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2006-2007 European Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Overviews

Publication Date December 2006
Publisher BuddeComm
Product Type Report
Pages 242
ISBN Number not applicable
Product Code BUD00091
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Summary

The European telecom market in 2006 benefited from strong underlying economic performances in the region, continuing the recovery seen in 2005. It was also characterised by striking changes in the adoption of emerging technologies, on a general operator focus for providing triple play and quad play services to customers, and on vigorous regulatory policies at both the regional and national levels. Many of the major players have consolidated their businesses to strengthen their positions in the face of increased competition. The European Union's New Regulatory Framework (NRF), designed to standardise and liberalise the industry within the EU, has been supplemented by the i2010 initiative and was under a major review at the end of 2006, with amendments likely to be implemented during 2007.

Europe's advanced telecommunications networks and population density have enabled the region to be a prime testing ground for emerging technologies. As fixed-voice traffic and revenue continues to fall, the focus has gradually shifted to other data-rich applications such as mobile TV and HSDPA, which in turn have placed competitive pressure on the business models of developing WiMAX networks across the EU. The copper networks have continued to be augmented by substantial cable and fibre network deployments during 2006. Further investment to the end of the decade is expected following the consolidation of cable operators in key markets (the UK, Germany, The Netherlands) as operators extend and upgrade networks in an effort to compete with dominant DSL. In addition, new technologies including wireless networks, Broadband Powerline, 3G mobile networks and satellite broadband have increased the reach and versatility of telecoms' provision. Effective regulatory controls have enabled rivals to encroach on the incumbents' market shares in all sectors.

Other key developments during 2006 were the further progress towards Next Generation Networks (NGN), moving infrastructure to an IP packet-based, full service typology. The principal innovator in this sector is British Telecom, which opened the first stage of its 21CN all-IP network in November 2006. The company successfully underwent structural separation and has since operated its Openreach division to service competitors on an equal footing. BT's regulated approach, in particular Openreach, is likely to be imitated by the Dutch regulator in 2007 and by other regulators in Europe in coming years.

Broadband

Europe continued to show strong broadband growth in 2006, driven by intensifying competition and by regulatory measures to improve competitor access to local loops. In addition, technological developments in both the cable and DSL platforms have provided sufficiently fast data speeds for a large number of consumers to be able to extend broadband from its limited PC-based function to one which is increasing the basis for household entertainment through services such as Video-on-Demand (VoD) and IPTV. The main growth driver remains xDSL followed by cable, but with fibre enjoying an improving footprint in certain markets, notably Scandinavia, The Netherlands and Italy, as the cost of roll-outs falls and network builds are undertaken by municipalities and other groups as often as by telcos. Satellite Internet and wireless broadband retain a niche presence, though the European Commission (EC) has facilitated the use of WLANs for accessing public services, and WiFi / WiMAX systems have been widely deployed in Europe.

Broadband penetration varies considerably across European states and is generally highest in countries where infrastructure-based competition exists via cable and other alternative networks, and where Local Loop Unbundling (LLU) is well regulated. Countries which implement pro-competitive regulatory frameworks have experienced faster broadband adoption, while those countries with unrestrained incumbent market power have fallen behind. Thus countries, such as France and the UK, with established bitstream and/or alternative infrastructures have seen substantial growth. There remains scope for improvement in the development of LLU, the success of which largely relies on regulatory pressure. The overall broadband growth rate in 2006 was about 9% per quarter, compared to 15% per quarter in 2005. Slower growth was noticeable in some countries where adoption was already high (Belgium and Sweden) though it continued to grow strongly in The Netherlands.

