Iran Shipping Report Q4 2014

Iran Shipping Report Q4 2014

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesWe forecast that Iran will return to economic growth in 2014, with real GDP set to expand by 3.2% following a 2.9% contraction in 2013. Container shipping also is set to take tentative steps to recovery, and the removal of port operator Tidewater from EU sanctions lists means that international shipping companies are set to begin calling at Iranian ports such as Bandar Abbas once more. Growth will take time to recover, however, given the massive inflation seen in Iran in recent years, and the damage done to consumers' purchasing power as a result.

Headline Industry Data
- 2014 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 5.6%, and average growth of 6.5% to 2018.
- 2018 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 2.04mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) - still not enough to match 2011 volumes.
- 2014 total real trade is forecast to return to growth at 6.0%, and average 2.5% to 2018.
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Shipping .. 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Business Environment .. 12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Port Of Bandar Abbas Throughput . 13
Table: Major Ports Data (Iran 2011-2018)........................... 17
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2011-2018)........................... . . 17
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2011-2018).......................... . 17
Table: Main Import Partners, 2004-2012........................... . . 19
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2004-2012.......................... . 20
Market Overview ... 21
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview ... 21
Industry Trends And Developments 29
Company Profile 30
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) ... 30
NITC . 33
Shipping - Global Industry View ... 36
Container Demand: . 36
Container Supply: 44
Container Rates: . 50
Global Company Strategy . 53
Maersk Line ... 53
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 63
CMA CGM . 69
Evergreen Line 80
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) . 88
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 95
Economic Analysis ... 95
Table: Possible Scenarios As Diplomacy Advances........................101
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2009-2018)..........................101
Demographic Forecast ... 102
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)......................103
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)..................... . 104
Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020......................... . . 105
Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020.......................105
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