Indian Tourism Industry Forecast

(2007-2011)

Publication Date	June 2007
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	60
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00200

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Summary

The "Indian Tourism Industry Forecast (2007-2011)" report provides an objective analysis of the present scenario and future prospects of the Indian tourism industry. This report focuses on different parameters of tourism industry including: inbound tourism, outbound tourism, expenditure by inbound tourists, and medical tourism in India. It also helps clients to analyze the opportunities and factors critical to the success of tourism industry in India.

Key Findings

In India, inbound tourist expenditure per head is third highest in the world and even more than global average tourist spending.
India has been promoting its healthcare tourism by providing the visitors with private healthcare facilities. It is expected that the number of tourists visiting India for the purpose of medical treatment will reach one Million by 2012, representing a CAGR of 28.09% from 2007.
Disposable income in past (during 2001-2006) grew at a CAGR of 10.11%, thereby driving domestic as well as outbound tourism.
Room rent accounts for more than 50% of revenue earned by Indian hotel industry.
Indian outbound tourist flow is expected to increase at a CAGR of 12.79% over the five-year period spanning 2007-2011.
Tourist influx to India is expected to increase at a CAGR of 22.65% between 2007 and 2011.
India's share in global tourism is expected to reach 1.5% by 2010.

Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

What is the current state of tourism industry in India?
What are the emerging trends in the tourism sector in India?
What is the future outlook of the tourism industry in India in terms of inbound as well as outbound tourism, and expenditure by inbound and outbound tourists?
Which factors are driving the India tourism industry?
Hotel industry scenario in India?
Hotel industry occupancy rate and room supply by 2011?

Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key facts about the major players (tour operator & hotels) currently operating in the Indian tourism industry. The key players analyzed in this section include: Thomas Cook India Pvt. Ltd., Kuoni India Ltd., Cox & Kings India Ltd., Raj Travels & Tours Ltd., prominent Hotels & Resorts such as Taj Hotels, The Oberoi Group, Hyatt Corporation, ITC Welcomgroup.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, by monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis methods include the following: Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Content

