see Michelin Group
- ParaTec Elastomers LLC, see Grupo KUO SAB de CV
- PetroChina Company Limited
- Petroflex SA
- Pirelli & C. SpA
- Polimeri Europa SpA, see Eni SpA
- PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk
- Royal DSM NV
- Shandong Linglong Rubber Company Limited
- Shanghai Michelin Warrior Tire Co Ltd, see Michelin
- and Double Coin Holdings
- Shanghai Tyre & Rubber Co Ltd, see Double Coin Holdings
- SIBUR Holding OAO
- Sinopec Corporation, see China Petroleum & Chemical
- South Pacific Tyres Limited, see Goodyear Tire & Rubber
- Sumitomo Rubber Industries Limited
- Titan International Incorporated
- Toyo Tire & Rubber Company Limited
- Triangle Group Company Limited
- TSRC Corporation
- Yokohama Rubber Company Limited
- ZEON Corporation
- Other Tire & Rubber Companies
LIST OF TABLES
- TABLE NUMBER
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Summary Table
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- 1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region
- 2 World Population by Region
- 3 World Motor Vehicle Production
- 4 World Motor Vehicles in Use
SECTION III -- WORLD TIRE OUTLOOK
- 1 World Tire Supply & Demand
- 2 World Tire Demand by Region & Market
- 3 World OEM Tire Demand by Region
- 4 World Replacement Tire Demand by Region
- 5 World Tire Net Exports by Region
- 6 World Tire Production by Region & Type
- 7 World Tire Production Capacity by Region, Year-End 2006
SECTION IV -- WORLD RUBBER OUTLOOK
- 1 World Rubber Supply & Demand
- 2 World Rubber Consumption by Region
- 3 World Rubber Consumption by Market
- 4 World Rubber Consumption by Type
- 5 World Rubber Net Exports by Region
- 6 World Rubber Production by Region & Type
- 7 World Synthetic Rubber Production by Region
- 8 World Natural Rubber Production by Region
- 9 World Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Region, Year-End 2006
SECTION V -- NORTH AMERICA
- 1 North America Tire Supply & Demand
- 2 North America Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 3 North America Rubber Supply & Demand
- 4 North America Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 5 United States Tire Supply & Demand
- 6 United States Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 7 United States Rubber Supply & Demand
- 8 United States Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 9 Canada Tire Supply & Demand
- 10 Canada Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 11 Canada Rubber Supply & Demand
- 12 Mexico Tire Supply & Demand
- 13 Mexico Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 14 Mexico Rubber Supply & Demand
- 15 Mexico Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
SECTION VI -- WESTERN EUROPE
- 1 Western Europe Tire Supply & Demand
- 2 Western Europe Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 3 Western Europe Rubber Supply & Demand
- 4 Western Europe Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 5 Belgium/Luxembourg Tire Supply & Demand
- 6 Belgium/Luxembourg Rubber Supply & Demand
- 7 Belgium/Luxembourg Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 8 France Tire Supply & Demand
- 9 France Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 10 France Rubber Supply & Demand
- 11 France Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 12 Germany Tire Supply & Demand
- 13 Germany Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 14 Germany Rubber Supply & Demand
- 15 Germany Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 16 Italy Tire Supply & Demand
- 17 Italy Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 18 Italy Rubber Supply & Demand
- 19 Netherlands Tire Supply & Demand
- 20 Netherlands Rubber Supply & Demand
- 21 Netherlands Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 22 Portugal Tire Supply & Demand
- 23 Portugal Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 24 Portugal Rubber Supply & Demand
- 25 Spain Tire Supply & Demand
- 26 Spain Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 27 Spain Rubber Supply & Demand
- 28 Sweden Tire Supply & Demand
- 29 Sweden Rubber Supply & Demand
- 30 United Kingdom Tire Supply & Demand
- 31 United Kingdom Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 32 United Kingdom Rubber Supply & Demand
- 33 United Kingdom Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 34 Other Western Europe Tire Supply & Demand
- 35 Other Western Europe Rubber Supply & Demand
SECTION VII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
- 1 Asia/Pacific Tire Supply & Demand
- 2 Asia/Pacific Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 3 Asia/Pacific Rubber Supply & Demand
- 4 Asia/Pacific Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 5 Australia Tire Supply & Demand
- 6 Australia Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 7 Australia Rubber Supply & Demand
- 8 China Tire Supply & Demand
- 9 China Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 10 China Rubber Supply & Demand
- 11 China Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 12 India Tire Supply & Demand
- 13 India Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 14 India Rubber Supply & Demand
- 15 India Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 16 Indonesia Tire Supply & Demand
- 17 Indonesia Tire Production Capacity by Company,
- Year-End 2006
- 18 Indonesia Rubber Supply & Demand
