Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q4 2014

Brazil Commercial Banking Report Q4 2014

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesBMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators.. 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, April 20147
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2013-2018 (%).7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2014.. . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2011-20188
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 10
Economic 11
Business Environment .. 12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 19
Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings 19
Table: Latin America Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings. 20
Market Overview 21
Latin America Commercial Banking Outlook 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013.. . 21
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2014 21
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn).. . 22
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2014.. 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts . 23
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity . 28
Competitive Landscape 29
Market Structure . 29
Protagonists .. 29
Table: Protagonists In Brazil's Commercial Banking Sector 29
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe . 29
List of Banks . 30
Table: 50 Largest Banks In Brazil . 30
Company Profile 32
Banco do Brasil 32
Table: Stock Market Indicators. . 33
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn). . 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn). . 34
Table: Key Ratios (%). . 34
Banco Safra 35
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn). . 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn). . 36
Table: Key Ratios (%). . 36
Bradesco 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators. . 38
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn). . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn). . 39
Table: Key Ratios (%). . 39
Caixa Economica Federal . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn). . 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn). . 42
Table: Key Ratios (%). . 42
Santander .. 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators. . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (BRLmn). . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn). . 45
Table: Key Ratios (%). . 46
Regional Overview 47
Latin America Overview 47
Global Industry Overview .. 53
Global Commercial Banking Outlook .. 53
Demographic Forecast . 65
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 66
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total). 67
Table: Brazil's Key Population Ratios, 1990-202068
Table: Brazil's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020. . 68
Methodology .. 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 71
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators. 73
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