Convergence

During 2006 the triple play model in Europe saw widespread deployment by a number of network operators and providers. Through mergers and buyouts, the year also saw the first quad-play offers, notably in the UK, with mobile telecoms added to existing bundles of fixed-voice, Internet and TV. Triple play offers a number of value-added services including broadcast and specialty TV channels, VoD, Voice over IP (VoIP), and Digital Video Recorders (DVR or PVR). This has been possible through operators upgrading most of Europe's communications networks to IP packet-switched technology. To the communications provider, most of the carry cost occurs in building transmission infrastructure; once the infrastructure is in place, the cost to deliver new services is negligible. This natural bundling of voice, Internet and TV has transformed the telecommunications and TV broadcasting industries, bringing players in both industries together as direct competitors in the triple play market. By 2006, much of Europe was able to take advantage of the numerous services offered, and by the end the decade most countries will have sufficiently fast and widespread broadband networks to make IP-content within reach of the a sufficient proportion of the population to make a wider range of digital media commercially available. With this infrastructure in place, companies can deliver innovative services which will in turn feed demand for more content. Remaining profitable and competitive in this environment will pose many challenges. One key to revenue growth is being able to deploy new multimedia services quickly and simply as the market develops.

The market for digital home services (TV, broadband and telephony) in Europe is promising for 2007 and coming years. By 2010, Digital TV (DTV) will be available in 60% of European households, and DTV may replace broadband Internet as the principal driver of growth of Europe's digital economy. Billions of Euro will be invested in this sector, and local content providers will also profit. The long-term winners will be those players who are first to offer the consumer triple play on favourable terms. The stronger competition in the market in coming years will require further investment in developing or expanding networks and in creating new digital content. Those players with good funding and a large subscriber base to leverage will benefit from some competitive advantages. These will include new players in the sector such as Yahoo! and Google. National incumbents have a good starting position, since they dominate the infrastructure industry with a customer base of around 151 million. Yet cable network operators have around 51 million subscribers, and many have been at the forefront in developing new strategies to encourage digital media.

Mobile communications

Europe's mobile market continues to grow despite market saturation - by mid-2006, 14 of the region's 29 markets exceeded 100% penetration. Regulatory controls and increasing competition among network providers and from a growing number of MVNOs has resulted in falling ARPU and voice prices, while SMS promotions and bundles have also affected data ARPU. To combat this declining revenue, operators have focused on migrating subscribers to 3G services - by mid-2006 the 3G subscriber base approached 35 million, but despite this extraordinary growth, providers have struggled to encourage subscribers to use services such as mobile TV, which are perceived as expensive and of uncertain value.

GSM remains the dominant platform, accounting for 97% of all subscribers, of whom about 80% were on prepaid plans. SMS remains the most successful data service, accounting for 15-20% of many operators' revenues, and up to 95% of data revenues. There were also more than 200 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs). Europe remains an important laboratory for emerging mobile technologies such as Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE) and High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA), while countries such as Finland are in the forefront of utilising 900MHz spectrum for 3G.

