Egypt Shipping Report Q4 2015

Egypt Shipping Report Q4 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our outlook for Egyptian ports is fairly mixed. Although the economy's recovery will bolster demand for shipping services, the growth driver will largely be investment, while private consumption will falter. We expect acceleration in gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) in Egypt over the coming quarters on the back of relative political stability and policy continuity as well as substantial pent-up demand.

We expect that this will drive up gross tonnage volumes at Egyptian ports. However, fuel subsidy cuts and elevated inflation will ensure household consumption growth remains relatively slow over the coming quarters, even with lower global oil and food prices. Hikes to domestic energy prices will have a pronounced impact on spending patterns, as households are forced to devote a greater share of their incomes to fuel. This will impact on consumer demand for containerised goods imports, and so will negatively impact box throughput at Egypt's ports.

Fundamentally, strikes at the country's ports have diminished, and a number of expansions are under way once more, including a new berth to be developed at Damietta. The country benefits from the presence of the Suez Canal, and a recovery in consumer demand in Europe's developed markets - thanks to lower oil
prices boosting household spending power - will see volumes through the waterway grow, delivering a boost to Egyptian container-handling facilities near the channel such as East Port Said.
BMI Industry View 7
Shipping .9
Political 11
Economic .. 12
Operational Risk . 14
Industry Forecast 16
East Port Said Throughput 16
Port Of El-Dekheila Throughput.. 20
Table: Major Ports Data (Egypt 2012-2019) . 23
Table: Trade Overview (Egypt 2012-2019) . . . 27
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Egypt 2012-2019) . . 28
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 29
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 30
Market Overview 31
Egypt Container Shipping Market Overview 31
Shipping - Global Industry View ... 40
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes ......40
Table: Major Beneficiaries . . . 40
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class . . 42
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route . 45
Global Company Strategy 47
Maersk Line ..47
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) ...60
Evergreen Line .... 78
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 86
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 93
Expenditure Breakdown.. 95
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Egypt 2012-2019) . 100
Demographic Forecast ..101
Demographic Outlook101
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) . 102
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 102
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) 103
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 103
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) 104

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