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India Broadband Wireless & WiMAX Market Analysis & Forecasts, 2009-2013
3rd Edition

  • Publication Date:April 2009
  • Publisher:Maravedis
  • Product Type: Report
  • Pages:97

India Broadband Wireless & WiMAX Market Analysis & Forecasts, 2009-2013 3rd Edition

In 2008, Indian telecom continued to grow unmindful of any global economic meltdown or financial crisis. The mobile sector, in fact, broke all its previous records and added a robust 114 million cellular subscribers between January and December 2008. Leading into the New Year the streak continued, driven by new forces such as Reliance and Tata as the duo crossed over from CDMA to GSM, thus adding additional streams of new subscribers. Cellular subscriber additions are likely to push ARPUs further down in one of the lowest ARPU markets in the world, where up to 10 service providers compete for subscribers in some circles, thus raising concerns if the Indian mobile bandwagon may price itself out of sustainability at some point.

In stark contrast, the Indian broadband sector continued to be filled with alternating moods of despair and hope as the government announced and postponed spectrum auctions with remarkable deftness. While the Year of Broadband campaigns remained on the agenda, service providers ended the year with more confusion than a clear BWA/WiMAX/3G strategy regarding where their businesses were headed. The top issue on every service providers' to-do list was: shore up more voice subscribers on 2G today - everything else can wait And so it did./p>

Key Findings Include:

  • The Indian BWA/WiMAX subscriber count added in the last year is well above 250,000.
  • About 10,000 BWA/WiMAX base station sectors were deployed in 2008 alone.
  • BWA/WiMAX ARPU for SMEs (small-to-mediumsized- enterprises) is in the range of Rs 2500 - Rs 5000 (US$50 to US$100)
  • USB modem prices quoted to service providers in RFP responses were as low as US$35 - US$50 for even small volume shipments such as 150,000- 200,000.
  • Effective charges applied by service providers to subscribers for stand alone CPEs ranged from free US$200, depending on tariff plans.
  • Service provider approaches to BWA/WIMAX are mixed:
  • BSNL, the incumbent with a clear lead time (likely one year) on pre-allocated pan-Indian 2.5GHz is likely to be the big driver of WiMAX.
  • Operators such as Reliance and Tata have demonstrated what can be done by using slim 3.3GHz bands, and established the case for fixed WiMAX in India.
  • Operators such as Bharti Airtel have taken demand-driven approach where they have extended coverage based on enterprise need/availability of fiber/DSL and feasibility of BWA/WiMAX.
  • We estimate that WiMAX subscribers will reach 13.5 million by the end of 2013.
  • By 2013, the non-WiMAX BWA subscriber count will be down to sub-million.

 

