2Q.08 Central, Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa (CEMA) Handset Vendor and Technology Forecasts

Nokia continues to be the leader in this regional market

Publication Date	May 2008
Publisher	IE Market Research
Product Type	Report
Pages	32
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	IEM00473

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£750.00
approximately: $1,295 | €952

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Summary

IEMR's CEMA Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast provides historical and forecasted (2003 - 2011) information on handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor in the CEMA market. Vendors with complete coverage include: Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, LG, and Sony-Ericsson.

Notable highlights of the 2Q08 CEMA Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:

Unit shipments into CEMA markets are expected to rise from 240 million units in 2008 to 303 million units in 2011.
In CEMA markets, we expect that shipments of converged mobile devices will almost double from 21.6 million in 2008 to 42.4 million in 2011.
Our model is forecasting that 3G handset shipment in CEMA markets will increase dramatically while 2G Handset shipments fall. We expect 2G handset shipments to reach their maximum in 2008 at 57.7 million units and then start falling as more consumers switch to 3G handsets. For 3G handsets, our model is forecasting 3G handset shipment to increase by 129.4% from 26.4 million to 60.6 million.
In CEMA emerging markets, Nokia continues its domination. Nokia's market share in 2006 was 51.8% in CEMA.

IEMR's Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Content

Region Covered in this Handset Forecast
- Central & Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa (CEMA)
Executive Summary
- 303 million units forecasted to be shipped in 2011
- Shift from 2G handsets to 3G handsets continues
- GPRS Continues to be the most common type of air interface in the CEMA region
- Nokia is clearly the leader in the CEMA region, with about one-half of all handsets shipped
- Nokia has been consistently losing its 3G handset market share to Motorola and Sony Ericsson in this region
The following charts are available in an Excel Sheet:
- Charts 1-11 Annual Results & Forecasts for this Handset Market
- Chart 1: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 2: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 3: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 4: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 5: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 6: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 7: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 8: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 9: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 10: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 11: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY06
- Charts 12-22 Quarterly Results for: March 04 - Dec 06
- Chart 12: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions)
- Chart 13: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 14: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 15: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION
- Chart 16: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments)
- Chart 17: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 18: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 19: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR
- Chart 20: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments)
- Chart 21: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE
- Chart 22: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments)

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Product features / use

Scope	Concise Overview
Level	Management Strategy
Data	Detailed Market Forecasts
Profiles	In-depth Company Insight
Features	Primary Research Data
Extra Info	Consumer Trends Highlighted