Ethiopia - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband & Forecasts

Publication Date	September 2009
Publisher	BuddeComm
Product Type	Report
Pages	27
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	BUD00392

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Summary

Ethiopia is the last country in Africa allowing its national telco, ETC a monopoly on all telecom services including fixed, mobile, Internet and data communications. This monopolistic control has stifled innovation and retarded expansion. The government tries to encourage foreign investment in a broad range of industries by allowing foreigners up to 100% equity ownership. However, there is no official schedule for the privatisation of the national carrier and the introduction of competition, but once this happens, the potential to satisfy unmet demand in all service sectors is huge.

Ethiopia has the second lowest telephone penetration rate in Africa, but it recently surpassed Egypt to become the second most populous nation on the continent after Nigeria. However, it is also one of the poorest countries in the world with approximately 80% of the population supporting themselves through subsistence agriculture, which accounts for more than half of the country's GDP.

Despite the monopoly situation, subscriber growth in the mobile sector has been excellent at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of almost 90% since its inception in 1999 and more than 100% in the past six years. However, demand has been even stronger, and ETC has been unable to satisfy it. Ethiopia's mobile market penetration is still one of the lowest in the world at little more than 3%. Fixed-line penetration is even lower, and this has also impacted on the development of the Internet sector. Prices of broadband connections are excessive.

Improvements are beginning to develop following massive investments into fixed-wireless and mobile network infrastructure, including third generation mobile technology, as well as a national fibre optic backbone. Ethiopia is investing an unusually large amount, around 10% of its GDP, into information & communication technology (ICT). However, telecommunications revenue has grown only moderately in comparison, at around 16% per annum. It has remained under 2% of GDP, a low figure in regional comparison.

Key highlights:

Forecasts for fixed-line, mobile and Internet markets to 2010 and 2015;
Comparison with other countries in the region in terms of GDP, mobile, fixed and Internet market penetration;
Detailed profile of the monopoly service provider in all market sectors;
Launch of 3G mobile service in market with excessive broadband pricing;
Extensive rollouts of national and international fibre infrastructure;
Multi-billion US$ investments planned before 2012.

Content

1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
3. Market analysis 2009
- 3.1 Regional statistical comparison
4. Regulatory environment
- 4.1 Regulatory authority
  - 4.1.1 Ethiopian Telecommunications Agency (ETA)
- 4.2 Telecom service licences
- 4.3 Telecom sector liberalisation
- 4.4 Privatisation of ETC
5. Fixed network operator
- 5.1 Ethiopian Telecommunications Corporation
  - 5.1.1 Fixed-line statistics
  - 5.1.2 Fixed-line infrastructure
  - 5.1.3 Rural area networks
  - 5.1.4 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
  - 5.1.5 Leased lines, data services
  - 5.1.6 VSAT
  - 5.1.7 National backbone network
  - 5.1.8 Next Generation Network (NGN)
  - 5.1.9 International infrastructure
  - 5.1.10 US$4 billion network development plan 2007-2012
6. Internet market
- 6.1 Overview
- 6.2 Internet statistics
- 6.3 National connectivity
- 6.4 Public Internet access locations
- 6.5 VoIP grey market
- 6.6 ISP market
  - 6.6.1 EthioNet
  - 6.6.2 Wholesale
7. Broadband market
- 7.1 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
- 7.2 WiMAX
- 7.3 Broadband via satellite
8. Mobile communications
- 8.1 Overview of Ethiopia's mobile market
  - 8.1.1 Mobile statistics
- 8.2 Mobile operator
  - 8.2.1 Ethio-Mobile
- 8.3 Mobile voice services
  - 8.3.1 Satellite mobile
- 8.4 Mobile data services
- 8.5 Third generation (3G)
- 8.6 Mobile banking
9. Forecasts
- 9.1 Forecast - fixed-line services - 2010; 2015
- 9.2 Forecast - Internet users - 2010; 2015
- 9.3 Forecast - mobile subscribers - 2010; 2015
- 9.4 Notes on scenario forecasts
10. Related reports
List of Tables
- Table 1 - Country statistics Ethiopia - 2009
- Table 2 - Telephone network statistics - 2008
- Table 3 - Internet provider statistics - 2008
- Table 4 - Internet user statistics - 2008
- Table 5 - Mobile statistics - March 2009
- Table 6 - National telecommunications authority
- Table 7 - GDP per capita in Ethiopia and other countries in the region - 2009
- Table 8 - Mobile penetration in Ethiopia and other countries in the region - 2008
- Table 9 - Internet user penetration in Ethiopia and other countries in the region - 2008
- Table 10 - Fixed-line penetration in Ethiopia and other countries in the region - 2008
- Table 11 - ETC revenue and profit - 2006 - 2008
- Table 12 - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1995 - 2008
- Table 13 - Internet users and penetration rate - 1996 - 2008
- Table 14 - Internet subscribers - 1997 - 2007
- Table 15 - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 1999 - 2009
- Table 16 - Forecast fixed-line and fixed-wireless subscribers - 2010; 2015
- Table 17 - Forecast Internet users - 2010; 2015
- Table 18 - Forecast mobile subscribers - 2010; 2015