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Kuwait Freight Transport Report Q4 2012

  • Publication Date:October 2012
  • Publisher:Business Monitor
  • Product Type: Report
  • Pages:57
  • ISBN:158612

Kuwait Freight Transport Report Q4 2012

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates.

Kuwait's ports have struggled to recover the volumes they enjoyed prior to the global economic
downturn, but BMI expects this largely to be achieved in 2012, with only total tonnage throughput at
Shuaiba not forecast to recoup lost levels until 2013. If there are continued instances of industrial unrest
and strikes, however, as Kuwait's ports have struggled with since the Arab Spring of 2011, then we may
have to revise our forecasts down. The air freight sector was also hit in 2011, with volumes actually
falling. 2012 has not started well, and we are forecasting another decline in tonnage at Kuwait
International Airport in 2012.
What continues to bode well for Kuwait's freight transport is our macroeconomic outlook for the country.
Oil prices remain elevated, and this is translating into spending by the Kuwaiti government, and greater
wealth among the populous. This is attracting logistics companies to add services to the country.

Headline Industry Data

- 2012 Port of Shuaiba tonnage throughput growth forecast at 4.8% and to average 5.0% to 2016.
- 2012 Kuwait International air freight tonnage forecast to contract by 3.9% and to average growth
of just 0.3% a year to 2016.
- 2012 total trade real growth forecast at 3.6% and to average 3.8% to 2016%.

Key Industry Trends

DHL Global Launches New Shanghai-Dubai Service
German freight forwarder DHL Global Forwarding has announced that it has launched a new-less-thancontainer-
load service between Shanghai and Dubai. The service will allow products to reach their
destinations in either 17 or 19 days. Trade between China and the UAE was valued at US$120bn during
H111. The service will also serve several other destinations in the Middle East, including Doha and
Kuwait City.
Kuwaiti Mega Port Construction Suspended
The final phase of construction of Kuwait's Mubarak al-Kabir port has been suspended. This follows
negotiations between the respective governments of Iraq and Kuwait. The port, which was initially
intended to have 60 wharves, will now instead have 24.
KOTC To Receive Nine Takers In FY14/15
The Kuwait Oil Tanker Company (KOTC) is scheduled to receive nine new tankers from two South
Korean companies in FY14/15, said KOTC's chairman Bader al-Khashti. The company will receive five
crude tankers from Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering, while Hyundai Mipo Dockyard will
deliver four crude tankers.

Risks To Outlook

The Middle East and North Africa region has seen huge upheavals since the start of 2011, and no country
is immune from the repercussions on trade. Kuwait has not been severely hit by unrest, but it is still
possible that demonstrations could develop as they have in other Gulf countries, which could adversely
affect our port throughput forecasts. We have seen industrial unrest in Kuwaiti ports and airports, more
instances of which in 2012 could affect our outlook.
BMI Industry View ... 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Kuwait Freight Transport Industry SWOT .... 7
Kuwait Political SWOT . 8
Kuwait Economic SWOT....... 8
Kuwait Business Environment SWOT ... 9
Industry Trends And Developments .... 10
Logistics ...... 10
Maritime .. 10
Market Overview .... 11
Industry Forecast .. 14
Macroeconomic View . 14
Air Freight ....... 14
Table: Air Freight, 2009-2016 .... 15
Maritime Freight ..... 15
Table: Maritime Freight, 2009-2016 .. 16
Trade ....... 16
Table: Trade Overview, 2009-2016 .... 17
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 .... 17
Table: Kuwait's Main Import Partners (US$mn), 2002-2009 ...... 18
Table: Kuwait's Main Export Partners (US$mn) , 2002-2009 ..... 18
Global Oil Products Price Outlook ....... 19
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts ... 20
Table: Refining Marker Margins (US$/bbl) 24
Political Outlook .... 30
Long-Term Political Outlook ...... 32
Macroeconomic Outlook ....... 36
Table: Kuwait - Economic Activity ..... 38
Company Profiles .. 39
Agility . 39
Kuwait Airways (Cargo) ..... 43
Kuwait Oil Tanker Company (KOTC) 45
United Arab Shipping Company (UASC) .... 48
Demographic Outlook ... 51
Table: Kuwait's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) ..... 52
Table: Kuwait's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) .... 53
Table: Kuwait's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 ... 54
Table: Kuwait's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 54
BMI Methodology .. 55
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts . 55
Transport Industry ...... 55
Sources ....... 56
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