Content

  • 1. Telecoms, Mobile & Broadband Overview And Analysis 2006
    • 1.1 Western Europe
      • 1.1.1 Key highlights - 2006
      • 1.1.2 Major telecom players in Europe
      • 1.1.3 Internet
      • 1.1.4 Broadband
      • 1.1.5 Mobile communications
    • 1.2 Eastern Europe
      • 1.2.1 Key highlights - 2006
      • 1.2.2 Market overview
      • 1.2.3 Major fixed network operators
  • 2. Telecommunications Infrastructure
    • 2.1 Western Europe
      • 2.1.1 Regulatory environment
      • 2.1.2 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)
      • 2.1.3 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
      • 2.1.4 IP
    • 2.2 Eastern Europe
      • 2.2.1 Telecommunications infrastructure overview
  • 3. Voip
    • 3.1 Overview
    • 3.2 Regulatory environment
      • 3.2.1 Regulating VoIP
      • 3.2.2 Broadband speed the key
    • 3.3 VoIP services
      • 3.3.1 Overview
      • 3.3.2 VoIP market
      • 3.3.3 From technology to cost
      • 3.3.4 ITU Forum
      • 3.3.5 VoIP from Skype
      • 3.3.6 VoIP developments in Europe - case studies
    • 3.4 Mobile VoIP
  • 4. Regulatory Environment
    • 4.1 Western Europe
      • 4.1.1 The EU influence
      • 4.1.2 EU regulation
      • 4.1.3 European Regulators' Group
      • 4.1.4 Independent Regulators' Group (IRG)
      • 4.1.5 National Regulator Authorities (NRAs)
      • 4.1.6 Brief history of liberalisation
      • 4.1.7 Harmonisation measures
      • 4.1.8 Competition rules
      • 4.1.9 Interoperable 3G and digital TV
      • 4.1.10 New framework adopted - April 2002
      • 4.1.11 New legal framework - July 2003
      • 4.1.12 Issues for successful implementation
      • 4.1.13 Review of the NRF
      • 4.1.14 eEurope 2005 Action Plan
      • 4.1.15 i2010
      • 4.1.16 Licensing of fixed networks and services
      • 4.1.17 Privatisation
      • 4.1.18 Eleventh report on regulatory implementation
      • 4.1.19 European Communications market - EC assessment
      • 4.1.20 Regulatory issues
      • 4.1.21 Interconnect
      • 4.1.22 Access
      • 4.1.23 Number portability
      • 4.1.24 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
      • 4.1.25 Universal Service Obligation (USO)
    • 4.2 Eastern Europe
      • 4.2.1 Overview of regulatory environment
      • 4.2.2 Interconnection
      • 4.2.3 Access
      • 4.2.4 Number portability
      • 4.2.5 Privatisation
  • 5. Broadband And Internet Market
    • 5.1 Western Europe
      • 5.1.1 Overview and statistics
      • 5.1.2 Market forecasts
      • 5.1.3 Analysis of Europe's broadband market
      • 5.1.4 Cable broadband in Europe
      • 5.1.5 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) in Europe
      • 5.1.6 Broadband over Power Line (BPL)
      • 5.1.7 Wireless broadband
    • 5.2 Eastern Europe
      • 5.2.1 Overview
      • 5.2.2 Cable modems
      • 5.2.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
      • 5.2.4 Wireless broadband
  • 6. Convergence - Triple Play And Digital Tv
    • 6.1 Western Europe
      • 6.1.1 The triple play market
      • 6.1.2 The digital media market
      • 6.1.3 Industry realignments
      • 6.1.4 Structural reforms required
      • 6.1.5 Developing IP-networks
      • 6.1.6 Developing strategies
      • 6.1.7 Converging media
      • 6.1.8 European overview
      • 6.1.9 Triple play in Cable TV
      • 6.1.10 Triple play in telecoms
      • 6.1.11 The future of triple play in Europe
      • 6.1.12 Triple play developments in Europe - case studies
      • 6.1.13 Digital TV in Europe
    • 6.2 Eastern Europe
      • 6.2.1 Overview
      • 6.2.2 Triple play models
      • 6.2.3 Digital TV
  • 7. Mobile Market
    • 7.1 Western Europe
      • 7.1.1 Market overview and statistics
      • 7.1.2 Regulatory environment
      • 7.1.3 Mobile technologies
      • 7.1.4 Mobile prepaid market
      • 7.1.5 Major mobile operators
      • 7.1.6 Mobile alliances
      • 7.1.7 Third Generation (3G) mobile
      • 7.1.8 Mobile data market
    • 7.2 Eastern Europe
      • 7.2.1 Overview
      • 7.2.2 Mobile operators
      • 7.2.3 Mobile data
      • 7.2.4 Mobile content and applications
  • 8. Glossary Of Abbreviations
  • List Of Exhibits
    • Exhibit 1 - EU broadband league table - 2004 - 2006
    • Exhibit 2 - Brief history of liberalisation - pre-1987 - 2006
    • Exhibit 3 - Ownership of incumbent fixed-line operators - 2006
    • Exhibit 4 - Sample mobile interconnection regimes in Europe
    • Exhibit 5 - Different DSL services - 2006
    • Exhibit 6 - Past and current utilities pursuing BPL
    • Exhibit 7 - Overview of European hotspots - 2005
    • Exhibit 8 - Service bundling offers - 1995 - 2006
    • Exhibit 9 - Estimated analogue switch-off date in EU countries - 2006
    • Exhibit 10 - DTTV licensing models in selected EU countries - 2006
    • Exhibit 11 - Digital TV by platform in selected countries - 2006
    • Exhibit 12 - Sample MVNOs and resellers in Europe - November 2006
    • Exhibit 13 - UMTS licences in Europe - 2000 - 2001
    • Exhibit 14 - New entrant 3G licensees in Europe
    • Exhibit 15 - Sample 3G infrastructure suppliers in Europe
    • Exhibit 16 - European 3G network sharing agreements
