Iran Shipping Report Q4 2015

Iran Shipping Report Q4 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The historic deal agreed between Iran and the P5+1 powers in Vienna on July 14 - assuming it passes through parliaments - will see growth return to the Iranian economy and its shipping sector over the coming years. This recovery will not be immediate, and there remain significant challenges to growth in the near term. The general trend is that Brent crude will average considerably less than in recent years - we forecast an average of USD59 per barrel in 2015 - meaning that the economic boost from easing sanctions will be limited. Iranian consumers will continue to be under pressure, and a massive ramp up in
containerised goods imports is unlikely. However, as real GDP growth in the country picks up, we expect pent-up demand from the growing middle class in the Middle East's largest population to drive growth in imports of containerised consumer goods.

That said, the removal of port operator Tidewater from sanctions in late 2014 will provide a fundamental boost to the facility as any goods which have been being shipped overland as a result of the embargo will steadily begin to return to transferring through the port.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Shipping 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Port Of Bandar Abbas Throughput 16
Table: Major Ports Data (Iran 2012-2019) 20
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2012-2019) 20
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2012-2019) 20
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 21
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 22
Market Overview 23
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview 23
Company Profile 30
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) 30
NITC 33
Shipping - Global Industry View 38
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes 38
Table: Major Beneficiaries 38
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class 40
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route 43
Global Company Strategy 45
Maersk Line 45
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 57
CMA CGM 64
Evergreen Line 75
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 83
Macroeconomic Forecasts 90
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief 90
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019) 96
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019) 96
Demographic Forecast 98
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 99
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 99
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 100
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 100
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 101
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