Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q4 2015

Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q4 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, May 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Brazil - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 14
Table: Brazil - Banking Sector Overview 18
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Latin America Commercial Banking Outlook 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2015 21
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) 22
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 22
Economic Analysis 23
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Brazil 2012-2019) 28
Competitive Landscape 29
Market Structure 29
Protagonists 29
Table: Protagonists In Brazil's Commercial Banking Sector 29
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 29
List of Banks 30
Table: 50 Largest Banks In Brazil (by total assets) 30
Company Profile 32
Banco do Brasil 32
Table: Stock Market Indicators 34
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 34
Table: Key Ratios (%) 35
Banco Safra 36
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Bradesco 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Caixa Economica Federal 42
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Santander 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Regional Overview 49
Industry Forecast 49
Global Industry Overview 54
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 54
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69
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