Denmark - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Publication Date	October 2009
Publisher	BuddeComm
Product Type	Report
Pages	81
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	BUD00435

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Summary

This report covers trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media including VoIP and IPTV developments.

Subjects include:

Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures and statistics;
Industry and regulatory issues;
Infrastructure;
Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU;
Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
Mobile Voice and Data Markets;
Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable, wireless);
Convergence and Digital Media;
Telecom market forecasts for selective years to 2018.

BuddeComm's annual publication, Denmark - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in Denmark.

As with the other Scandinavian countries, Denmark has a sophisticated telecom market with competitive mobile and Internet sectors. The country enjoys the highest broadband penetration in the world, and though the fibre sector is immature there is considerable pressure from the government and municipal authorities for broadband data rates to be improved and so benefit from the considerable economic and social potential which can be gained.

In common with markets across Europe, Denmark has been affected by the economic downturn which resulted in a fall in GDP of more than 1% in 2008 and an anticipated 4% in 2009. This has resulted in lower overall investment: telecom investment, already below the EU average of about 3% of GDP, was expected to reach no more than about 1% of GDP in 2009. This decline has partly been the result of the liquidity crisis, but also the consequence of the mature domestic market, which has slowed major investments at home in favour of opportunities in less developed markets in other countries which can offer greater returns. A large part of planned or ongoing investments in infrastructure can be attributed to the roll-out of 3G networks, which are nearing completion. In coming years a greater proportion of investment in fixed networks will be by utility companies connecting households with fibre.

Denmark's high broadband penetration, approaching 38% in mid-2009, is largely due to increasing competition, successful tax incentive schemes, the popularity of IP delivered content, and the fact that as a small country it is easy to cover with copper and fibre networks. In the mobile sector, GSM has showed little growth - indeed the GSM subscriber base of TDC and Telenor has fallen since early 2008, signifying customer migrations to 3G networks. Consequently, the 3G platform will be the main growth area in coming years, though operators are still challenged to develop business models which will translate the larger customer base into greater mobile data use, and thus higher ARPU.

Key highlights:

The telecom market has become consolidated with larger international operators purchasing smaller players: three large Nordic operators together with their subsidiaries dominate the market, which has helped them package bundled services in a bid to attract and retain customers. By 2010 about 20% of broadband subscribers will have a bundled service, commonly triple-play.
The regulator's auctioning of frequencies in the 2.5GHz band, expected in early 2010, will go far to advancing 4G (LTE and WiMAX) wireless broadband services as well as mobile TV. Five operators are anticipated to be licensed, securing competition in underserved rural areas.
A number of power companies operate fibre networks serving residential and business users, often in conjunction with government-sponsored rural broadband initiatives. These local operators are expected to pass about 1.2 million homes by 2015: the number of fibre subscriptions increased 23.2% in the year to January 2009, accounting for 4.3% of all broadband connections..
Digital switchover is set for November 2009. Frequencies for eight nationwide multiplexers for DTTV have been allocated, one to be used for mobile TV (DVB-H) from November 2010. It has not yet been decided whether the remaining digital dividend will benefit broadcasters or telcos (eg for mobile broadband applications), but Denmark will be ahead of most other European countries in being able to exploit spectrum for other uses in coming years.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Content