- 19 Japan Tire Supply & Demand
- 20 Japan Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 21 Japan Rubber Supply & Demand
- 22 Japan Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 23 Malaysia Tire Supply & Demand
- 24 Malaysia Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 25 Malaysia Rubber Supply & Demand
- 26 South Korea Tire Supply & Demand
- 27 South Korea Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 28 South Korea Rubber Supply & Demand
- 29 South Korea Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 30 Taiwan Tire Supply & Demand
- 31 Taiwan Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 32 Taiwan Rubber Supply & Demand
- 33 Taiwan Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 34 Thailand Tire Supply & Demand
- 35 Thailand Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 36 Thailand Rubber Supply & Demand
- 37 Thailand Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 38 Vietnam Tire Supply & Demand
- 39 Vietnam Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 40 Vietnam Rubber Supply & Demand
- 41 Other Asia/Pacific Tire Supply & Demand
- 42 Other Asia/Pacific Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 43 Other Asia/Pacific Rubber Supply & Demand
SECTION VIII -- OTHER REGIONS
- 1 Latin America Tire Supply & Demand
- 2 Latin America Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 3 Latin America Rubber Supply & Demand
- 4 Latin America Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 5 Brazil Tire Supply & Demand
- 6 Brazil Tire Production Capacity By Company, Year-End 2006
- 7 Brazil Rubber Supply & Demand
- 8 Brazil Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 9 Other Latin America Tire Supply & Demand
- 10 Other Latin America Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 11 Other Latin America Rubber Supply & Demand
- 12 Eastern Europe Tire Supply & Demand
- 13 Eastern Europe Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 14 Eastern Europe Rubber Supply & Demand
- 15 Eastern Europe Synthetic Rubber Capacity By Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 16 Czech Republic Tire Supply & Demand
- 17 Czech Republic Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 18 Czech Republic Rubber Supply & Demand
- 19 Poland Tire Supply & Demand
- 20 Poland Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 21 Poland Rubber Supply & Demand
- 22 Russia Tire Supply & Demand
- 23 Russia Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 24 Russia Rubber Supply & Demand
- 25 Russia Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 26 Ukraine Tire Supply & Demand
- 27 Ukraine Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 28 Ukraine Rubber Supply & Demand
- 29 Other Eastern Europe Tire Supply & Demand
- 30 Other Eastern Europe Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 31 Other Eastern Europe Rubber Supply & Demand
- 32 Other Eastern Europe Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 33 Africa/Mideast Tire Supply & Demand
- 34 Africa/Mideast Tire Production Capacity by Country, Year-End 2006
- 35 Africa/Mideast Rubber Supply & Demand
- 36 Africa/Mideast Synthetic Rubber Capacity By Country & Type, Year-End 2006
- 37 Iran Tire Supply & Demand
- 38 Iran Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 39 Iran Rubber Supply & Demand
- 40 South Africa Tire Supply & Demand
- 41 South Africa Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 42 South Africa Rubber Supply & Demand
- 43 Turkey Tire Supply & Demand
- 44 Turkey Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 45 Turkey Rubber Supply & Demand
- 46 Other Africa/Mideast Tire Supply & Demand
- 47 Other Africa/Mideast Tire Production Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 48 Other Africa/Mideast Rubber Supply & Demand
SECTION IX -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- 1 World Tire Sales by Company, 2006
- 2 World Non-tire Rubber Product Sales by Company, 2006
- 3 World Synthetic Rubber Capacity by Company, Year-End 2006
- 4 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
- 5 Selected Cooperative Agreements
LIST OF CHARTS
- CHART NUMBER
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- 1 Rubber Pricing Trends, 1996 to 2006
SECTION III -- WORLD TIRE OUTLOOK
- 1 World Tire Demand by Region
- 2 World Tire Production by Region, 2006
- 3 World Tire Production Share Increase by Country, 2006 to 2011
SECTION IV -- WORLD RUBBER OUTLOOK
- 1 World Rubber Consumption by Region, 2006
- 2 World Rubber Production by Region, 2006
SECTION V -- NORTH AMERICA
- 1 North America Tire Demand & Production by Country, 2006
- 2 North America Rubber Consumption & Production by Country, 2006
SECTION VI -- WESTERN EUROPE
- 1 Western Europe Tire Demand & Production by Country, 2006
- 2 Western Europe Rubber Consumption & Production by Country, 2006
SECTION VII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
- 1 Asia/Pacific Tire Demand & Production by Country, 2006
- 2 Asia/Pacific Rubber Consumption & Production by Country, 2006
SECTION VIII -- OTHER REGIONS
- 1 Eastern Europe Tire Demand & Production by Country, 2006
- 2 Eastern Europe Rubber Consumption & Production by Country, 2006
- 3 Africa/Mideast Tire Demand & Production by Country, 2006
- 4 Africa/Mideast Rubber Consumption & Production by Country, 2006