Global Technology Market Forecast

Forecasting the future technologies is difficult, especially when it concerns the wired and wireless telecommunications market. Technology Road Map (TRM) has been the most typical methodology used in forecasting the rising technologies by so far. TRM basically tracks the evolution path based on network technology (2G->3G->4G) and is useful for connecting access and core network technologies, device's main components, including baseband, RFIC, LCD, camera module, LSI chipset and other essential hardware components. The main killer equipment & solution/platforms in access/core network and hardware/software technologies used in a device can be deduced through a diagnosis of the Network Evolution Path.

This white paper introduces ROA's own methodology that is designed for tracking rising technologies in the wired and wireless telecommunications market. ROA's methodology is called DUC & I Model that examines the interaction between device, user and content. The methodology aims to track the technologies that facilitate the interaction. This methodology has a different approach compared to the TRM.

ROA's DUC & I Model presents 3 unchangeable properties that determine the evolution and development of wired and wireless telecommunications market. Interaction occurs between user-device, device-content (service), and user-content (service). When the interaction between the 3 properties in the wired and wireless market maximizes, the more the evolution proceeds, and the profit increases on the service provider's side. ROA forecast that the dichotomy between wired and wireless will gradually lose its meaning and interaction will become the key word in understanding technologies in the telecommunications market.

In the wired, wireless and convergence market, the level of interaction between device-user- content (service) will increase and the facilitator in this pattern is technology. For tracking the future technology market, ROA Group will focus on identifying emerging and fading technologies based on the maximization of interaction between device-user-content (service), the three above mentioned unchangeable properties. DUC & I Model is the basic methodology of ROA, designed for tracking the future technology market.