China Telecom Industry Forecast to 2012

Publication Date	September 2009
Publisher	RNCOS
Product Type	Report
Pages	105
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	RCS00634

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Summary

China's telecommunication sector has been continuously witnessing considerable developments over the recent years. The country now owns the world's largest telecommunication networks in terms of both network capacity and number of subscribers. The telecom industry has experienced double-digit growth over the past decade. And the recent move by the government, aimed at restructuring the domestic telecom industry following the issuance of 3G licenses in early 2009, has brought about a wave of rapid development and deployment of telecom infrastructure throughout the country.

According to our report on the sector called "China Telecom Industry Forecast to 2012", operators continue to invest billions of dollars into the development of world-class telecom infrastructure in the country, despite gloomy economic environment. The issuance of 3G licenses in January 2009 has initiated a wave of investments that has long been waited for.

We have found that the country continue to see fast addition of subscribers in its mobile, Internet and broadband sector. Meanwhile, declining trend has been seen in its fixed line telephony market and we expect same trend to continue in near future as well. However, subscribers in mobile, Internet and broadband sector are forecasted to grow at CAGR of more than 8%, around 17% and 26% respectively during 2009-2012 and their respective penetration rate will approach nearly 67%, 42% and 16% by the end of 2012. Various factors which will drive this future growth have been thoroughly discussed in the report.

"China Telecom Industry Forecast to 2012" provides extensive research and analysis on the rapidly growing Chinese telecom market. It provides detailed analysis on the country's fixed-line telephony, mobile telephony, Internet and broadband market, coupled with their current performance and future prospects. The report provides clients an insight into the emerging technologies, subscriber growth, handset sales, market share, market penetration, opportunities and roadblocks, and future scenario of the Chinese telecom market.