1. Analyst View
2. Research Overview
3. Industry Overview
- 3.1 Global Tourism - Current Scenario
  - 3.1.1 International Tourists Arrival
  - 3.1.2 Inbound Tourism - By Purpose of Visit
  - 3.1.3 Inbound Tourism - By Means of Transport
  - 3.1.4 International Tourists Expenditure
- 3.2 Global Tourism - By Regional Segmentation
- 3.3 Global Tourism Forecast - 2020
- 3.4 Asia-Pacific Tourism
4. Indian Tourism - Performance Indicators
- 4.1 Tourists Arrival
  - 4.1.1 By Region
  - 4.1.2 Tourists Arrival Forecast (2007-2010)
- 4.2 Expenditure - By Inbound Tourists
  - 4.2.1 Tourism Receipts
  - 4.2.2 Average Tourist Expenditure
  - 4.2.3 Tourism Receipts Forecast (2007-2011)
- 4.3 Outbound Departure
  - 4.3.1 Outbound Tourism
  - 4.3.2 Outbound Tourism Forecast (2007-2011)
- 4.4 Domestic Tourism
- 4.5 Hotel Industry
  - 4.5.1 Average Room Rent & Occupancy Rate
  - 4.5.2 Hotel Room Supply Forecast - 2011
- 4.6 Medical Tourism
5. Industry Analysis
- 5.1 Drivers
  - 5.1.1 Government Infrastructure Support
  - 5.1.2 100% FDI in Real Estate
  - 5.1.3 Booming Aviation Sector
  - 5.1.4 Growing Economic Activity in Indian Subcontinent
  - 5.1.5 Increased Competition in Hotel Sector
  - 5.1.6 Incredible India' Campaign
  - 5.1.7 Personal Disposable Income
- 5.2 Opportunities
  - 5.2.1 Medical Tourism
  - 5.2.2 Budgeted Hotels
  - 5.2.3 Online Tourism
  - 5.2.4 Commonwealth Games - 2010 & Cricket World Cup - 2011
  - 5.2.5 Outbound & Domestic Tourism
- 5.3 Challenges
  - 5.3.1 Soaring Real Estate Prices
  - 5.3.2 Infrastructure Constraints
  - 5.3.3 Insufficient Hotel Rooms
  - 5.3.4 Susceptible to Geo-Political Events
  - 5.3.5 Fierce Competition
  - 5.3.6 High Input Cost
6. Key Players
- 6.1 Tour Operators
  - 6.1.1 Thomas Cook India Pvt. Ltd.
  - 6.1.2 Kuoni India Ltd.
  - 6.1.3 Cox & Kings India Ltd.
  - 6.1.4 Raj Travels & Tours Ltd.
- 6.2 Hotels & Resort
  - 6.2.1 Taj Hotels
  - 6.2.2 The Oberoi Group
  - 6.2.3 Hyatt Corporation
  - 6.2.4 ITC Welcomgroup
7. Annexure
- 7.1 National Tourism Policy
- 7.2 Scheme for Integrated Development of Tourist Circuits
- 7.3 Scheme of Assistance for Large Revenue Generating Projects
- 7.4 Scheme for Rural Tourism
- 7.5 Scheme for Market Development Assistance (MDA)
- 7.6 Scheme for Support to Public-Private Partnerships in Infrastructure (Viability Gap Funding)
List of Figures:
- Figure 3-1: Worldwide - International Tourists Arrival (in Million), 2003-2006
- Figure 3-2: Worldwide - Inbound Tourism by Purpose of Visit (%), 2005
- Figure 3-3: Worldwide - Inbound Tourism by Means of Transport (%), 2005
- Figure 3-4: Worldwide - International Tourists Expenditure (in Billion US$), 2002-2006E
- Figure 3-5: Worldwide - Forecast for International Tourists Arrival by Region (in Million), 2020
- Figure 3-6: Worldwide - Forecast for International Tourists Arrival by Region (%), 2020
- Figure 4-1: India - International Tourists Arrival (in Numbers), Jan 2007 to Apr 2007
- Figure 4-2: India - International Tourists Arrival in Four Metro Cities (%), 2003-2006
- Figure 4-3: India - International Tourists Arrival by Region (%), 2005
- Figure 4-4: India - Forecast for International Tourists Arrival (in Million), 2007-2010
- Figure 4-5: Worldwide - Average Tourist Expenditure (in US$), 2005
- Figure 4-6: India - Forecast for Tourism Receipts (in Rs Crore), 2007-2011
- Figure 4-7: India - Outbound Tourists (in Million), 2001-2006
- Figure 4-8: India - Forecast for Outbound Tourists (in Million), 2007-2011
- Figure 4-9: India - Domestic Tourists (in Million), 2001-2006
- Figure 4-10: India - Number of Hotel Rooms (in '000), 2004 & 2006
- Figure 4-11: India - Hotel Revenue by Segment (%), 2006
- Figure 4-12: India - Hotel Occupancy Rate (%) & Average Daily Rate (in US$), 2001-2006
- Figure 4-13: India - Medical Tourism Industry (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2006
- Figure 4-14: India - Forecast for Medical Tourism Industry (in Billion US$), 2007-2012
- Figure 4-15: India - Medical Tourists Arrival (in Numbers), 2000-2005
- Figure 4-16: India - Forecast for Medical Tourists Arrival (in Million), 2007-2012
- Figure 5-1: India - Infrastructure Support from Government (in Million US$), 2006-07 & 2007-08
- Figure 5-2: India - Disposable Income Per Head (in US$), 2001-2006
- Figure 5-3: India - Share in Global Foreign Tourism (%), 2006 & 2010F
- Figure 5-4: India - Forecast for Disposable Income Per Head (in US$), 2007-2011
- Figure 5-5: Aviation Turbine Fuel Price Comparison (in US$), 2006
List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Worldwide - International Tourists Arrival by Region (in Million), 2003-2005
- Table 3-2: Asia-Pacific - International Tourists Arrival at Frontier (in '000), 2004 & 2005
- Table 3-3: Asia-Pacific - International Tourists Arrival by Region (in Numbers), Oct 2006
- Table 3-4: Asia-Pacific - International Tourists Arrival by Country (in Numbers), 2006
- Table 4-1: India - International Tourists Arrival Breakup by Month (in Numbers), 2004-2006
- Table 4-2: India - Tourism Receipts Breakup by Month (in Rs Crore), 2004-2006
- Table 4-3: India - Classification of Hotel Industry
- Table 4-4: India - Forecast for New Room Supply by Region (in Numbers), 2011
- Table 5-1: India - Comparison of Medical Treatment Cost with UK (in US$)
- Table 5-2: India - Comparison of Procedure Charges of Surgeries with US* (in US$)
- Table 6-1: Thomas Cook (India) Ltd. - Key Financials (in Rs Crore), Mar 2007
- Table 6-2: Taj Hotels - Key Financials (in Rs Crore), 2006
- Table 6-3: The Oberoi Group - Key Financials (in Million Rs), 2006-07