1. Key Statistics
2. Telecommunications Market
- 2.1 Overview of Denmark's telecom market
3. Regulatory Environment
- 3.1 History
- 3.2 Regulatory authority
  - 3.2.1 National IT and Telecom Agency (NTA)
- 3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Denmark
  - 3.3.1 Privatisation of Tele Danmark
  - 3.3.2 Interconnect
  - 3.3.3 Access
  - 3.3.4 Number portability (NP)
  - 3.3.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
4. Fixed Network Operators in Denmark
- 4.1 Overview of operators
- 4.2 TDC
  - 4.2.1 Company restructure
- 4.3 Telenor Denmark
- 4.4 TeliaSonera Denmark
5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
- 5.1 National telecom network
- 5.2 Alternative networks
- 5.3 International
  - 5.3.1 Submarine cable networks
  - 5.3.2 Satellite networks
- 5.4 Infrastructure developments
  - 5.4.1 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)
6. Broadband Market
- 6.1 Overview
  - 6.1.1 Regulatory issues
  - 6.1.2 Broadband statistics
- 6.2 Cable modems
- 6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
  - 6.3.1 Very High Data Rate DSL (VDSL)
- 6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
  - 6.4.1 Community networks
- 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
- 6.6 Wireless broadband
  - 6.6.1 WiMAX
  - 6.6.2 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
  - 6.6.3 Satellite
  - 6.6.4 Mobile broadband
7. Convergence
- 7.1 Overview of media convergence
- 7.2 Key general trends
- 7.3 Digital media
  - 7.3.1 Business models - triple play
- 7.4 Regulatory issues
  - 7.4.1 Overview
  - 7.4.2 Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
- 7.5 Digital TV
  - 7.5.1 Broadband (IPTV)
  - 7.5.2 VoIP
  - 7.5.3 Cable TV
  - 7.5.4 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments
  - 7.5.5 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
8. Mobile Communications
- 8.1 Overview of Denmark's mobile market
  - 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
  - 8.1.2 Operator market shares
- 8.2 Regulatory issues
  - 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
  - 8.2.2 Network sharing
  - 8.2.3 Roaming
  - 8.2.4 Mobile number portability (MNP)
  - 8.2.5 Mobile termination rates (MTRs)
- 8.3 Mobile technologies
  - 8.3.1 Digital
  - 8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
  - 8.3.3 4G developments
- 8.4 Major mobile operators
  - 8.4.1 TDC
  - 8.4.2 Telenor Denmark
  - 8.4.3 Telia Danmark
  - 8.4.4 3 Scandinavia
  - 8.4.5 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
- 8.5 Mobile voice services
  - 8.5.1 Prepaid
  - 8.5.2 Fixed-mobile bundling
  - 8.5.3 Satellite mobile
- 8.6 Mobile data services
  - 8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
  - 8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
  - 8.6.3 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
  - 8.6.4 High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA)
  - 8.6.5 Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA)
  - 8.6.6 BlackBerry
  - 8.6.7 Mobile TV
  - 8.6.8 TETRA (TErrestrial Trunked RAdio)
  - 8.6.9 Femtocells
  - 8.6.10 Mobile broadband
9. Forecasts
- 9.1 Forecast broadband subscribers - 2007 - 2012; 2018
  - 9.1.1 Scenario 1 - higher broadband subscriber growth
  - 9.1.2 Scenario 2 - lower broadband subscriber growth
- 9.2 Forecast mobile ARPU - 2005 - 2010; 2014
- 9.3 Forecast UMTS subscribers - 2006 - 2010; 2014
10. Glossary of Abbreviations
List of Tables
- Table 1 - Country statistics Denmark– 2009
- Table 2 - Telephone network statistics - 2008
- Table 3 - Internet user statistics - June 2009
- Table 4 - Broadband statistics - 2008
- Table 5 - Mobile statistics - 2008
- Table 6 - National telecommunications authority
- Table 7 - Telecom revenue by sector (historic) - 2004 - 2007
- Table 8 - Telecom investment by sector - 2006 - 2007
- Table 9 - Penetration of telecoms services by sector - 2003 - 2008
- Table 10 - Unbundled loops and access lines - 2005 - 2009
- Table 11 - LLU, shared access price - connection, monthly rental - 2005 - 2008
- Table 12 - Cumulative numbers ported - 2003 - 2008
- Table 13 - Fixed-line numbers ported per year - 2006 - 2008
- Table 14 - Carrier PreSelection registrations - 2005 - 2008
- Table 15 - Carrier selection market share by operator - 2006 - 2008
- Table 16 - Fixed-line traffic - 2003 - 2008
- Table 17 - Fixed network and ISDN lines - 2003 - 2008
- Table 18 - Subscriber lines with alternative operators - 2003 - 2008
- Table 19 - Alternative operator fixed-line market share - 2006 - 2008
- Table 20 - Alternative operator fixed lines - 2006 - 2008
- Table 21 - TDC Group financial data - 2003 - 2009
- Table 22 - TDC (Fixnet Nordic) revenue and annual change - 2007 - 2008
- Table 23 - TDC revenue by business line and annual change - 2008 - 2009
- Table 24 - TDC domestic subscribers per sector - 2006 - 2009
- Table 25 - TDC Group subscribers by sector - 2003 - 2009
