India Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

India Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, November 2014 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 15
Industry Forecast 17
Industry Trend Analysis 17
Table: Contribution Of Stressed Sectors To Stressed Advances, % 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 24
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2015 24
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 26
Economic Analysis 27
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing & Services Providing Support 30
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019) 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In India's Commercial Banking Sector 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 34
List Of Banks 35
Table: Public Sector Banks 35
Table: Foreign Banks In India 36
Company Profile 38
Bank of Baroda 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
HDFC Bank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
ICICI Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Punjab National Bank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
State Bank of India 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators 55
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 56
Regional Overview 57
Asia Regional Overview 57
Global Industry Overview 61
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 61
Regional Outlooks 61
Demographic Forecast 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76
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