2006 Global Wireless Broadband - Moving into New Business Models

Publication Date	September 2006
Publisher	BuddeComm
Product Type	Report
Pages	157
ISBN Number	not applicable
Product Code	BUD00071

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Summary

The initial potential of wireless broadband has been witnessed with WiFi spreading like wildfire throughout the world. It is predicted that there will be over 300,000 hotspots worldwide by the end of 2009. Its key feature is that it provides portable broadband access, and WiFi is now widely available in laptops and other hand-held devices.

With competition in the telecommunications market also opening up because of a regulatory emphasis on deregulation and competition - the difficulty and expense of deploying new fixed networks is being realised. It is therefore obvious that new telcos are looking for opportunities to enter the market through a wireless solution.

Following the proliferation of WiFi devices and the release of amended 802.16 standards (WiMAX); hope of using both licensed and unlicensed wireless technologies to deliver last-mile broadband access has been rekindled. Most proprietary wireless broadband systems now have the intention of migrating to WiMAX and in the end it will depend on whether or not WiMAX can stand up against alternate offerings from DSL and other providers.

Interest in fixed-wireless broadband has also been boosted in the last couple of years by customer demand for more bandwidth. In developed markets around the world, opportunities mainly reside in niche sectors such as regional and rural areas where the deployment of true broadband networks is slow. However, in emerging undeveloped markets, much larger deployments are expected because wireless broadband could well be the only option available.

In the more developed markets WiMAX might also challenge the mobile data industry towards the end of the decade, with the mobile industry trying to fight back with 3G and HSDPA. Sprint's entry into this market, selecting WiMAX for its 4G service is most certainly going to boost these developments over the next few years.

This report provides information on the latest developments and trends for wireless broadband, including statistics and forecasts for WiFi and WiMAX. It includes an overview of WiMAX deployments worldwide and detailed regional information. The report also includes industry developments and statistics for other markets that may provide an opportunity for WiMAX, such as the mobile data and mobile TV sectors. Industry information on the competing technologies such as HSDPA is also included.

