Russia Shipping Report Q4 2015

Russia Shipping Report Q4 2015

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI forecasts contraction at Russia's two main ports of Novorossiysk and St Petersburg, as thetwo bellwether ports continue to be seriously hampered by the slowing Russian economy, which we expectto contract by 4.0% in 2015. Although the port of Novorossiysk will see a larger fall in containerthroughput this year with negative growth of 30.5%, the port of St Petersburg will also see an almost 20% contraction in growth, which is more worrying as it is Russia's primary container port.Despite the negative growth forecasts at Russia's two primary freight-shifting ports we believe the shakyshort term will be replaced by positive growth over the course of our medium-term forecast to 2019.Container throughput at the port of Novorossiysk looks set to post the strongest growth between 2016 and2019, at consistently above 3.0%, but the port of St Petersburg looks set to record growth of 3.4% by 2019,when we forecast it will see container throughput reach 2.15mn TEUs.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Shipping 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Port Of St Petersburg Throughput 15
Port Of Novorossiysk Throughput 25
Table: Major Ports Data (Russia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Trade Overview (Russia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Russia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn) 32
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 33
Market Overview 34
Russia Container Shipping Market Overview 34
Table: Global Port Operators With Exposure To The Russian Container Terminal Sector 47
Russia Company Profile 49
FESCO Transportation Group 49
Murmansk Shipping Company (MSC) 54
Primorsk Shipping Corporation (PRISCO) 57
Sovcomflot (SCF Group) 60
Shipping - Global Industry View 65
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes 65
Table: Major Beneficiaries 65
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class 67
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route 70
Global Company Strategy 72
Maersk Line 72
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 84
Navios Maritime Holdings 91
CMA CGM 98
Evergreen Line 109
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 118
Macroeconomic Forecasts 125
Economic Analysis 125
Table: RUSSIA - Private Consumption Forecasts 129
Table: RUSSIA - Government Consumption Forecasts 130
Table: RUSSIA - Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts 130
Table: RUSSIA - Net Exports Forecasts 131
Demographic Forecast 132
Demographic Outlook 132
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 133
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 133
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 134
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 134
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 135
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