- Table 26 - Telenor Denmark fixed-line revenue - 2006 - 2009
- Table 27 - Telenor Denmark subscribers - DSL, VoIP and mobile - 2005 - 2009
- Table 28 - TeliaSonera Denmark subscribers by sector - 2005 - 2009
- Table 29 - TeliaSonera Denmark revenue by sector - 2006 - 2009
- Table 30 - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2008
- Table 31 - Internet users and penetration rate - 1996 - 2009
- Table 32 - Total Internet subscribers and penetration rate - 2004 - 2008
- Table 33 - Dial-up Internet subscribers - 2007 - 2008
- Table 34 - Broadband penetration by technology - 2007 - 2008
- Table 35 - Total broadband subscribers by technology & penetration rate - 2001 - 2008
- Table 36 - Broadband subscribers by type - incumbent or other provider - 2008 - 2009
- Table 37 - Broadband subscribers by alternative technologies - 2005 - 2008
- Table 38 - Market share of broadband subscribers by operator - 2004 - 2008
- Table 39 - Market share of broadband subscribers by data speed - 2006 - 2007
- Table 40 - Market share of broadband subscribers by data speed - 2008
- Table 41 - YouSee broadband subscribers - 2007 - 2009
- Table 42 - YouSee financial data - 2008 - 2009
- Table 43 - Cable broadband service provider market shares by operator - 2005 - 2008
- Table 44 - Cable broadband subscribers by operator - 2007 - 2008
- Table 45 - Market share of cable broadband by data speed - 2006 - 2007
- Table 46 - TDC domestic broadband subscribers - 2006 - 2009
- Table 47 - TeliaSonera Denmark broadband subscribers and ARPU - 2007 - 2009
- Table 48 - Telenor Denmark broadband subscribers - 2007 - 2009
- Table 49 - Market share of DSL broadband by data speed - 2006 - 2007
- Table 50 - DSL market share by operator - 2005 - 2008
- Table 51 - DSL subscribers by operator - 2007 - 2008
- Table 52 - Proportion of DSL subscriptions by access type - 2004 - 2008
- Table 53 - DSL lines by type - 2006 - 2009
- Table 54 - Fibre broadband subscribers - 2005 - 2009
- Table 55 - Fibre broadband subscribers by operator - 2007 - 2008
- Table 56 - Wireless broadband subscribers by type - 2006 - 2008
- Table 57 - WiMAX subscribers by operator - 2006 - 2007
- Table 58 - Triple play subscribers - 2005 - 2008
- Table 59 - IPTV subscriptions - 2007 - 2008
- Table 60 - VoIP traffic minutes and subscribers - 2005 - 2008
- Table 61 - Cable TV subscriptions and market share by provider - 2006 - 2007
- Table 62 - YouSee financial data - 2004 - 2009
- Table 63 - TDC cable TV subscribers - 2003 - 2008
- Table 64 - Telia Stofa cable TV subscribers - 2002 - 2008
- Table 65 - Mobile subscribers and teledensity - 1999 - 2009
- Table 66 - Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change - June 2009
- Table 67 - Mobile subscribers by operator (regulator data) - 2007 - 2008
- Table 68 - Mobile traffic in minutes - 2005 - 2008
- Table 69 - Market share of subscribers by operator (regulator data) - 2007 - 2008
- Table 70 - European roaming charges - 2007 - 2009
- Table 71 - Cumulative mobile numbers ported - 2003 - 2008
- Table 72 - Annual mobile numbers ported (regulator data) - 2003 - 2008
- Table 73 - UMTS subscribers and market share of operators - 2006 - 2007
- Table 74 - TDC domestic subscribers (retail, wholesale and Telmore) - 2003 - 2009
- Table 75 - TDC Mobile Nordic revenue - 2006 - 2008
- Table 76 - TDC mobile services revenue - 2008 - 2009
- Table 77 - Telenor Denmark mobile subscribers and ARPU - 2004 - 2009
- Table 78 - Telenor Denmark financial data - 2005 - 2009
- Table 79 - TeliaSonera (Denmark) mobile ARPU and subscribers - 2005 - 2009
- Table 80 - 3 Scandinavia subscribers by sector - March 2009
- Table 81 - 3 Scandinavia annualised ARPU by sector - 2008
- Table 82 - Prepaid subscriptions and percentage of subscribers - 1999 - 2008
- Table 83 - Data sent by GPRS, EDGE and UMTS by operator - 2006 - 2008
- Table 84 - Total SMS sent - 2003 - 2008
- Table 85 - Service provider proportion of SMS messages sent - 2005 - 2008
- Table 86 - Total MMS sent - 2003 - 2008
- Table 87 - Service provider proportion of MMS messages sent - 2006 - 2008
- Table 88 - GPRS subscribers - 2002 - 2009
- Table 89 - TETRA subscribers by operator - 2006 - 2007
- Table 90 - Mobile broadband (data and voice) subscribers by operator - 2008
- Table 91 - Mobile broadband subscribers by type - 2007 - 2008
- Table 92 - Forecast broadband subscribers - higher market growth scenario - 2007 - 2012; 2018
- Table 93 - Forecast broadband subscribers - lower market growth scenario - 2007 - 2012; 2018
- Table 94 - Forecast mobile ARPU - 2005 - 2010; 2014
- Table 95 - Forecast UMTS subscribers - 2006 - 2010; 2014
- Exhibit 1 - EU - The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
- Exhibit 2 - Access and the local loop
- Exhibit 3 - Overview of media convergence
- Exhibit 4 - Denmark's 3G licensing results - October 2001
- Exhibit 5 - SMS and MMS roaming charges - 2009
- Exhibit 6 - Premium SMS market overview - 2008