  • 1.Executive Summary
  • 2. Overview of India' S Telecom Market
    • 2.1 Background
    • 2.2 State of The Telecom Market
      • 2.2.1 Top Trends in Indian Telecom in 2008
      • 2.2.2 Top Broadband Milestones in Indian Telecom in 2008
      • 2.2.3 Looking Forward - What We Expect from 2009
    • 2.3 Telecom Market Structure in India
  • 3. Internet Market in India
    • 3.1 Background
      • 3.1.1 Isp License Scope: Updates
      • 3.1.2 Internet Telephony Background in India
      • 3.1.3 Trai' S Recommendations on Internet Telephony Growth
    • 3.2 Internet Access: Shifting Patterns
      • 3.2.1 How The Dsl Case May Have Been Lost in India
  • 4. Broadband Wireless Access
    • 4.1 Drivers for Broadband Wireless Acess / Wimax
      • 4.1.1 Wi-Fi Hotspot Availability for Coffee, at Home and on Trains
    • 4.2 Opportunities for Wimax in India
      • 4.2.1 Government Initiatives
    • 4.3 Challenges for Growth of Wimax Industry in India
      • 4.3.1 Domestic PC Penetration
      • 4.3.2 Spectrum
      • 4.3.3 End User Pricing and Affordability
      • 4.3.4 Rural India: Basic Voice Connectivity Is Top Priority
  • 5. Regulatory Environment
    • 5.1 Government Entities
      • 5.1.1 Trai - Telecom Regulatory Authority of India
      • 5.1.2 Dot - Department of Telecommunication
      • 5.1.3 Wpc - Wireless Planning and Coordination Wing
      • 5.1.4 Tec - Telecommunications Engineering Centre
    • 5.2 Spectrum Update
      • 5.2.1 3300 - 34omhz in India
      • 5.2.2 Spectrum Bands Sought for Bwa / Wimax Usage
    • 5.3 Pricing Structure for Spectrum (2.3-5.8 Ghz) as Charged by Wpc India
  • 6. Bwa / Wimax Service Provider Analysis
    • 6.1 Aircel Cellular
    • 6.2 Airtel
    • 6.3 Bsnl
      • 6.3.1 Region: Goa, Ap and Gujarat
      • 6.3.2 Region: Kolkata
      • 6.3.3 Region: Punjab and Kerala
      • 6.3.4 Bsnl Soma Networks Public Private Partnership Project
    • 6.4 Reliance
    • 6.5 Sify
    • 6.6 Vsnl / Now Tata Communictions
    • 6.7 Emerging Wireless Isps / Greenfield-Eetamax
  • 7. Bwa / Wimax Equipment Vendor Analysis
    • 7.1 Alvarion
    • 7.2 Aperto Networks
    • 7.3 Ericsson
    • 7.4 Huawei
    • 7.5 Intel
    • 7.6 Motorola
    • 7.7 Pointred
    • 7.8 Redline Communications
    • 7.9 Soma Networks
    • 7.10 Telsima
  • 8. Shared Tower Infrastructure: A Natural Enabler for Emerging Wimax Market
  • 9. Vc / Pe Investments in Bwa / Wimax
  • 10. Market Forecast 2008-2013
  • List of Exhibits
    • Exhibit 1: India Fixed Wire-Line and Cellular Subscriber Trends
    • Exhibit 2: India Broadband Subscriber Trends
    • Exhibit 3: Map of India and Surrounding Territory
    • Exhibit 4: India Background
    • Exhibit 5: Telecom Market Structure
    • Exhibit 6: Status of National E-Governance Plan Ngp (as on 30th September 2008)
    • Exhibit 7: Yearly Desktop and Notebook Sales
    • Exhibit 8: Quarterly Sales of Desktop & Notebooks in 2008
    • Exhibit 9: Indian Tele-Density
    • Exhibit 10: Currently Used Mobile Services Frequency Bands
    • Exhibit 11: 3G Reserve Price for Bidding
    • Exhibit 12: Spectrum Assignments I 3.3-3.4 Ghz Band
    • Exhibit 13: Spectrum Pricing in India: Wpc
    • Exhibit 14: Aircel Corporate Structure
    • Exhibit 15: Aircel Wimax Network Availability
    • Exhibit 16: Key Statistics of Aircel Wimax Deployment
    • Exhibit 17: Airtel Corporate Structure
    • Exhibit 18: Key Statistics of Airtel Wimax Deployment
    • Exhibit 19: Bsnl Corporate Highlights
    • Exhibit 20: Reliance Corporate Structure
    • Exhibit 21: Reliance Wimax Deployment Details
    • Exhibit 22: Reliance Vendor Lock-in
    • Exhibit 23: Sify Corporate Structure
    • Exhibit 24: Tata Communications Corporate Structure
    • Exhibit 25: Tata Indicom Wi-Fi Tariff Plan
    • Exhibit 26: Tata Communications Wimax Network Plan
    • Exhibit 27: Tata Communications Wimax Deployment in Bangalore
    • Exhibit 28: Tata Communications Wimax Product Customization - Speeds
    • Exhibit 29: Metamax Network Roll out Plan
    • Exhibit 30: Telsima Indoor Wimax Subscriber Station Deployed in A Bangalore Residence
    • Exhibit 31: Distribution and Ownership of Cellular Towers
    • Exhibit 32: Vc / Pe Investments in Bwa / Wimax and Cellular Sectors in 2008
    • Exhibit 33: Desktop Shipment Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 34: Desktop / Notebook / PDA Shipment Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 35: Bwa / Wimax Subscriber Base Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 36: Bwa Subscriber Base Forecast 2.4 / 5.8 / Others Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 37: Wimax Subscriber Base 3.3 / 2.5 / 2.3 Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 38: Wimax Base Station Sector Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 39: Wimax Base Station Count Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 40: Standalone Cpe Price per Unit $ Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 41: Retail Users as % of Total Subscribers Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 42: Enterprise Users as % of Total Subscribers Forecast, through 2013
    • Exhibit 43: Bwa / Wimax Base Station Equipment Market S Forecast, through 2013
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