39 reports

Depopulation will occur in Portugal from 2021 up to 2040 as positive net migration is no longer able to counteract natural decrease. Low birth and fertility rates and rising longevity will push the ageing trend to accelerate further over this timeframe, impacting consumer trends and putting further pressure on state resources. Urban population...

  • Urban Development
  • Portugal
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Increasingly pronounced natural decrease will be the main driver of continued depopulation in Croatia in 2020-2040. Ageing will impact consumer trends and put further pressure on state resources over this timeframe. Urban population is set to rise, but this growth will mainly take place in smaller urban areas. As the country recovers from...

  • Healthcare
  • Urban Development
  • Croatia
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Natural increase will be the main driver of population expansion in Egypt in 2020-2040. While the ageing trend will hasten, Egypt will remain relatively young in a global context. A growing working age population could create a demographic dividend if sufficient training and jobs are created. Egypt’s huge and surging population, alongside...

  • Urban Development
  • Egypt
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Depopulation in Japan up to 2040 will be driven by natural decrease, as net migration remains relatively low. High and increasing longevity and low birth rates will accelerate the ageing trend, with Japan remaining among the oldest countries globally by median age, transforming the consumer landscape further and putting huge pressure on state...

  • Diabetes
  • Urban Development
  • Japan
  • World
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Strong net migration and natural change will drive rapid population growth in Sweden up to 2030. Ageing will be relatively slow due to high birth rates and immigration of young people. Life expectancy will continue to climb, remaining one of the highest regionally. Rapid urbanisation will continue with Helsingborg’s population expanding at...

  • Urban Development
  • Sweden
  • World
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Relatively rapid population growth in Peru up to 2030 will be propelled by positive natural change as a result of high, yet declining, birth rates. While the ageing process will accelerate, the country will remain comparatively young with over 60% of the population expected to be under the age of 40 in 2030. Ageing and unhealthier lifestyles...

  • Urban Development
  • Healthcare
  • Peru
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Positive natural change will continue to drive population growth in the Dominican Republic up to 2030. It will remain an overwhelmingly young country with children accounting for around a quarter of the population in 2030, despite the rapid expansion of older age groups and falling birth rates. Life expectancy will continue to rise, but health...

  • Urban Development
  • Dominican Republic
  • World
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

Relatively strong, yet declining, net migration and natural change will drive UK population growth up to 2030. Ageing will continue to be a key trend in this timeframe as older groups increase rapidly, putting further pressure on public services. Life expectancy will continue to surge, but health issues will increase across the population....

  • Urban Development
  • United Kingdom
  • World
  • Net Migration Rate
  • Life Expectancy

Population growth in South Africa up to 2030 will be driven by positive natural change and moderate net migration. Despite rapid rises in older age groups and falling birth rates, South Africa will remain an overwhelmingly young country with children still accounting for over a quarter of the population by 2030. Urban population will continue...

  • Diabetes
  • Urban Development
  • South Africa
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

In 2030, the population of Malaysia will reach 36.4 million, an increase of 13.8% from 2017. Lower rates of net migration and declining natural change mean that population growth will continue to slow up to 2030, even though the rate of growth will be relatively high on a regional level. Despite the rapid expansion of the older age groups...

  • Urban Development
  • Higher Education
  • Construction
  • Malaysia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, Indonesia will be the fourth largest country in the world with a population of 296 million, an increase of 12.0% from 2017. While this represents relatively strong population growth, it will continue to decelerate over this period due to falling birth rates, increasing death rates and negative net migration. Despite strong gains in...

  • Ambulatory Care
  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Indonesia
  • World
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Ireland will reach 5.2 million, an increase of 8.1% from 2017. Strong, albeit declining, natural change will be responsible for the majority of this relatively strong growth, while positive net migration will account for nearly a third. Dublin is bigger than the next nine cities combined, this will remain the case...

  • Healthcare
  • Urban Development
  • Cardiovascular Disease
  • Housing
  • Ireland
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Turkey will reach 88.2 million, an increase of 10.5% from 2017. Falling birth rates and fertility, alongside negative net migration for much of the 2017-2030 period, mean that population growth will be slowing down whilst the population ages over this period. Despite this, Turkey will still be the youngest and one...

  • Urban Development
  • Turkey
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030 the population of Vietnam will reach 106 million an increase of 11.2% from 2017. The increasing population is influenced by factors such as a relatively high (albeit declining) birth rate and increasing life expectancy which mitigate the effects of negative net migration. Vietnam’s population will remain primarily rural in 2030, despite...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Vietnam
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate

In 2030, the population of the USA will reach 354 million, an increase of 8.7% from 2017. Population growth will continue to decelerate up to 2030 due to declining natural change, while net migration should remain relatively stable. Increasing life expectancy and positive generational birth patterns mean the 65+ age group will increase rapidly,...