Content

1. Wlans And Wifi
- 1.1 Overview
  - 1.1.1 The promise of wireless broadband
  - 1.1.2 Hotspots - business market
  - 1.1.3 Key players and early developments
  - 1.1.4 WiFi is alive and kicking
  - 1.1.5 Japan and Korea - the residential market
  - 1.1.6 Build your own WIFI business
  - 1.1.7 Dual mode handsets
  - 1.1.8 Developments in wireless broadband
  - 1.1.9 Security concerns
  - 1.1.10 Industry consortia
- 1.2 Market statistics
  - 1.2.1 2006 WiFi statistics and forecasts
  - 1.2.2 2005 WiFi statistics and forecasts
  - 1.2.3 2004 WiFi statistics and forecasts
  - 1.2.4 Revenue statistics and forecasts
2. Wimax
- 2.1 Overview and analyses
  - 2.1.1 The promises of fixed wireless
  - 2.1.2 The problems of fixed wireless
  - 2.1.3 Opportunities of fixed wireless
  - 2.1.4 Fixed Wireless Broadband developments - Mid 2006
  - 2.1.5 Repositioning
  - 2.1.6 Wireless broadband in telemetry
  - 2.1.7 Mobile TV and WiMAX could be a good match
  - 2.1.8 Spectrum Developments
  - 2.1.9 WiMAX and BPL
  - 2.1.10 The WiMAX backbone alternative
- 2.2 Statistics
  - 2.2.1 Global overview
  - 2.2.2 WiMAX developments 2003 - 2006
  - 2.2.3 Market statistics and forecasts
  - 2.2.4 Industry consortia
- 2.3 Mobility analyses 2006
  - 2.3.1 Personal wireless broadband
  - 2.3.2 The new and the old WiMAX
  - 2.3.3 From WiMAX and 3G to 4G Mobile - Analysis mid-2006
3. Mobile Data
- 3.1 An overview and analyses - 2006
  - 3.1.1 From WiMAX and 3G to 4G mobile
  - 3.1.2 Key highlights of recent developments
  - 3.1.3 The hard realities of the mobile market
  - 3.1.4 Decline in mobile data - analysis - update early 2006
  - 3.1.5 How to proceed from here
  - 3.1.6 Revenue statistics and forecasts
4. Hsdpa & Ims
- 4.1 Unique features of mobile data
  - 4.1.1 Multi-platform operators
- 4.2 Mobile triple play
  - 4.2.1 3G already on its way
- 4.3 HSDPA (High-Speed Downlink Packet Access)
  - 4.3.1 Overview of HSDPA deployments
  - 4.3.2 Will HSDPA dethrone WiMAX?
  - 4.3.3 Mobile communications vs wireless broadband
  - 4.3.4 HSUPA
- 4.4 IP Multimedia systems (IMS)
  - 4.4.1 IMS - but what is it, really?
  - 4.4.2 Overview of major IMS trials
  - 4.4.3 World's first IMS over WiMAX demonstration
5. Mobile Tv
- 5.1 Mobile TV standard
- 5.2 Mobile TV Phase 2
- 5.3 The mobile TV fallacy
- 5.4 Mobile TV and WiMAX could be a good match
- 5.5 The broadcaster and the mobile operator
- 5.6 Regional overview - mobile TV developments
  - 5.6.1 North America
  - 5.6.2 Latin America
  - 5.6.3 Europe
  - 5.6.4 Middle East
  - 5.6.5 Africa
  - 5.6.6 Asia
- 5.7 Mobile TV statistics and forecasts
6. 3g - Analysis 2006
- 6.1 The future of 3G
- 6.2 The hard realities of the mobile market
  - 6.2.1 The networks simply would not be able to cope
  - 6.2.2 As usual, over-promising and under-delivering
- 6.3 Is Super 3G WiMAX?
  - 6.3.1 Prediction dilemmas
  - 6.3.2 The future is broadband
  - 6.3.3 What went wrong with mobile data?
  - 6.3.4 Demand is there, supply is failing
  - 6.3.5 Super 3G vs WiMAX
  - 6.3.6 3G Long-Term Evolution (LTE)
  - 6.3.7 Mobile technology not well-suited
- 6.4 Slow start so far
- 6.5 Vindicated: 4G is arriving earlier
- 6.6 Now 2G is also challenging 3G
- 6.7 Will 3G survive as a separate business model?
  - 6.7.1 3G cannibalising 2G
  - 6.7.2 Data moving to wireless broadband
  - 6.7.3 3G for voice and enhanced voice applications
  - 6.7.4 Mobile operators absorbed by voice competition
  - 6.7.5 Mobile, wireless convergence
  - 6.7.6 Fixed operators have the upper hand
- 6.8 The time for 3G has arrived, but no cheering from the operators
  - 6.8.1 Where is the business case?
  - 6.8.2 Network costs will be driving 3G?
  - 6.8.3 New business scenarios
  - 6.8.4 Competition from disruptive technologies
7. Regional Overviews
- 7.1 North America
  - 7.1.1 USA
  - 7.1.2 Canada
- 7.2 Latin America
  - 7.2.1 Brazil
  - 7.2.2 Mexico
  - 7.2.3 Colombia
  - 7.2.4 Peru
  - 7.2.5 Chile
  - 7.2.6 Argentina
- 7.3 Europe
  - 7.3.1 Western Europe
  - 7.3.2 Eastern Europe
- 7.4 Africa / Middle East
  - 7.4.1 Africa
  - 7.4.2 Middle East
- 7.5 Asia
  - 7.5.1 Asia market overview
  - 7.5.2 Taiwan
  - 7.5.3 Japan
  - 7.5.4 South Korea
  - 7.5.5 China
  - 7.5.6 Hong Kong
  - 7.5.7 Singapore
  - 7.5.8 Malaysia
- 7.6 Pacific region
  - 7.6.1 Australia
  - 7.6.2 New Zealand
  - 7.6.3 South Pacific
8. Glossary Of Abbreviations
List Of Exhibits
- Exhibit 1 - What the numbers mean at IEEE 801.11
- Exhibit 2 - Municipal WiFi in New Orleans
- Exhibit 3 - WiMAX
- Exhibit 4 - Countries/territories where HSDPA is planned, in deployment or commercially available - mid-2006
- Exhibit 5 - What is IMS?
- Exhibit 6 - Vendors involved in GMI 2006
- Exhibit 7 - Mobile TV - Unicast and MBMS - 2006
- Exhibit 8 - Top seven US WiFi hotspot operators - April 2005
- Exhibit 9 - Unwired Australia Pty Ltd at a glance - 2006
- Exhibit 10 - Wireless broadband availability by access type - 2006
List Of Tables
- Table 1 - Major wireless broadband technologies in 2005
- Table 2 - Global WiFi hotspots by region - 2004 - 2005; 2009
- Table 3 - Regional share of revenue- dual mode handsets - 2005
- Table 4 - US wireless ARPU and EBITDA projections - 2005; 2008
- Table 5 - Global wireless broadband market subscribers - 2003 - 2008
- Table 6 - Wireless broadband market share by region - 2005
- Table 7 - Regional share of WiMAX CPE sales - 1st quarter 2006
- Table 8 - Mobile data as a % of operators revenue - 2005
- Table 9 - Mobile data (non SMS) as a % of operators revenue - 2005
- Table 10 - Mobile data revenues - leading operators - 1st quarter 2006
- Table 11 - Broadcast mobile TV subscribers - worldwide - 2006; 2009
- Table 12 - Broadcast mobile TV revenue forecast - leading countries - 2011
- Table 13 - Number of Hotspots in the top 10 US States - April 2006
- Table 14 - Public WiFi hotspots - top 10 countries, cities and location types - April 2006
- Table 15 - Municipal WiFi deployments - 2005 - 2006
- Table 16 - Estimated US revenue from WiMAX infrastructure
- Table 17 - Top 10 US Wireless ISPs - April 2006
- Table 18 - WiFi hotspots in Asia - 2004 - 2005; 2009
- Table 19 - Subscriber statistics by operator - mid-2006
- Table 20 - Wireless penetration as percent of fixed broadband - forecast 2005; 2010; 2015