Brazil Defence and Security Report 2015

Brazil Defence and Security Report 2015

BMI View:
The Brazilian defence sector is set to continue to be one of the most active and open for foreign players, both with regards to imported goods from more established countries, and its relatively unfettered export market. In addition, the government's emphasis on creating a self-sufficient defence sector over the longer term is resulting in an ever-increasing number of partnerships and joint ventures on various development programmes between Brazilian companies and their foreign peers.

At present, the domestic defence sector is comparatively well developed, particularly with regards to small firearms, ammunition and aerospace products, and relatively diverse. However, the armed forces and police force lack advanced maritime, surveillance and rockets/missile capabilities and are keen to expand these areas. This is not only resulting in a ramping up of imports relating to these segments, (from countries such as France, the US and Russia) but also fostering partnership opportunities, as companies such as Odebrecht and Embraer seek to develop their R&D capabilities via joint ventures and development programmes with foreign companies predicated on technology transfers.
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Defence Expenditure ... 14
Table: Defence Expenditure (Brazil 2012-2019).........................15
Armed Forces 16
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Brazil 2005-2012)........................17
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Brazil 2012-2019).................... 18
Defence Trade ... 19
Table: Defence Trade Balance (Brazil 2012-2019)......................... 19
Exports 20
Table: Defence Exports (Brazil 2012-2019)........................... 21
Imports 21
Table: Defence Imports (Brazil 2012-2019)........................... 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 24
Economic Analysis ... 24
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Brazil 2012-2019).........................29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 30
Brazil Security Risk Index . 30
Table: Latin America Defence Industry Risk Reward Index....................... 30
Rewards ... 30
Risks 31
Market Overview ... 33
Brazil Defence Market Overview 33
Domestic Defence Sector . 35
Domestic Market 39
Defence Agreements ... 46
Table: Brazil Defence Agreementd............................. . 47
Brazil Security Overview ... 48
Domestic Threats ... 49
Regional Threats 49
International Threats .. 50
Weapons of Mass Destruction ... 51
Company Profile 53
Avibras Indústria Aerospacial SA ... 53
Embraer 55
Forjas Tauras . 57
Regional Overview 59
Key Drivers for Spending . 60
Key Trends Over 2015 and Beyond 62
Key Opportunities .. 64
Global Industry Overview .. 66
Global Political Themes For 2015 .. 66
Methodology .. 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators.......................... . . 73
Weighting . 74
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index.........................74
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