Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

Cambodia and Laos Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

BMI View

: Our long-held view that consolidation is needed in Cambodia and Laos is beginning to gainsome traction, which bodes well for the future development of telecoms in South East Asia. The key trend inthe Cambodian market is that of consolidation. Meanwhile, the telecommunications sector in Myanmarlooks set to continue outperforming its regional peers with strong growth, and is readying itself for theemergence of the fourth market operator, which should improve competitiveness in the market further.Key Data- BMI forecasts growth of 60% in 2016 in Myanmar as a result of the Ooredoo and Telenor launches,with subscribers rising to 32.9mn. By the end of 2019, we see mobile subscriptions reaching 78.6mn.- 11.7mn new mobile subscriptions have been added in Myanmar by Q215 since the start of 2015- The mobile market in Cambodia rebounded from a dismal 2014 performance, growing by 6.7% y-o-y inQ215 from just 0.9% for the whole of 2014, with the number of mobile subscribers reaching 21.7mnsubscribers.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Telecoms 8
Industry Forecast 10
Cambodia 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Cambodia 2012-2019) 10
Mobile 10
Laos 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Laos 2012-2019) 14
Mobile 14
Fixed Line 15
Broadband 15
Myanmar 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Myanmar 2012-2019) 17
Mobile 17
Fixed-Line 19
Broadband 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk-Reward Index - Q116 23
Market Overview 25
Cambodia 25
Market Drivers & Trends 25
Mobile 25
Table: Mobile Subscription Market Share, Q215 26
Table: Active Mobile Operators (November 2015) 27
Fixed-Line Market 29
Broadband Market 31
Laos 33
Regional Perspective 33
Table: Laos Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2014 34
Key Developments 34
Mobile Growth 34
Table: Mobile Market Growth 35
Mobile Market Shares 35
Table: Laos Telecommunications Subscriber Mix 36
Usage 37
Table: VimpelCom Operational Data, 2012-2014 37
3G 37
Fixed-Line Market 38
Broadband Market 38
Table: Laos Internet Subscribers (2014) 40
Myanmar 41
Key Developments 42
Mobile Growth 42
Mobile Prices 43
Table: The Competitive Dynamics Of Myanmar Mobile Market 45
Networks 46
Regulatory Development 51
Regulatory Overview 51
Cambodia 51
Laos 52
Myanmar 53
Table: Myanmar: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 54
Licensing 55
Myanmar Regulatory Developments 56
Competitive Landscape 58
Table: Key Players - Cambodia Telecoms Sector 58
Table: Key Players - Laos Telecoms Sector 58
Table: Key Players - Myanmar Telecoms Sector 59
Company Profiles 60
Lao Telecommunications 60
Mobitel 64
Telecom Cambodia 68
Demographic Forecast 72
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cambodia 1990-2025) 73
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cambodia 1990-2025) 73
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Cambodia 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group (Cambodia 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cambodia 1990-2025) 75
Demographic Forecast 77
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Laos 1990-2025) 78
Table: Key Population Ratios (Laos 1990-2025) 78
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Laos 1990-2025) 79
Table: Population By Age Group (Laos 1990-2025) 79
Table: Population By Age Group % (Laos 1990-2025) 80
Demographic Forecast 82
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Myanmar 1990-2025) 83
Table: Key Population Ratios (Myanmar 1990-2025) 83
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Myanmar 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group (Myanmar 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group % (Myanmar 1990-2025) 85
Glossary 87
Table: Glossary Of Terms 87
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sources 91
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 91
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 92
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 93
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