South Korea Food and Drink Report Q1 2015

South Korea Food and Drink Report Q1 2015

BMI View:

Total food and drinks consumption in South Korea is expected to increase moderately over the forecast period between 2013 and 2018. The market is relatively mature with per capita spending on food and drinks items already high, which effectively limits the possibilities for more substantial expansion over the coming years. Nonetheless, food consumption growth will be sustained by a stable economic outlook and gradually strengthening consumer spending power, which will offer opportunities for premiumisation.

Headline Industry Data
(local currency)
- Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014: +2.8%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2013-2018: +4.7%.
- Per capita food consumption growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +2.3%; CAGR 2013-2018: +4.2%.
- Alcoholic drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +2.5%; CAGR 2013-2018: +4.7%.
- Soft drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +4.2%; CAGR 2013-2018: +5.6%.
- Total mass grocery retail sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +5.7%; CAGR 2013-2018: +8.4%.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Food 10
Drink 12
Mass Grocery Retail 14
Industry Forecast 16
Consumer Outlook 16
Food 18
Food Consumption 18
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 19
Canned Food 19
Confectionery 20
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 21
Meat 21
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2011-2018) 22
Fish 22
Table: Preserved Fish (Other) Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2011-2018) 23
Oils and Fats 23
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2011-2018) 24
Dairy 25
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (South Korea 2011-2018) 26
Drink 28
Hot Drinks 28
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 28
Alcoholic Drinks 29
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 30
Soft Drinks 31
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (South Korea 2011-2018) 32
Mass Grocery Retail 33
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 35
Table: Retail Sales By Format (%) 35
Trade 36
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Korea 2011-2018) 37
Macroeconomic Forecasts 38
Economic Analysis 38
Domestic Drivers Remain Weak 39
Government Stimulus To Provide Support In 2015 40
Reprieve From Exports Not Guaranteed 41
Table: Economic Activity (South Korea 2009-2018) 41
Industry Risk Reward Index 42
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115 43
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q115 - Selected Countries (scores out of 10) 47
South Korea Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 49
Food 49
Agriculture 49
Organics 49
Food Processing 50
Drink 51
Alcoholic Drinks 51
Soft Drinks 51
Mass Grocery Retail 52
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (South Korea 2006-2010) 54
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (South Korea 2005-2014) 54
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (South Korea 2005-2014) 55
Table: Average Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2010 55
Industry Trends And Developments 56
Food 56
Key Industry Trends And Developments 56
Drink 61
Key Industry Trends And Developments 61
Mass Grocery Retail 67
Key Industry Trends And Developments 67
Competitive Landscape 73
Table: Key Players In South Korea's Food Sector 73
Table: Key Players In South Korea's Drink Sector 74
Table: Key Players In South Korea's MGR Sector 75
Company Profile 76
Maiel Dairy Industry 76
Nong Shim 78
Hite Brewery 81
Oriental Brewery 84
Lotte Shopping 86
Samsung Tesco HomePlus 89
Global Industry Overview 92
Table: Dollar General And Family Dollar Historic Quarterly Same-Store Sales Growth (% Change Y-O-Y) 96
Table: Selected US And Global Spirits Companies - Historical Financial Indicators 99
Table: Select US Beverage Companies - Historic Eva Spread 101
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 102
Demographic Forecast 104
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Korea 1990-2025) 105
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Korea 1990-2025) 105
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Korea 1990-2025) 106
Table: Population By Age Group (South Korea 1990-2025) 106
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Korea 1990-2025) 107
Glossary 109
Food & Drink 109
Mass Grocery Retail 109
Methodology 111
Industry Forecast Methodology 111
Sector-Specific Methodology 112
Sources 112
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 113
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 114
Table: Weighting 115
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