  • Urban Development
  • Public Health Insurance
  • United States
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Japan will reach 120 million, a decline of 5.6% from 2017. Depopulation and a rapidly ageing population mean that Japan is undergoing a demographic crisis that is set to worsen up to 2030. Nearly one-in-three people will be aged 65+ years in 2030 while fertility and birth rates will continue to be among the lowest...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Japan
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate

In 2030, the population of France will reach 67.7 million, an increase of 4.4% from 2017. Although population growth will slow down over this timeframe, it will be faster than the regional average due to comparatively high, albeit declining, birth and fertility rates, lower death rates and substantial positive net migration. Urban population...

  • Public Health
  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • France
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Serbia will reach 6.5 million, a decrease of 8.1% from 2015. Long-term population decline in Serbia is being driven by low fertility and a declining number of women of childbearing age causing birth rates to fall further. Serbia has one of the oldest regional populations with those aged 65+ accounting for nearly...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Serbia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Asia Pacific will reach 4.5 billion, an increase of 12.2% from 2015. Population growth has been slowing down due to declining levels of positive natural change since the late 1980s, but the region will continue to make up over half of the world’s total population in 2030. While Asia Pacific will still be among the...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • APAC
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Eastern Europe will reach 315 million, a decrease of 3.4% from 2015. Eastern Europe’s depopulation is due to rapidly falling birth rates as a result of low fertility and declining numbers of women aged 15-49. Meanwhile, older age groups will be increasing rapidly. Unsurprisingly, given Russia’s size, its cities dominate...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Eastern Europe
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

In 2030, the population of Western Europe will reach 519 million, an increase of 4.9% from 2015. This represents relatively slow population growth in comparison to most other world regions due to declining natural change and net migration. Increasingly low birth rates and high life expectancy influence rapid population ageing over this timescale....

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • World
  • Western Europe
  • Life Expectancy
  • Urban Population

In 2030, the population of Slovenia will reach 2.08 million, overall growth of just 0.9% from 2015. However, the segment aged 60+ will see strong growth. Population dynamics will be driven by declining birth rates in turn supported by a falling number of women of childbearing age. The urban population will only overtake the rural population...

  • Urban Development
  • Slovenia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate

In 2030, the population of Macedonia will reach 2.06 million, after peaking at 2.08 million in 2022, a slight overall decline of 0.3% from 2015. Falling birth rates, increasing death rates and persistent, albeit low, negative net migration mean that population growth will turn negative from 2023. High and increasing life expectancy...

  • Urban Development
  • Macedonia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

In 2030, the population of Bahrain will reach 1.8 million, an increase of 33.0% from 2015. Rapid, albeit slowing, population growth in 2015-2030 will be driven by almost equal contributions of natural change and net migration. Meanwhile, the population will age significantly due to increasing life expectancy and falling births. Bahrain’s population...

  • Urban Development
  • Bahrain
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

In 2030, the population of Tunisia will reach 12.7 million, an increase of 12.7% from 2015. As a result of falling birth rates and fertility and increased life expectancy, the population will age rapidly in 2015-2030. Annual average population growth will slow down in the 2020s. Net migration has been negative for nearly two...

  • Urban Development
  • Business Intelligence
  • In-Store Retail
  • Tunisia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Healthy Life Years

In 2030, the population of Ukraine will reach 39.4 million, a decrease of 7.9% from 2015. Rapidly falling birth rates and negative net migration from 2017 onwards mean that Ukraine’s population will continue to decline rapidly in 2015-2030. The urban population will decline at half the pace of the population overall and Kiev will be the only...

  • Urban Development
  • Ukraine
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate

In 2030, the population of Jordan will reach 11.9 million, an increase of 28.6% from 2015. Growth is set to be extremely high in the 2010s as a result of high net migration influenced by the Syrian conflict, but in the 2020s it should slow down as a result of net migration turning negative and the continuing fall in birth rates and fertility....

  • Urban Development
  • Jordan
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

In 2030, the population of the UK will reach 69.5 million, an increase of 7.2% from 2015. Net migration will continue to be the main driver of population growth over this period as natural change plummets. Although ageing, the UK’s median age will remain younger than Western Europe as a whole in 2015-2030 due to its comparatively high birth...

  • Urban Development
  • United Kingdom
  • Life Expectancy
  • Net Migration Rate

Despite declining fertility Turkmenistan’s population will continue to grow at a relatively fast, albeit decelerating, pace in 2015-2030. In 2030, the population will reach 6.2 million, an increase of 14.6% from 2015. Although the population will be ageing rapidly, it will still be relatively young on a regional basis by 2030 with a median...

  • Urban Development
  • Oil And Gas
  • Turkmenistan
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate

In 2030, the population of Croatia will reach 3.9 million, a decrease of 8.8% from 2015. The fertility rate will remain well below the replacement rate, while the birth rate and number of women of childbearing age will drop, leading to an increase in natural depopulation up to 2030. Meanwhile, negative net migration will also continue to be...

  • Research And Development
  • Urban Development
  • Higher Education
  • Business Services
  • Croatia
  • Life Expectancy
  • Birth Rate