2Q.08 Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast

Vendors Shift towards 3G and Converged Mobile Devices

Publication Date	May 2008
Publisher	IE Market Research
Product Type	Report
Pages	176
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	IEM00469

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Summary

IEMR's Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecasts provides historical and forecasted (2003 - 2011) information on global handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor. Vendors with complete coverage include: Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, LG, and Sony-Ericsson.

Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:

Unit shipments globally are expected to rise from 1.14 billion in 2007 to 1.59 billion in 2011. The biggest story as far as unit shipments are concerned is that we are expecting that shipments of converged mobile devices in the world will increase from 142 million in 2008 to 258 million in 2011, making up 16.2% of the global handset market.
We expect 67% of the 1.59 billion shipments that will take place in 2011 to be 2.5G handsets. Our model is forecasting that shipments of 2.5G handsets will increase from 900 million in 2008 to 1.06 billion in 2011
3G handset shipments are also increasing steadily. Over the forecast period of 2008 - 2011, we expect 3G handset shipment to increase by 75.6% from 200 million to 351 million.
NOKIA continues to perform well in the global 3G handset market. Nokia's 3G handsets accounted for 25.2% of all 3G handsets sold in the world in December 2006. The Top 5 vendors - Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, Sony Ericsson and LG - continue to gain market shares from other vendors in the global 3G handset market, primarily because Japanese vendors have not been able to make much inroads into the 3G space in international markets.

IEMR's Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Content

Regions Covered in this Handset Forecast
- Worldwide
- United States
- Canada
- Western Europe
- CEMA
- Latin America
- Asia Pacific
- Japan
Companies Covered in this Handset Forecast
- Nokia
- Motorola
- Samsung
- LG
- Sony-Ericsson
Executive Summary
- 1.59 billion units forecasted to be shipped in 2011
- Shift from 2G to 3G continues worldwide
- GPRS Continues to be the most common type of Air Interface in the World
- Motorola loses handset market share to Samsung and LG
- Nokia shows strength in the 3G handset market
For each region and globally, the following charts are available in an Excel Sheet:
- Charts 1-11 Annual Results & Forecasts for Each of the Regional Handset Market
- Chart 1: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 2: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 3: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 4: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 5: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 6: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 7: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 8: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR, CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 9: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY11E
- Chart 10: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE, CY04 - CY06
- Chart 11: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments), CY04 - CY06
- Charts 12-22 Quarterly Results for: March 04 - Dec 06
- Chart 12: TOTAL HANDSET SHIPMENTS (millions)
- Chart 13: TOP 5 VENDOR HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 14: TOP 5 VENDOR MARKET SHARES BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 15: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION
- Chart 16: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY GENERATION (% of total shipments)
- Chart 17: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS
- Chart 18: TOP 5 VENDOR 3G HANDSET MARKET SHARE BY SHIPMENTS
- Chart 19: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR
- Chart 20: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY FORM FACTOR (% of total shipments)
- Chart 21: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE
- Chart 22: HANDSET SHIPMENTS BY AIR INTERFACE (% of total shipments)

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Product features / use

Scope	Concise Overview
Level	Management Strategy
Data	Detailed Market Forecasts
Profiles	In-depth Company Insight
Features	Primary Research Data
Extra Info	Consumer Trends Highlighted