Content

1. Analyst View
2. Research Methodology
3. China Telecom Sector - An Overview
4. Market Attractions
- 4.1 Economic Landscape
- 4.2 Favorable Demographics
- 4.3 Government Support
- 4.4 Bridging the Digital Divide
- 4.5 3G Technology
5. Market Performance and Outlook to 2012
- 5.1 Fixed-line Telephony
  - 5.1.1 By Subscribers
  - 5.1.2 By Urban/Rural Areas
  - 5.1.3 By Provinces
- 5.2 Mobile Telephony
  - 5.2.1 By Subscribers
  - 5.2.2 By Technologies
  - 5.2.3 By Service Providers
  - 5.2.4 By Provinces
- 5.3 Internet
  - 5.3.1 By Users
  - 5.3.2 By Urban/Rural Areas
  - 5.3.3 By Provinces
- 5.4 Broadband
  - 5.4.1 By Subscribers
  - 5.4.2 By Technologies
  - 5.4.3 By Service Providers
6. New Technological Deployments and Outlook
- 6.1 3G
- 6.2 IPTV
- 6.3 Mobile TV
- 6.4 WiMAX
7. Potential Growth Areas
- 7.1 IT-enabled Solutions
- 7.2 Computer Vendors
- 7.3 Handset Vendors
- 7.4 Value-added Service Providers
- 7.5 Network Security
- 7.6 Online Gaming
- 7.7 Online Advertising
8. Roadblocks and RNCOS Recommendations
9. Competitive Landscape
- 9.1 China Mobile Limited
- 9.2 China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited
- 9.3 China Telecom Corporation Limited
List of Figures:
- Figure 3-1: Fixed Asset Investment in Telecom Industry (Billion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 3-2: Telecom Industry Revenue (Billion Yuan), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 3-3: Breakup of Telecom Industry Revenue (%), 2008
- Figure 4-1: GDP (Trillion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 4-2: Fixed Asset Investment (Trillion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 4-3: Fixed Asset Investment in Urban and Rural Areas (%), 2008
- Figure 4-4: Population (Million), 2006-2008
- Figure 4-5: Share of Population in Urban and Rural Areas (2008)
- Figure 4-6: Per Capita Net Income of Rural Households (Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 4-7: Per Capita Disposable Income of Urban Households (Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 5-1: Number of Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers (Million), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-2: Penetration of Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers (%), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-3: Forecast for Number of Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-4: Forecast for Penetration of Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers (%), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-5: Share of Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers in Urban and Rural Areas (2008)
- Figure 5-6: Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers by Province (%), 2008
- Figure 5-7: Number of Mobile Subscribers (Million), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-8: Penetration of Mobile Subscribers (%), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-9: Total Mobile Phone Calls (Trillion Minutes), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 5-10: Mobile SMS Traffic (Billion), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 5-11: Forecast for Number of Mobile Subscribers (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-12: Forecast for Penetration of Mobile Subscribers (%), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-13: Mobile Subscribers by Technology (%), April 2009
- Figure 5-14: Mobile Subscribers by Service Provider (%), April 2009
- Figure 5-15: Mobile Subscribers by Province (%), 2008
- Figure 5-16: Number of Mobile Subscribers in Eastern Province by State (Million), 2008
- Figure 5-17: Number of Mobile Subscribers in Central Province by State (Million), 2008
- Figure 5-18: Number of Mobile Subscribers in Western Province by State (Million), 2008
- Figure 5-19: Number of Internet Users (Million), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-20: Penetration of Internet Users (%), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-21: Forecast for Number of Internet Users (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-22: Forecast for Penetration of Internet Users (%), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-23: Number of Internet Users in Urban and Rural Areas (Million), 2006-2008
- Figure 5-24: Number of Broadband Subscribers (Million), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-25: Penetration of Broadband Subscribers (%), 2005-2008
- Figure 5-26: Forecast for Number of Broadband Subscribers (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-27: Forecast for Penetration of Broadband Subscribers (%), 2009-2012
- Figure 5-28: Broadband Subscribers by Technology (%), 2008
- Figure 5-29: Broadband Subscribers by Service Provider (%), April 2009
- Figure 6-1: Forecast for Number of IPTV Subscribers (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 6-2: Number of Mobile TV Users (Million), 2006-2008
- Figure 6-3: Mobile TV Users by Service Type (%), 2008
- Figure 6-4: Forecast for Number of Mobile TV Users (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 6-5: Forecast for Mobile TV Users by Service Type (%), 2012
- Figure 6-6: Forecast for Mobile TV Market (Billion Yuan), 2009-2012
- Figure 6-7: Forecast for Number of WiMAX Users (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 6-8: Forecast for WiMAX Users by Service (%), 2012
- Figure 7-1: IT Spending in Telecom Industry (Billion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-2: IT Application Solutions Market in Telecom Industry (Billion Yuan), 2007 & 2012
- Figure 7-3: Forecast for IT Spending in Telecom Industry (Billion Yuan), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-4: Forecast for Breakup of IT Investment in Telecom Industry (%), 2012
- Figure 7-5: Computer Sales (Million Units), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-6: Laptop Sales (Million Units), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-7: Desktop Sales (Million Units), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 7-8: Forecast for Laptop Sales (Million Units), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-9: Forecast for Netbooks Shipment (Million Units), 2009 & 2012
- Figure 7-10: Mobile Phone Sales (Million Units), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-11: Mobile Phone Sales by Player (%), Oct 2008
- Figure 7-12: Forecast for Mobile Phone Sales (Million Units), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-13: Telecom Value-added Service Revenue (Billion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-14: Share of MVAS in Telecom Value-added Service Revenue (2008)
- Figure 7-15: Forecast for Telecom Value-added Service Revenue (Billion Yuan), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-16: Forecast for Share of MVAS in Telecom Value-added Service Revenue (2012)
- Figure 7-17: Network Security Product Market (Billion Yuan), 2006-2008
- Figure 7-18: Share of Leading Providers of Network Security Products/Services (Q4 2008)
- Figure 7-19: Forecast for Network Security Product Market (Billion Yuan), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-20: Number of Online Game Players (Million), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 7-21: Online Game Market (Billion Yuan), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 7-22: Share of Leading Companies in Online Game Market (Q1 2009)
- Figure 7-23: Forecast for Number of Online Game Players (Million), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-24: Forecast for Online Game Market (Billion Yuan), 2009-2012
- Figure 7-25: Mobile Online Game Market (Million Yuan), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 7-26: Number of Mobile Online Game Players (Million), 2007 & 2012
- Figure 7-27: Online Advertising Market (Billion Yuan), 2007 & 2008
- Figure 7-28: Online Advertising Market by Segment (%), 2008
- Figure 7-29: Share of Leading Players in Online Advertising Market (Q2 2009)
- Figure 7-30: Forecast for Online Advertisement Market (Billion Yuan), 2009 & 2012
List of Tables:
- Table 4-1: Number of Households by Income Bracket (???000), 2006-2009
- Table 5-1: Share of Urban and Rural Fixed-line Telephone Subscribers by Province (2006-2008)
- Table 5-2: Number of Internet Users by State (???000), 2007 & 2008