    • Exhibit 17 - Sample First Wave MMS launches in Europe
    • Exhibit 18 - Sample European HSCSD networks - 2006
    • Exhibit 19 - Mobile TV trials in Europe - 2006
    • Exhibit 20 - i-Mode networks in selected European markets - 2006
    • Exhibit 21 - Examples of BlackBerry availability in Europe - 2006
  • List Of Tables
    • Table 1 - Main lines by country - 2003 - 2006
    • Table 2 - European ICT market growth - 2004 - 2007
    • Table 3 - Estimated telecom market growth, select countries - 2006 - 2007
    • Table 4 - Western Europe telecom market growth - 2001 - 2007
    • Table 5 - ICT market growth, select countries - 2005 - 2007
    • Table 6 - European carrier services market growth - 2005 - 2007
    • Table 7 - European ICT expenditure - 2005
    • Table 8 - Main broadband satellite markets - September 2006
    • Table 9 - Top seven European telcos by revenue - 2003 - 2005
    • Table 10 - Sample debt levels of major European telcos - 2003 - 2005
    • Table 11 - Internet users, growth and penetration - September 2006
    • Table 12 - Western European Internet commerce - 2005; 2009
    • Table 13 - LLU and shared access lines - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 14 - Broadband penetration per 100 inhabitants - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 15 - ADSL subscriber lines, select countries - 2003 - 2006
    • Table 16 - Cable modem subscribers in select countries - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 17 - Prepaid share of subscribers and annual change, select operators - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 18 - Top 20 European nations by subscribers and penetration - September 2006
    • Table 19 - Market share of incumbents by revenue in fixed-line markets - 2004
    • Table 20 - Number of operators actively offering voice services - 2004 - 2005
    • Table 21 - Number of significant operators - 2004 - 2005
    • Table 22 - Fibre accesses by sector - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 23 - FASTWEB financial statistics and subscribers & annual change - 2006
    • Table 24 - Free projections - Paris fibre - 2006; 2008; 2010; 2012; 2014
    • Table 25 - Bredbandsbolaget operating statistics - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 26 - Netherlands VoIP subscribers and quarterly change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 27 - Sweden VoIP subscribers - 2004 - 2005
    • Table 28 - Fixed-mobile interconnection charges - 2001 - 2005
    • Table 29 - Availability of wholesale access - 2003 - 2005
    • Table 30 - Unbundling: share of the DSL base and forecast - 2005; 2010
    • Table 31 - Alternative operators' unbundled and shared access lines - March 2006
    • Table 32 - LLU and shared access lines - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 33 - EU15 LLU and shared access cost - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 34 - EU local loop unbundling - March 2006
    • Table 35 - EU local loop unbundling - March 2006
    • Table 36 - Fixed numbers ported by country - October 2005
    • Table 37 - Fixed numbers ported by country - October 2005
    • Table 38 - Total fixed numbers ported - 2003 - 2005
    • Table 39 - Subscribers (%) using alternative operator by country - September 2005
    • Table 40 - Subscribers (%) using alternative provider by call type - 2002 - 2005
    • Table 41 - Registered notifications for Eastern European EU countries as at November 2006
    • Table 42 - Active home Internet users in select countries - June 2006
    • Table 43 - Internet users, growth and penetration - September 2006
    • Table 44 - Percentage of households with Internet and computer access - June 2006
    • Table 45 - Broadband access lines and growth in Europe - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 46 - Broadband access lines by type - September 2006
    • Table 47 - Other broadband access lines by type - September 2006
    • Table 48 - Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, by technology - June 2006
    • Table 49 - Growth in broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants - 2001 - 2005
    • Table 50 - Broadband online activities in selected countries - 2005
    • Table 51 - Average maximum broadband speeds in selected countries - 2006
    • Table 52 - Why the average home will soon require 50Mb/s to the home
    • Table 53 - Comparative European broadband costs in select countries - March 2006
    • Table 54 - LLU and shared access lines - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 55 - LLU cost in Europe - 2002 - 2005
    • Table 56 - Broadband access lines by type - March 2006
    • Table 57 - EU new entrant share of broadband lines, by country - October 2005
    • Table 58 - EU wholesale access availability - 2003 - 2005
    • Table 59 - Alternative providers use of wholesale products - September 2005
    • Table 60 - Cable modem subscribers in select countries - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 61 - Incumbents and new entrant retail xDSL lines - March 2006
