China Heading Towards 3G

Publication Date	August 2007
Publisher	Ovum
Product Type	Report
Pages	16
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	OVM00426

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Summary

3G licensing and industry restructuring have been widely debated in China. While these issues have a significant potential impact on the mobile sector, other local issues are also changing the industry landscape. Ovum analyst Kevin Lee examines the market growth opportunity, future developments and operator positioning in the face of these future challenges.

Content

Ovum view
Market development
Key market trends
Accelerating fixed-to-mobile substitution
Robust postpaid growth despite the dominance of prepaid
Rural markets expand quickly
2G network expansion and upgrade continues
Data growth is encouraging
Tariff restructuring to pave the way
Unknown future for CDMA
An industry shaped by the government
The long-awaited 3G licensing
Industry restructuring
Foreign investment does not follow the WTO timetable
Tariff control
Seize growth opportunities overseas
Chinese vendors: the 3G beneficiaries
Player positioning in the face of 3G
Duopoly continues
China Mobile - the 3G first-mover
China Unicom - dual-network strategy is questionable
Table of figures
- Figure 1 China mobile connections and growth forecast, 2006-
- Figure 2 Chinese fixed and mobile connections and growth, 2000-
- Figure 3 Prepaid and postpaid splits in China
- Figure 4 Chinese subscriber net additions by region, 2004-
- Figure 5 Chinese ARPU and MoU for GSM and CDMA, 2004-
- Figure 6 China's WTO commitment schedule for the mobile sector
- Figure 7 Subscriber and market share movement for mobile operators