    • Table 62 - DSL subscriber lines in selected countries - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 63 - Denmark BPL subscribers - 2005
    • Table 64 - Main broadband satellite markets - September 2006
    • Table 65 - Broadband penetration in EU Eastern Europe and annual change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 66 - Cable broadband in EU Eastern Europe and annual change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 67 - Percentage of wholesale ADSL lines retailed by the incumbent - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 68 - Triple play households in Europe - 2005; 2010; 2015
    • Table 69 - Mobile and broadband (triple play) growth opportunities - 2005 - 2010
    • Table 70 - Kabel Deutschland: TV, Internet and telephony subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 71 - ish/iesy broadband and digital TV subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 72 - ntl bundled customers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 73 - Bundled households for broadband/pay TV/fixed-line - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 74 - Proportion of bundled services by type - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 75 - Households with products from a single provider - 2004 - 2005
    • Table 76 - Cable and satellite TV home penetration in selected countries - 2005
    • Table 77 - European DTTV homes - 2005; 2009
    • Table 78 - TV channel availability, by top five countries - 2005
    • Table 79 - Digital TV households and penetration (all platforms) - 2001 - 2005
    • Table 80 - Cable to outpace satellite digital TV - 2000 - 2005
    • Table 81 - Digital TV revenues, all platforms - 2000 - 2006
    • Table 82 - Digital TV revenue - 2005
    • Table 83 - EU TV market revenue and growth - 2003 - 2004; 2008
    • Table 84 - European mobile subscribers and penetration - 1997 - 2006
    • Table 85 - Top 20 European nations by subscribers and penetration - September 2006
    • Table 86 - Top 10 European nations by mobile penetration - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 87 - Fastest mobile growth by nation and annual growth - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 88 - Mobile numbers ported - October 2005
    • Table 89 - GSM subscribers - 1997 - 2006
    • Table 90 - UMTS and GSM 900/1800 operators; service providers - 2006
    • Table 91 - Market shares of handset makers - 2003 - 2006
    • Table 92 - Camera phone sales and forecasts - 2005 - 2006; 2010
    • Table 93 - Europe handset shipments - 2002 - 2004
    • Table 94 - Sony Ericsson handset shipments, Europe - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 95 - Nokia handset shipments and annual change, Europe - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 96 - Prepaid share of subscribers and annual change - select operators - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 97 - Vodafone prepaid subscribers, proportionate - Q1 2006
    • Table 98 - O2 Group prepaid subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 99 - Prepaid and postpaid mobile subscribers in EU25 - October 2005
    • Table 100 - O2 Group mobile subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 101 - O2 Group financial statistics - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 102 - Orange mobile subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 103 - Orange PCS revenue, Capex and annual change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 104 - Telefnica Mviles operating statistics and annual change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 105 - TIM mobile subscribers and traffic - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 106 - TIM financial data and - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 107 - T-Mobile subscribers, selected European countries - 2001 - 2006
    • Table 108 - T-Mobile International operating statistics and annual change - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 109 - Vodafone ARPU - prepaid and contract (principal markets) - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 110 - Vodafone live! subscribers (principal markets) - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 111 - Vodafone 3G subscribers (principal markets) - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 112 - Vodafone blended ARPU by country - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 113 - Customer churn, selected countries - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 114 - Vodafone voice usage - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 115 - Western Europe WCDMA subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 116 - UMTS subscribers - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 117 - UMTS subscribers by network - 2004 - 2006
    • Table 118 - UMTS subscribers by operator - 2005 - 2006
    • Table 119 - Data revenue as % of total mobile revenues - Q2 2006
    • Table 120 - ARPU by country - Q2 2006
    • Table 121 - Mobile SMS messaging revenue and forecasts - 2004 - 2008
    • Table 122 - Camera-enabled shipments - 2002 - 2006
    • Table 123 - Vodafone live! customers - 2002 - 2006

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